Lake Lucina
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Photo courtesy of VERTICAL REALTY · via realMLS
Homes For Sale Right Now in Lake Lucina
Live MLS inventory for Lake Lucina. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 68 daysTop listing
Active · 48 days
Active · 81 days
Active · 110 daysActive · 168 days
Active · 78 days
Pending · 40 days
Pending · 25 days
Pending · 40 daysActive and pending Lake Lucina listings as of 2026-10-23, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Lake Lucina's price is set by condition more than by a single fixed home type. Year built here spans a full century, from 1922 to 2024, with a median year built of 1957, and the median living area is 1,600 square feet. Against that mix, the median sale price of $264,500 works out to roughly $186 per square foot, a figure buyers should read as a midpoint across a genuinely wide range of ages and finishes rather than a price tag on any one kind of house.
The current posture is seller-leaning: months of supply sit at 1.5, active listings number just 4 against 2,040 homes in the community, and the median days on market is just over 33. Prices are up 9.8% year over year and 330% since 2012. A homestead share of 63.4% points to a base of longer-held, owner-occupied homes, which helps explain why so few are on the market at any given time. For sellers, that scarcity supports firm pricing; for buyers, it means moving decisively when the right listing appears rather than waiting for volume to build.
Figures in this note are as of July 14, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
Lake Lucina right now
🟡 Balanced market. 6.0 months of supply and 33% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of October 23, 2026. Confidence: Very High (9 active and pending listings, 25 closed sales in 12 months).
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($264K) is up 10.0% from the prior 12 months ($240K) and up 306% since 2012.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending October 23. Confidence: High (25 and 47 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
· Updated October 23, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Lake Lucina market snapshot (as of October 23, 2026): the median sale price is about $264K ($182 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 49 days on market for closed sales, and 6.0 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is up 10% from the prior 12 months and up 306% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (25 closings in the current window).
Lake Lucina is a community of 321 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 1951 and 1963 (median 1955), with a median living area of about 1,570 square feet. 66% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Lake Lucina is an established Duval County community where home vintages run the full range from 1922 to 2024, giving buyers real variation in age and layout around a single median price point of $264,500.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Lake Lucina. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Lake LucinaPhotos from realMLS listings in Lake Lucina; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Lake Lucina is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting a median price point near $264,500 who are comfortable evaluating homes across a wide range of build years, 1922 to 2024.
- Sellers of longer-held homes who want to price into a seller-leaning market with 1.5 months of supply and rising year-over-year values.
- Buyers who can move quickly once a listing appears, given the median 33.5-day time on market and a base of only 4 active listings.
Probably not for
- Buyers who want a large number of active listings to compare side by side before deciding.
- Buyers expecting a uniform home condition or age - the 1922-2024 build range means finishes and systems vary considerably from house to house.
- Anyone who wants a single quick number instead of a hand-prepared, condition-specific price opinion.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending October 23 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($264K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($240K) IS the +10.0% one-year change.
Windows contain 25 to 66 sales each (25 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
25% of homes for sale in ZIP 32211 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-10-20).
Lake Lucina Market Scorecard
Lake Lucina is currently a balanced market. About 6.0 months of supply, a median asking price of $288,750, and homes go under contract in about 81 days.
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Lake Lucina, Jacksonville
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Lake Lucina on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap contributors.
Life at Lake Lucina
- 24 Hour Security · reported on 1 of 5 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Lake Lucina are close: the nearest groceries is about 3 minutes away.
- Merrill Food Store · Groceries3 min
- Bento Sushi · Dining3 min
- Andrews Gifts & More · Shopping3 min
- Starbucks · Coffee3 min
- GameWell Tot Lot · Parks5 min
- Baptist Medical Center South · Health6 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Duval County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Lake Lucina Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade B · Public PreK-5
- Arlington Middle SchoolFLDOE grade C · Public 6-8
- Terry Parker High SchoolFLDOE grade C · Public 9-12
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Duval County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Lake Lucina address.
Recent Developments in Lake Lucina
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Lake Lucina, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated October 2026.
- October 2026Retail & Dining
Council committee defers vote on incentives for Downtown Publix at 119 W. Beaver St.
The Finance Committee deferred a $49.65 million incentive package for Gateway Jax's $140.15 million high-rise anchored by a Publix at 119 W. Beaver St. The tower is planned with 259 apartments and about 400 parking spaces. The committee is scheduled to revisit the bill Nov. 4, the day after the Amendment 3 vote.
What it may mean for the marketThe timing of the first full-size grocery store in the Downtown core depends on the incentive vote, affecting nearby retail access. The site is about 4 miles west of Lake Lucina.
Source: Jacksonville Today - September 2026Infrastructure
JEA advances about $690 million in infrastructure projects including Fulton Cut transmission line raise near JAXPORT
JEA is moving forward with three water reclamation projects (Blacks Ford in northwest St. Johns County, over $220 million; near Jacksonville International Airport, about $193 million; East Arlington, just under $165 million) and the $117 million Fulton Cut transmission line clearance over the St. Johns River near Blount Island. Fulton Cut, shared with JAXPORT and the city, is expected to finish in summer 2027 and all four projects by 2030.
What it may mean for the marketRaised power lines support larger ship access to port terminals, and new reclamation capacity supports growth in surrounding areas. The site is about 6 miles northeast of Lake Lucina.
Source: News4JAX - September 2026Development
Gateway Jax seeks more than $70 million in city incentives for Riverfront Plaza tower and Hotel Merrydelle
Gateway Jax is requesting about $55.4 million in incentives for a 17-story, roughly $271.5 million Riverfront Plaza tower with 130 to 170 hotel rooms and 50 to 150 residences on Independent Drive. It also seeks a $15 million loan for the nearly $50 million renovation of the former Ambassador Hotel at 420 Julia Street. The Downtown Investment Authority board votes Sept. 16 and City Council has the final say.
What it may mean for the marketIf approved, the projects would add hotel rooms, residences and restaurants along the Downtown riverfront. The site is about 4 miles west of Lake Lucina.
Source: Jacksonville Today - September 2026Development
Downtown review board approves concept for first new University of Florida graduate campus building in LaVilla
The Downtown Development Review Board voted 7-0 on Sept. 10 for a six to eight story, roughly 185,000 square foot academic building on a 2.34-acre site bounded by West Bay, Forsyth and North Lee streets. It is the first new building in a multiphase UF graduate and semiconductor institute campus estimated at $345 million. UF hopes to break ground in December, pending final design review and permitting.
What it may mean for the marketA large graduate campus adds education and technology jobs and daytime foot traffic to the western Downtown core. The site is about 5 miles west of Lake Lucina.
Source: Jacksonville Today - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The site is about 6 miles northeast of Lake Lucina.
Source: JAXPORT - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 6 miles northeast of Lake Lucina.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Lake Lucina buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lake Lucina today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Lucina.
What the century of home ages means for pricing
With a median year built of 1957 and homes recorded as far back as 1922 and as recent as 2024, Lake Lucina's housing stock is not uniform, and that shows up in the spread of value more than in the median itself. At a median living area of 1,600 square feet and a median price per square foot of $186, two homes with the same footprint can land at very different prices depending on how much of that century-plus of construction history they carry.
Supply is the other half of the story. Only 4 homes are active against a base of 2,040, and months of supply sits at 1.5 - a seller-leaning reading reinforced by a median of 33.5 days on market and 34 closings in the tracked window. A 63.4% homestead share suggests many owners have held their homes for a while, which keeps fresh inventory limited and gives sellers more room to hold a number when it is fairly set for condition.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Lucina. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Lake Lucina buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (7.7). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +306% since 2012; Recent Direction +10.0% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 6.0 months of supply; Owner Commitment 66% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 98.7% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community where active inventory is down to 4 listings and home ages range across a full century, pricing a Lake Lucina home well means weighing condition and vintage against the $264,500 median rather than leaning on a single comparable. We track the realmls feed for this community as of 2026-07-14 and read it against the 1.5 months of supply and 9.8% year-over-year movement so sellers price to the current seller-leaning market and buyers know what a competitive offer looks like before the next listing appears.
Lake Lucina in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Lake Lucina buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Lucina sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lake Lucina, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lake Lucina home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Lucina, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lake Lucina?
How long do homes in Lake Lucina take to sell?
Is Lake Lucina a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Lake Lucina?
What share of Lake Lucina is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Lake Lucina built?
Have Lake Lucina home prices gone up?
What schools serve Lake Lucina?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Lucina?
How do I find a top Jacksonville real estate agent who knows Lake Lucina?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Lucina?
Should you buy in Lake Lucina?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Lake Lucina with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 23, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending October 23, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (5 streets, ZIP 32211/32223/32257/32277)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-10-20 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (1,119 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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