Florida Housing IntelligenceOrange County › 34787 (Winter Garden)
Aerial view of 34787, Florida

34787 (Winter Garden)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Orange County

Median sale price $595,000, down 0.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 36 days, 357 homes on the market.

205 communities reporting2,162 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 64
Live Market Pulse
64/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
1,372 homes sold here in the last 12 months. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 34787 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$595K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 0.6% vs the prior 12 months
-0.6%
1-yr price change
n = 2,162 recent sales
$251/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Orange County: $239 · -1.2% vs prior yr
96.6%
Sale vs ask
Orange County: 95.8% · -0.4pp vs prior yr
$404K
Orange County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -1.7% vs a year ago
Tempo
3.8mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
36days
Median DOM · closed
Orange County: 40 days · +2.0 days vs prior yr
32%
Under contract
Orange County: 32%
357 · 169 ▼14
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
1,372
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · flat vs prior yr
Market context
27%
Listings with price cuts
Orange County · Zillow · +1.1pp vs prior month
6,856
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · +0.5% vs prior month
31%
New construction
share of recent sales · -6.4pp vs prior yr
20%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 25% · -1.5pp vs prior yr
64/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
Economy & people · county layer
$77,011
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
1,440,471
County population
+9.0% since 2018
5.2×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
57%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,795/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 3.8 months of supply — balanced by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 32% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 0.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 96.6% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 64
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage36
Seller leverage64

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 32% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.2× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 34787 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
7.5 mo · buyer-tilted · 28 active
$300K–$500K
2.3 mo · seller-tilted · 56 active
$500K–$750K
3.1 mo · balanced band · 205 active
$750K+
3.3 mo · balanced band · 68 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 34787 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (202 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 34787 (Winter Garden)

The median sale price across 34787 currently stands at $595,000, down 0.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $251 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 36 days. Sellers are capturing 96.6% of their original asking price on average.

There are 357 active listings on the market, with 169 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 3.8 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 1,372 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Orange County stands at $403,786. About 27% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 34787 is 64 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

34787 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $144,572 in 2012 and $643,899 over the last recorded year — 345% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 20% of recent sales, down from a 25% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (14,004 recorded sales)

$134K$394K$654K$644K2012: $145K2013: $254K2014: $248K2015: $279K2016: $305K2017: $320K2018: $359K2019: $370K2021: $506K2022: $548K2023: $606K2024: $613K2025: $614K2026: $644K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

6d47d89d41d2012: 33d2013: 28d2014: 34d2015: 55d2016: 48d2017: 54d2018: 81d2019: 88d2021: 11d2022: 8d2023: 18d2024: 31d2025: 39d2026: 41d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

19%22%25%20%2016: 24%2017: 19%2018: 21%2019: 19%2020: 22%2021: 19%2022: 25%2023: 24%2024: 21%2025: 22%2026: 20%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Orange County (Zillow ZHVI)

$404K$407K$411K$404KJul '25: $411KAug '25: $408KSep '25: $407KOct '25: $406KNov '25: $406KDec '25: $406KJan '26: $407KFeb '26: $407KMar '26: $406KApr '26: $406KMay '26: $405KJun '26: $404KJul '26: $404KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

6,1976,7177,2366,856Jul '25: 7,216Aug '25: 7,189Sep '25: 7,039Oct '25: 6,885Nov '25: 6,694Dec '25: 6,422Jan '26: 6,239Feb '26: 6,218Mar '26: 6,471Apr '26: 6,636May '26: 6,782Jun '26: 6,820Jul '26: 6,856Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Orange County (MLS)

1,8143,8505,885Jul 07 · Active: 5,644Aug 03 · Active: 5,739Aug 04 · Active: 5,674Aug 05 · Active: 5,743Aug 06 · Active: 5,726Aug 07 · Active: 5,757Aug 08 · Active: 5,775Aug 09 · Active: 5,778Aug 10 · Active: 5,768Aug 11 · Active: 5,742Aug 12 · Active: 5,725Aug 13 · Active: 5,715Aug 15 · Active: 5,774Aug 17 · Active: 5,745Aug 19 · Active: 5,705Aug 22 · Active: 5,767Aug 23 · Active: 5,763Aug 28 · Active: 5,744Aug 29 · Active: 5,787Aug 30 · Active: 5,804Aug 31 · Active: 5,778Sep 07 · Active: 5,731Sep 09 · Active: 5,721Sep 11 · Active: 5,773Sep 12 · Active: 5,765Sep 13 · Active: 5,750Sep 14 · Active: 5,739Sep 15 · Active: 5,725Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$570K$595K$620K$595KAug 06: $595KAug 08: $595KAug 09: $595KAug 10: $595KAug 11: $595KAug 12: $595KAug 13: $595KAug 15: $595KAug 17: $595KAug 18: $595KAug 19: $595KAug 20: $595KAug 21: $595KAug 22: $595KAug 23: $595KAug 24: $595KAug 26: $595KAug 28: $595KAug 29: $595KAug 30: $595KAug 31: $595KSep 01: $595KSep 04: $595KSep 05: $595KSep 06: $595KSep 07: $595KSep 08: $595KSep 09: $595KSep 10: $595KSep 11: $595KSep 12: $595KSep 13: $595KSep 14: $595KSep 15: $595KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 80%Townhome 14%? 3%Condo 3%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 34787

Who’s moving here
-9,037 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, CA, NJ, TX. Movers arriving report ~$66,457 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,409/yr avg premium

4,204 Citizens policies in force in Orange County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Orange purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
13,140 units permitted +63% YoY

4,221 single-family · 8,919 multi-family · 9.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
HAWKSMOOR-PH 1 ▼ 32%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 7.5 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 34787 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 2.3 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Orange

MarketMedianActiveScore
34787 ← this page$595K35764
32703$395K14676Open →
32819$543K13854Open →
32827$797K13759Open →
32832$540K12960Open →
32835$289K11842Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Watermark Phase 4AWinter Garden$692K▲ 29%
WATERMARKWinter Garden$695K▲ 28%
Winter GroveWinter Garden$1.08M▲ 26%
Cypress Reserve Phase 2Winter Garden$922K▲ 23%
Longleaf Oakland RepOakland$472K▲ 22%
Prices cooling fastest
HAWKSMOOR-PH 1Winter Garden$485K▼ 32%
hawksmoorWinter Garden$460K▼ 32%
silverleaf oaks at hamlinWinter Garden$542K▼ 32%
Encore/Ovation Ph 4B Sec 19Winter Garden$479K▼ 25%
HIGHLANDS/SUMMERLAKE GRVS PH 1Winter Garden$615K▼ 23%
Most homes for sale
waterleighWinter Garden$580K59
WATERMARKWinter Garden$695K22
LAKESHORE PRESERVEWinter Garden$1.00M21
storey groveWinter Garden$525K14
OSPREY RANCHWinter Garden$580K12
Selling fastest
Silverleaf OaksWinter Garden$500K4 days
OAKLAND PARKWinter Garden$935K5 days
Parkview HamlinWinter Garden$488K5 days
OSPREY RANCHWinter Garden$580K7 days
SUMMERLAKEWinter Garden$580K7 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 34787 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 34787 — the Momentum Score reads 64/100 with 3.8 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 34787 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 34787 is $595,000, down 0.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.6% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 34787?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are HAWKSMOOR-PH 1 (-32%); hawksmoor (-32%); silverleaf oaks at hamlin (-32%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 34787 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Silverleaf Oaks (4 days); OAKLAND PARK (5 days); Parkview Hamlin (5 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 36 days.

Questions

34787 (Winter Garden) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 34787 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 34787 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $595,000 (down 0.6% year over year), 357 homes are for sale against 1,372 sales in the last 12 months, which is 3.8 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 36 days.

How much is a house in 34787?

The median home sold for $595,000 in 34787 over the last 12 months, about $251 per square foot; asking prices on the 357 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 34787?

By the numbers, sellers in 34787 are getting 96.6% of asking price and going under contract in about 36 days with 3.8 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 34787 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 34787 median sale prices are down 0.6% year over year, inventory stands at 3.8 months of supply, and 32% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 34787?

The median sale price in 34787 is currently $595,000, down 0.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 34787 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently favors sellers. 34787 scores 64 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 3.8 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 34787?

The typical home in 34787 goes under contract in about 36 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 34787?

There are approximately 357 active listings in 34787 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 34787 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 0.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 34787 (Winter Garden). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.