Bear Run
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat

Bear Run's value is set almost entirely by the individual home, not by any shared feature -- current MLS data show no identified community amenities, and the resale stock runs a narrow band of ages, built between 1984 and 1996 with a median year built of 1987 and a median living area of 1,506 square feet. At a median price of $285,900 (about $183.65 per square foot), condition and how a given unit has been updated do more to explain price than location within the community.
The current posture is seller-leaning: just 2 active listings against 13 closings in the recent window puts months of supply at 1.8, and the typical home has gone under contract in a median of 26 days. Prices are down 2.3% year over year, but that has to be read against 201% appreciation since 2012 -- a market that has cooled from its run-up rather than one in genuine decline. For a seller, thin inventory is the leverage; for a buyer, it means being ready to move on a well-priced listing rather than waiting for more choices to show up.
Bear Run right now
🟡 Balanced market. 1.8 months of supply and 50% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of July 14, 2026. Confidence: High (4 active and pending listings, 13 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($286K) is down 2.3% from the prior 12 months ($292K) and up 201% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14. Confidence: Medium (13 and 10 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Bear Run market snapshot (as of July 14, 2026): the median sale price is about $286K ($184 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 26 days on market for closed sales, and 1.8 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is down 2% from the prior 12 months and up 201% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (13 closings in the current window).
Bear Run is a community of 355 homes in Orange Park, Clay County, built between 1984 and 1996 (median 1987.0), with a median living area of about 1,506 square feet. 70% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Bear Run is a small, established Orange Park community of 355 homes built between 1984 and 1996, where pricing tracks the individual home's condition and updates more than any shared amenity package.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Bear Run. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
Photos from realMLS listings in Bear Run; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Bear Run is best for.
Best for
- Buyers comfortable with an older (1984-1996) home and budgeting for updates rather than paying a premium for a heavily renovated or new-construction property.
- Move-up or downsizing buyers targeting around 1,506 square feet who want an established resale footprint rather than an amenity-driven HOA.
- Sellers with a well-updated home who want to price into a seller-leaning market with under two months of supply.
Probably not for
- Buyers who need a packaged amenity community -- none are identified in current MLS data for Bear Run.
- Buyers set on new construction or a home built after the mid-1990s.
- Buyers expecting a large selection to choose from -- only 2 active listings were on the market as of this snapshot.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 14 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($286K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($292K) IS the -2.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 10 to 33 sales each (13 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Bear Run Market Scorecard
Bear Run is currently a strong seller's market. About 1.8 months of supply, a median asking price of $314,364, and homes go under contract in about 51 days.
Typical home value in the 32065 ZIP is $327,006, about 29.5% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Bear Run
Live MLS inventory for Bear Run. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 47 daysTop listing
Active · 75 days
Pending · 117 days
Pending · 15 daysActive and pending Bear Run listings as of 2026-07-14, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Bear Run on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Bear Run are close: the nearest parks is about 2 minutes away.
- Eagle Harbor Waterfront Park · Parks2 min
- Talons Clubhouse Restaurant · Dining4 min
- Star Food · Groceries19 min
- Haven - Custead Hospice Care Center · Health19 min
- Bolton Plaza · Shopping20 min
- Panera Bread · Coffee20 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Clay County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Ridgeview Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public PK-6, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
- Lakeside Junior High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 7-8, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
- Ridgeview High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12, zoned
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Clay County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Bear Run address.
The Bear Run buying strategy.
If we were buying in Bear Run today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Bear Run.
A Single-Generation Resale Market, Not an Amenity Community
With 355 homes and a year-built range of 1984 to 1996 (median 1987), Bear Run is a single-generation resale community -- much of the housing stock is old enough that major systems (roof, HVAC, water heater) have likely been replaced at least once, and how recently that work was done is often the biggest swing factor in price. Median living area sits at 1,506 square feet, so this reads as a starter-to-mid-size footprint rather than an executive-home market.
Inventory here is genuinely tight -- 2 active listings is a small pool in a community of 355 homes -- and a market heat score of 34 reflects that combination of low supply and a moderate 26-day median time on market rather than a bidding-war frenzy. About 70% of homes carry a homestead exemption, consistent with a resale market where turnover tends to come from move-up or downsizing decisions rather than short-term ownership churn.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Bear Run. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Bear Run buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (7.5). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +201% since 2012; Recent Direction -2.3% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 1.8 months of supply; Owner Commitment 70% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.6% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community this size, with only 2 active listings and no amenity data to lean on, pricing a home correctly comes down to comparable-level detail work -- knowing which of the recent 13 closings actually match a given home's age, square footage, and condition. Momentum tracks Bear Run's resale activity closing by closing rather than relying on a community-wide average, which matters when price-per-square-foot is being driven by renovation status more than anything else.
Bear Run in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- No CDD
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Page states no CDD.
Tools for a Bear Run buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Bear Run sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Bear Run, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Bear Run home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Bear Run, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Bear Run on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Bear Run?
How long do homes in Bear Run take to sell?
Is Bear Run a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Bear Run?
What share of Bear Run is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Bear Run built?
Do cash buyers compete in Bear Run?
Have Bear Run home prices gone up?
What schools serve Bear Run?
Who is the best real estate agent for Bear Run?
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Bear Run?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Bear Run?
Should you buy in Bear Run?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Bear Run with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: July 14, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (15 streets, ZIP 32065)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (363 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
Looking to buy here? Search homes for sale →
What’s your home worth in your area?
A real valuation with real comps from a local listing agent, not an instant algorithm. Response within one business day.






