KINGS BAY
Homes for Sale in WINTER GARDEN, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Kings Bay is a condition-and-lot story, not a floor-plan story. With homes spanning from 1945 to 2024 and a median build year of 1987, what a buyer pays here tracks how much work a house needs and how far a renovation has already gone. The median sits at $530,000 with a median around $348 per square foot on roughly 1,560 square feet — a number that reflects location and finished condition more than raw size. Expect a wide spread between tired originals and studs-out rebuilds; the median is a midpoint, not a menu.
The current posture favors sellers who have done the work. A median of just five days on market against 132 homes points to fast absorption when a property is priced to condition. For buyers, that means pre-approval and a clear renovation budget before you tour, not after. For sellers, the speed is real but conditional — the market rewards move-in-ready and punishes overpricing a dated house against turnkey comps.
KINGS BAY right now
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($441K) is up 63.3% from the prior 12 months ($270K) and up 530% since 2012. With about 7 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2. Confidence: Low (5 and 3 sales in the two windows).
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Updated August 2, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
KINGS BAY market snapshot (as of August 2, 2026): the median sale price is about $441K ($340 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 45 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 63% from the prior 12 months and up 530% since 2012, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (5 closings in the current window).
KINGS BAY is a community of 140 homes in WINTER GARDEN, Orange County, built between 1945 and 2024 (median 1988), with a median living area of about 1,562 square feet. 55% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Kings Bay in Winter Garden is an established, mixed-vintage pocket where a nearly eight-decade build range means two houses on the same street can be entirely different products. Roughly 55% homestead ownership signals a settled, owner-occupied character rather than a churn of short holds.
Who KINGS BAY is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting an established Winter Garden location around the mid-$500s who value place over size
- Renovation-minded buyers with a real budget for older systems and finishes
- Long-hold owners comfortable in a mixed-vintage, owner-occupied pocket
Probably not for
- Buyers who need the most living space per dollar and won't compromise on square footage
- Anyone wanting uniform, newer construction across the board
- Buyers who can't move quickly or firmly in a market clearing in about five days
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 2 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($441K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($270K) IS the +63.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 12 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2005 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
28% of homes for sale in ZIP 34787 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-01).
The KINGS BAY buying strategy.
If we were buying in KINGS BAY today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in KINGS BAY.
Why condition writes the price here
The 1945–2024 build range is the single most important fact about this market. A median year built of 1987 tells you the middle of the stock is decades old, but the newer end reflects teardowns and rebuilds that have reset entire lots. That variance is why the median price of $530,000 should be read as an anchor, not a ceiling or a floor — the same square footage can carry very different value depending on whether the systems, roof, and kitchen have been touched.
At around $348 per square foot on a median of roughly 1,560 square feet, this is not a market where you buy space cheaply; you buy location and finish. With a five-day median on market, well-prepared listings clear quickly, so the practical work happens before you write an offer — understanding what a given house actually is, and what it will cost to bring to the standard the fastest-moving comps have set.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in KINGS BAY. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in KINGS BAY buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (8.3). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +530% since 2012; Recent Direction +63.3% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 55% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 96.4% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
A market this fast, with this much variance between original and renovated homes, is exactly where a local read pays off. We help buyers separate a fair price for a dated house from a fair price for a finished one, and we help sellers position a listing against the specific comps driving that five-day pace — not against a number that ignores condition.
KINGS BAY in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a KINGS BAY buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed KINGS BAY sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in KINGS BAY, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your KINGS BAY home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in KINGS BAY, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in KINGS BAY?
How long do homes in KINGS BAY take to sell?
How many homes are in KINGS BAY?
What share of KINGS BAY is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in KINGS BAY built?
Do cash buyers compete in KINGS BAY?
Have KINGS BAY home prices gone up?
Who is the best real estate agent for KINGS BAY?
How do I find a top WINTER GARDEN real estate agent who knows KINGS BAY?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for KINGS BAY?
Should you buy in KINGS BAY?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 34787/34972/34974/99999)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-08-01 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2005 (129 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Stellar MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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