Lake Forest Unit 1
Homes for Sale in Lutz, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Lake Forest Unit 1 right now
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($222K) is up 9.4% from the prior 12 months ($203K). With about 3 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 13. Confidence: Low (4 and 4 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 13, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Lake Forest Unit 1 market snapshot (as of July 13, 2026): the median sale price is about $222K ($185 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 50 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 9% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (4 closings in the current window).
Lake Forest Unit 1 is a community of 170 homes in Lutz, Hillsborough County, built between 1975 and 2007 (median 1976.0), with a median living area of about 1,201 square feet. 61% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 13 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($222K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($203K) IS the +9.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 11 sales each (4 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period %s through %s. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Lake Forest Unit 1 buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lake Forest Unit 1 today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Forest Unit 1.
A closer look at the Lake Forest Unit 1 market
At a median of $185 per square foot, Lake Forest Unit 1 prices sit in a fairly defined band, so condition and updates — more than the list price — tend to separate one home from the next.
The trailing-12-month median up 9% year over year. Homes that do trade take a median 50 days on market, useful leverage on any listing that has lingered.
The housing stock is 170 homes built between 1975 and 2007, and 61% of parcels are homesteaded — the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Forest Unit 1. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Lake Forest Unit 1 buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (6.9). Basis: Recent Direction +9.4% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 61% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 94.1% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Lake Forest Unit 1 buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Forest Unit 1 sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lake Forest Unit 1, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lake Forest Unit 1 home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Forest Unit 1, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Recent Developments in Lake Forest Unit 1
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Lake Forest Unit 1, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
33-story tower planned for Water Street Tampa expansion
Strategic Property Partners plans a 33-story mixed use tower at Water Street and Cumberland Avenue in downtown Tampa on a 1.9-acre site. The building would hold 452 residential units ranging from studios to three bedrooms plus about 37,000 square feet of retail and 645 parking spaces. Construction is scheduled to begin in spring 2027 with completion targeted for 2029.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a 33 story tower with 452 residential units and ground floor retail to the downtown Tampa market, continuing the buildout of the Water Street district and expanding high rise housing supply. The project is about 13 miles south of Lake Forest Unit 1, elsewhere in Hillsborough County.
Source: Florida YIMBY - July 2026Development
Mercy Oaks II affordable apartments open on North Florida Avenue
Catholic Charities, with the City of Tampa and Hillsborough County, completed Mercy Oaks II, a 17-unit affordable apartment building on North Florida Avenue in East Tampa built on the site of a former strip mall. The project includes 15 one-bedroom and two two-bedroom units, with seven units serving households up to 80 percent of area median income and ten up to 50 percent. It was supported by 1.25 million dollars in state SHIP funds from the city and sits next to the 20-unit Mercy Oaks I completed in 2022.
What it may mean for the marketAdds 17 income restricted apartments on a former strip mall site, expanding the affordable rental supply and converting vacant commercial land to housing. The project is about 8 miles southwest of Lake Forest Unit 1, elsewhere in Hillsborough County.
Source: City of Tampa - July 2026Builder Activity
First 3D-printed affordable home nears completion in East Tampa
The nonprofit Corporation to Develop Communities of Tampa is completing Tampa's first 3D-printed affordable home on Lurline Circle in East Tampa, using a gantry-style printer that layers concrete for the walls. The house is expected to be finished within weeks and listed for sale in about two months, with down payment assistance and first time homebuyer programs available. The effort is part of a broader CDC initiative that includes more than 90 multifamily units in East Tampa.
What it may mean for the marketIntroduces 3D concrete printing construction to the local for sale housing market, with a new single family home and additional multifamily units planned. The method signals a new building technique entering the area home supply. The project is about 9 miles south of Lake Forest Unit 1, elsewhere in Hillsborough County.
Source: Bay News 9 - January 2026Development
Flagship breaks ground on 46,000-square-foot Wiregrass Ranch Medical Pavilion in Wesley Chapel
Flagship Healthcare Properties broke ground in January 2026 on a 46,000-square-foot medical pavilion at Wiregrass Ranch in Wesley Chapel, adding outpatient medical space to the growing State Road 56 corridor.
What it may mean for the marketAdded outpatient medical space along the State Road 56 corridor deepens healthcare access and professional employment in Wesley Chapel, an amenity factor that can support nearby housing demand. The site is about 6 miles north of Lake Forest Unit 1.
Source: HCO News
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lake Forest Unit 1?
How long do homes in Lake Forest Unit 1 take to sell?
How many homes are in Lake Forest Unit 1?
What share of Lake Forest Unit 1 is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Lake Forest Unit 1 built?
Do cash buyers compete in Lake Forest Unit 1?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Forest Unit 1?
How do I find a top Lutz real estate agent who knows Lake Forest Unit 1?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Forest Unit 1?
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 13, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (2 streets, ZIP 33559)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2009 (42 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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