33511 (Brandon)
Housing Market & Home Values
Median sale price $415,000, up 2.3% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 31 days, 76 homes on the market.
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Housing Market Analyst
Inventory sits at 2.8 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 26% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are up 2.3% versus the prior year and sellers are still collecting 96.1% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a seller-leaning market.
Who has leverage right now
Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors sellers.
- Prices — pressure remains upward while supply stays this thin.
- Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
- Negotiating power — sellers hold the leverage while 26% of inventory sits under contract.
- Mortgage sensitivity — at 5.0× income, this market is highly sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.
Derived from current 33511 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.
One inventory number hides four different markets
Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.
Where 33511 is hot — and where it isn't
Each dot is a community (82 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.
The read on 33511 (Brandon)
The median sale price across 33511 currently stands at $415,000, up 2.3% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $242 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 31 days. Sellers are capturing 96.1% of their original asking price on average.
There are 76 active listings on the market, with 20 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.8 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 348 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.
Zillow's home value index for Hillsborough County stands at $377,121. About 33% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.
Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33511 is 67 of 100 — healthy market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of October 5, 2026.
33511 since 2012 — and where it’s heading
A median home here sold for $121,309 in 2012 and $427,894 over the last recorded year — 253% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 13% of recent sales, down from a 39% peak.
Median sale price · 2012–2026 (11,336 recorded sales)
Days on market by year
Cash buyers · share of sales
Home value trend · Hillsborough County (Zillow ZHVI)
For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)
Daily active vs pending · Hillsborough County (MLS)
Median price · daily recalculation
What’s driving 33511
Top inbound states: NY, TX, NJ, GA. Movers arriving report ~$77,979 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023
6,518 Citizens policies in force in Hillsborough County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Hillsborough purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026
4,295 single-family · 4,401 multi-family · 5.8 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025
The calls we’re making from today’s data
The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.
The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 33511 right now.
The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.
Sellers: price to the last 60 days of comps, not the peak — well-prepared listings are still commanding strong terms. Buyers: get underwritten now so you can move when the right house hits.
Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.
Nearby ZIP codes in Hillsborough
| Market | Median | Active | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33511 ← this page | $415K | 76 | 67 | |
| 33604 | $374K | 436 | 66 | Open → |
| 33579 | $362K | 238 | 53 | Open → |
| 33578 | $348K | 226 | 57 | Open → |
| 33598 | $360K | 183 | 60 | Open → |
| 33569 | $352K | 171 | 61 | Open → |
Neighborhoods on the move
| Lakeview Village Section JBrandon | $386K | ▲ 8% |
| HILLSIDE UNIT 07Brandon | $425K | ▲ 7% |
| bloomingdale sec nValrico | $406K | ▲ 6% |
| parkland estatesTampa | $2.25M | ▲ 5% |
| UnplattedTampa | $415K | ▲ 4% |
| la collina ph 1bBrandon | $567K | ▼ 16% |
| Park Lake At Parsons A CondomiBrandon | $135K | ▼ 16% |
| WATERMILL AT PROVIDENCE LAKESBrandon | $375K | ▼ 14% |
| BRENTWOOD HILLS TR A UNIT 01Valrico | $335K | ▼ 13% |
| brentwood hills tr a unit 2Valrico | $324K | ▼ 13% |
| heather lakes unit 24 ph 2Brandon | $280K | 11 |
| bloomingdale sec nValrico | $406K | 7 |
| providence twnhms ph 1Brandon | $219K | 7 |
| Bloomingdale TownesBrandon | $374K | 4 |
| brentwood hills tr a unit 2Valrico | $324K | 4 |
| parkland estatesTampa | $2.25M | 8 days |
| Hillside Unit 08Brandon | $380K | 10 days |
| Southwood HillsBrandon | $352K | 12 days |
| WATERMILL AT PROVIDENCE LAKESBrandon | $375K | 13 days |
| RANDOM OAKS PH IRiverview | $345K | 16 days |
Cities in this ZIP
Most active communities
Put this data to work
The questions people actually ask
Should I buy a house in 33511 right now?
The data says conditions currently favor sellers in 33511 — the Momentum Score reads 67/100 with 2.8 months of supply. Buyers should come fully underwritten; sellers still set the pace here. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.
Is 33511 becoming more affordable?
No — the median sale price in 33511 is $415,000, up 2.3% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 96.1% of asking price. Rising prices mean waiting has a cost; affordability hinges mostly on your rate.
Where are prices falling fastest in 33511?
Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are la collina ph 1b (-16%); Park Lake At Parsons A Condomi (-16%); WATERMILL AT PROVIDENCE LAKES (-14%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.
Which 33511 neighborhoods are most competitive?
Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are parkland estates (8 days); Hillside Unit 08 (10 days); Southwood Hills (12 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 31 days.
33511 (Brandon) housing market FAQ
How is the housing market in 33511 right now?
As of October 5, 2026, the 33511 housing market favors sellers: the median sale price is $415,000 (up 2.3% year over year), 76 homes are for sale against 348 sales in the last 12 months, which is 2.8 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 31 days.
How much is a house in 33511?
The median home sold for $415,000 in 33511 over the last 12 months, about $242 per square foot; asking prices on the 76 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.
Is it a good time to sell a house in 33511?
By the numbers, sellers in 33511 are getting 96.1% of asking price and going under contract in about 31 days with 2.8 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.
What is the 33511 housing market forecast?
Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33511 median sale prices are up 2.3% year over year, inventory stands at 2.8 months of supply, and 26% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.
What is the median home price in 33511?
The median sale price in 33511 is currently $415,000, up 2.3% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated October 5, 2026.
Is 33511 a buyer's or seller's market right now?
The data currently favors sellers. 33511 scores 67 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.8 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.
How long do homes take to sell in 33511?
The typical home in 33511 goes under contract in about 31 days, per current MLS data.
How many homes are for sale in 33511?
There are approximately 76 active listings in 33511 as of October 5, 2026.
Are home prices in 33511 rising or falling?
Median sale prices are up 2.3% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.
Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33511 (Brandon). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.
Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .
Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: October 5, 2026 at 1:44 PM ET
Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.