Lake Lucina
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Lake Lucina's price is set by condition more than by a single fixed home type. Year built here spans a full century, from 1922 to 2024, with a median year built of 1957, and the median living area is 1,600 square feet. Against that mix, the median sale price of $264,500 works out to roughly $186 per square foot, a figure buyers should read as a midpoint across a genuinely wide range of ages and finishes rather than a price tag on any one kind of house.
The current posture is seller-leaning: months of supply sit at 1.5, active listings number just 4 against 2,040 homes in the community, and the median days on market is just over 33. Prices are up 9.8% year over year and 330% since 2012. A homestead share of 63.4% points to a base of longer-held, owner-occupied homes, which helps explain why so few are on the market at any given time. For sellers, that scarcity supports firm pricing; for buyers, it means moving decisively when the right listing appears rather than waiting for volume to build.
Lake Lucina right now
🔴 Seller-leaning market. 2.0 months of supply and 17% of the inventory already under contract give sellers the pressure advantage.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 23, 2026. Confidence: Very High (6 active and pending listings, 33 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($262K) is up 5.4% from the prior 12 months ($249K) and up 295% since 2012.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 23. Confidence: Very High (33 and 43 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 23, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Lake Lucina market snapshot (as of August 23, 2026): the median sale price is about $262K ($182 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 44 days on market for closed sales, and 2.0 months of supply, a seller-leaning market. The trailing-12-month median is up 5% from the prior 12 months and up 295% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (33 closings in the current window).
Lake Lucina is a community of 144 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 1951 and 1959 (median 1954.0), with a median living area of about 1,564 square feet. 63% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Lake Lucina is an established Duval County community where home vintages run the full range from 1922 to 2024, giving buyers real variation in age and layout around a single median price point of $264,500.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Lake Lucina. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Lake LucinaPhotos from realMLS listings in Lake Lucina; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Lake Lucina is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting a median price point near $264,500 who are comfortable evaluating homes across a wide range of build years, 1922 to 2024.
- Sellers of longer-held homes who want to price into a seller-leaning market with 1.5 months of supply and rising year-over-year values.
- Buyers who can move quickly once a listing appears, given the median 33.5-day time on market and a base of only 4 active listings.
Probably not for
- Buyers who want a large number of active listings to compare side by side before deciding.
- Buyers expecting a uniform home condition or age - the 1922-2024 build range means finishes and systems vary considerably from house to house.
- Anyone who wants a single quick number instead of a hand-prepared, condition-specific price opinion.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 23 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($262K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($249K) IS the +5.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 33 to 71 sales each (33 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Lake Lucina Market Scorecard
Lake Lucina is currently a strong seller's market. About 1.1 months of supply, a median asking price of $268,800, and homes go under contract in about 58 days.
Typical home value in the 32277 ZIP is $286,037, about 4.8% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Lake Lucina, Jacksonville
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Lake Lucina
Live MLS inventory for Lake Lucina. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 10 daysTop listing
Active · 39 daysActive · 53 daysActive · 109 days
Active · 34 days
Pending · 25 daysActive and pending Lake Lucina listings as of 2026-08-24, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Lake Lucina on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Lake Lucina
- 24 Hour Security · reported on 1 of 5 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Lake Lucina are close: the nearest groceries is about 3 minutes away.
- Merrill Food Store · Groceries3 min
- Bento Sushi · Dining3 min
- Andrews Gifts & More · Shopping3 min
- Starbucks · Coffee3 min
- GameWell Tot Lot · Parks5 min
- Baptist Medical Center South · Health6 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Duval County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Lake Lucina Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade B · Public PreK-5
- Arlington Middle SchoolFLDOE grade C · Public 6-8
- Terry Parker High SchoolFLDOE grade C · Public 9-12
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Duval County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Lake Lucina address.
Recent Developments in Lake Lucina
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Lake Lucina, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
JWB secures funding for 108 affordable housing units in Jacksonville
Jacksonville Today reported that JWB Real Estate Capital secured about $28.59 million in gap funding for 108 income-restricted units across three Westside sites on Tracy, Justina and Ricker roads. Plans include 38 townhome-style units and two sets of 35 efficiency units, priced at or below 60% of area median income for 50 years. Groundbreaking is expected by September 2026 with completion in 2027.
What it may mean for the marketAdds new income-restricted rental and townhome housing supply on the Westside, increasing the stock of long-term affordable units and drawing public and tax-credit investment into three infill sites. The project is about 11 miles southwest of Lake Lucina, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Development
Culinary Institute of America selects Jacksonville for Southeast campus
News4Jax reported that the Culinary Institute of America chose downtown Jacksonville for its Southeast hub, to be located at 330 E. Bay Street on the Northbank riverfront. The campus would anchor a $160.5 million hotel and convention center development. The city previously approved up to $35 million in incentives, and the Downtown Investment Authority is finalizing agreements on design and property details.
What it may mean for the marketAnchors a major downtown riverfront redevelopment that pairs an educational campus with hotel and convention space, adding institutional and commercial investment to the urban core alongside Riverfront Plaza and Pearl Square. The project is about 3 miles west of Lake Lucina, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The project is about 19 miles southwest of Lake Lucina, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The site is about 6 miles northeast of Lake Lucina.
Source: JAXPORT - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The project is about 19 miles southwest of Lake Lucina, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 6 miles northeast of Lake Lucina.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Lake Lucina buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lake Lucina today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Come strong and clean. Homes here move, so lead with your best terms and financing ready rather than a low anchor.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Lucina.
What the century of home ages means for pricing
With a median year built of 1957 and homes recorded as far back as 1922 and as recent as 2024, Lake Lucina's housing stock is not uniform, and that shows up in the spread of value more than in the median itself. At a median living area of 1,600 square feet and a median price per square foot of $186, two homes with the same footprint can land at very different prices depending on how much of that century-plus of construction history they carry.
Supply is the other half of the story. Only 4 homes are active against a base of 2,040, and months of supply sits at 1.5 - a seller-leaning reading reinforced by a median of 33.5 days on market and 34 closings in the tracked window. A 63.4% homestead share suggests many owners have held their homes for a while, which keeps fresh inventory limited and gives sellers more room to hold a number when it is fairly set for condition.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Lucina. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Lake Lucina buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (8.1). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +295% since 2012; Recent Direction +5.4% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 2.0 months of supply; Owner Commitment 63% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 98.1% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community where active inventory is down to 4 listings and home ages range across a full century, pricing a Lake Lucina home well means weighing condition and vintage against the $264,500 median rather than leaning on a single comparable. We track the realmls feed for this community as of 2026-07-14 and read it against the 1.5 months of supply and 9.8% year-over-year movement so sellers price to the current seller-leaning market and buyers know what a competitive offer looks like before the next listing appears.
Lake Lucina in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA. Confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Lake Lucina buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Lucina sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lake Lucina, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lake Lucina home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Lucina, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Lake Lucina on the map →
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale prices in Lake Lucina Jacksonville year by year since 2012, from closed MLS sales. Long-run history beats any single estimate: it shows what this community has actually done through rate cycles, not what a model guesses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lake Lucina?
How long do homes in Lake Lucina take to sell?
Is Lake Lucina a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Lake Lucina?
What share of Lake Lucina is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Lake Lucina built?
Have Lake Lucina home prices gone up?
What schools serve Lake Lucina?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Lucina?
How do I find a top Jacksonville real estate agent who knows Lake Lucina?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Lucina?
Should you buy in Lake Lucina?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Lake Lucina with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 23, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 23, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (3 streets, ZIP 32211)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-18 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (1,117 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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