Aerial view of 33928, Florida

33928 (Estero)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Lee County

Median sale price $520,000, down 2.6% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 66 days, 396 homes on the market.

85 communities reporting1,491 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 45
Live Market Pulse
45/100
Momentum
Buyer's Opportunity
Buyers are negotiating roughly 7% off asking. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 33928 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$520K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 2.6% vs the prior 12 months
-2.6%
1-yr price change
n = 1,491 recent sales
$260/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Lee County: $221 · -5.6% vs prior yr
92.8%
Sale vs ask
Lee County: 93.2% · +0.2pp vs prior yr
$337K
Lee County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -5.4% vs a year ago
Tempo
66days
Median DOM · closed
Lee County: 60 days · +5.0 days vs prior yr
28%
Under contract
Lee County: 22%
396 · 143
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
Market context
22%
Listings with price cuts
Lee County · Zillow · -1.8pp vs prior month
11,185
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -6.6% vs prior month
3%
New construction
share of recent sales · -2.3pp vs prior yr
18%
Cash buyers
share of sales · peak 30% · +0.8pp vs prior yr
45/100
Momentum score
Buyer's Opportunity
Economy & people · county layer
$73,099
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
792,692
County population
+10.3% since 2018
4.6×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
74%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,699/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

28% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 2.6% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 92.8% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 45
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage55
Seller leverage45

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Inventory — tightening over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 28% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.6× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 33928 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
mo · buyer-tilted · 73 active
$300K–$500K
mo · buyer-tilted · 133 active
$500K–$750K
mo · buyer-tilted · 125 active
$750K+
mo · buyer-tilted · 65 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 33928 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (85 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 33928 (Estero)

The median sale price across 33928 currently stands at $520,000, down 2.6% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $260 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 66 days. Sellers are capturing 92.8% of their original asking price on average.

There are 396 active listings on the market, with 143 more already under contract.

Zillow's home value index for Lee County stands at $337,352. About 22% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 33928 is 45 of 100 — buyer's opportunity territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

33928 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $210,386 in 2012 and $559,591 over the last recorded year — 166% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales. Cash buyers took 18% of recent sales, down from a 30% peak.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (17,953 recorded sales)

$202K$409K$615K$560K2012: $210K2013: $228K2014: $281K2015: $316K2016: $316K2017: $307K2018: $314K2019: $317K2020: $332K2021: $398K2022: $541K2023: $585K2024: $607K2025: $574K2026: $560K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

4d64d124d66d2012: 82d2013: 122d2014: 62d2015: 46d2016: 47d2017: 59d2018: 61d2019: 61d2020: 49d2021: 19d2022: 7d2023: 25d2024: 48d2025: 61d2026: 66d20122015201920232026

Cash buyers · share of sales

11%21%31%18%2016: 21%2017: 20%2018: 22%2019: 24%2020: 12%2021: 12%2022: 28%2023: 24%2024: 30%2025: 17%2026: 18%20162018202120242026

Home value trend · Lee County (Zillow ZHVI)

$337K$347K$357K$337KJul '25: $357KAug '25: $352KSep '25: $349KOct '25: $347KNov '25: $345KDec '25: $343KJan '26: $343KFeb '26: $342KMar '26: $341KApr '26: $340KMay '26: $339KJun '26: $338KJul '26: $337KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

11,12312,67014,21711,185Jul '25: 14,156Aug '25: 13,144Sep '25: 12,315Oct '25: 11,913Nov '25: 11,951Dec '25: 12,181Jan '26: 12,664Feb '26: 13,059Mar '26: 13,493Apr '26: 13,309May '26: 12,795Jun '26: 11,977Jul '26: 11,185Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Lee County (MLS)

2,0525,8019,550Aug 22 · Active: 9,401Aug 23 · Active: 9,393Aug 28 · Active: 9,327Aug 29 · Active: 9,326Aug 30 · Active: 9,318Aug 31 · Active: 9,304Sep 07 · Active: 9,176Sep 09 · Active: 9,176Sep 11 · Active: 9,156Sep 12 · Active: 9,157Sep 13 · Active: 9,138Sep 14 · Active: 9,126Sep 15 · Active: 9,126Aug 22Sep 07Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$507K$514K$520K$520KAug 06: $508KAug 08: $508KAug 09: $508KAug 10: $508KAug 11: $508KAug 12: $508KAug 13: $508KAug 15: $508KAug 17: $508KAug 18: $508KAug 19: $508KAug 20: $508KAug 21: $508KAug 22: $508KAug 23: $508KAug 24: $508KAug 26: $508KAug 28: $508KAug 29: $508KAug 30: $508KAug 31: $508KSep 01: $508KSep 04: $508KSep 05: $508KSep 06: $508KSep 07: $508KSep 08: $508KSep 09: $508KSep 10: $508KSep 11: $508KSep 12: $520KSep 13: $520KSep 14: $520KSep 15: $520KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Single-family 98%? 1%Condo 0%
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 33928

Who’s moving here
+4,899 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: NY, IL, NJ, OH. Movers arriving report ~$123,695 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$2,197/yr avg premium

6,508 Citizens policies in force in Lee County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Lee purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
13,547 units permitted -12% YoY

9,962 single-family · 3,585 multi-family · 17.1 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Bonita National Golf And Country Club ▲ 42%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Lee

MarketMedianActiveScore
33928 ← this page$520K39645
33908$336K71035Open →
33905$320K52142Open →
33913$445K49345Open →
34135$472K45242Open →
34134$595K42636Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
Bonita National Golf And Country ClubBonita Springs$750K▲ 42%
Marsh LandingEstero$475K▲ 26%
Estero Bay ShoresBonita Springs$745K▲ 18%
Vista WildblueFort Myers$1.15M▲ 17%
Belle LagoEstero$905K▲ 15%
Prices cooling fastest
Jasmine Bay NorthEstero$702K▼ 30%
WellingtonFort Myers$295K▼ 26%
Riverwoods PlantationEstero$117K▼ 24%
Wildcat RunEstero$950K▼ 19%
Rivers ReachEstero$226K▼ 18%
Most homes for sale
Verdana VillageEstero$609K36
Bonita National Golf And Country ClubBonita Springs$750K23
StoneybrookEstero$420K23
Rivercreek In EsteroEstero$750K21
Bella TerraEstero$495K17
Selling fastest
Villa PalmerasEstero$436K20 days
Island Club At CorkscrewEstero$325K23 days
Marsh LandingEstero$475K30 days
RapalloEstero$395K31 days
Oak RunEstero$636K32 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 33928 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 33928 — the Momentum Score reads 45/100. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 33928 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 33928 is $520,000, down 2.6% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 92.8% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 33928?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Jasmine Bay North (-30%); Wellington (-26%); Riverwoods Plantation (-24%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 33928 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Villa Palmeras (20 days); Island Club At Corkscrew (23 days); Marsh Landing (30 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 66 days.

Questions

33928 (Estero) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 33928 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 33928 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $520,000 (down 2.6% year over year), 396 homes are for sale, and the typical home goes under contract in about 66 days.

How much is a house in 33928?

The median home sold for $520,000 in 33928 over the last 12 months, about $260 per square foot; asking prices on the 396 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 33928?

By the numbers, sellers in 33928 are getting 92.8% of asking price and going under contract in about 66 days. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 33928 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 33928 median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year, and 28% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 33928?

The median sale price in 33928 is currently $520,000, down 2.6% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 33928 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 33928 scores 45 of 100 on the Momentum Score. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 33928?

The typical home in 33928 goes under contract in about 66 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 33928?

There are approximately 396 active listings in 33928 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 33928 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 2.6% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 33928 (Estero). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

Talk to founders
Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.