Bear Run in Orange Park

Bear Run
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL

Community in Orange Park · Clay County · ZIP 32065
355 homesBuilt 1984–1996Median sale $286K
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Live Market Pulse
34/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2013 → 2026 · 81 at the 2022 peak
0 is Bear Run's coldest market since 2013, 100 its hottest. Today: 34. How it's scored
Built fromLive realMLS data25 years of closingsFL DOR public recordsUpdated twice daily
Live · Bear Run Housing Pulse realMLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$286K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 2.3% vs the prior 12 months
-2.3%
1-yr price change
n = 13 and 10 sales in the two windows
$184/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $193 in 2024
95.6%
Sale vs ask
+201%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $95K median in 2012
Tempo
1.8mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
26days
Median DOM · closed
9 days at the 2022 low
50%
Under contract
Clay: 29% (300 of 1,025)
2 · 2
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
13
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 14 a year
Ownership and context
70%
Owner-occupied · Bear Run
248 of 355 parcels homesteaded (FL DOR 2025)
30%
Non-owner-occupied · Bear Run
incl. 10% trust or LLC-held · 15% out-of-state
0%
Cash buyers · Bear Run
0 of 6 sales, 12 mo ending July 2025
355
Homes in the community
355 residential parcels (FL DOR 2025)
Track record · 25 years of records
Est. 1984
Community established
homes built 1984-1996, median 1987 (FL DOR 2025)
2
Failed listings · 2026
peaked at 16 in 2023
1,545sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
3.7%/yr
Turnover rate
about 13 of 355 homes trade a year
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Bear Run's value is set almost entirely by the individual home, not by any shared feature -- current MLS data show no identified community amenities, and the resale stock runs a narrow band of ages, built between 1984 and 1996 with a median year built of 1987 and a median living area of 1,506 square feet. At a median price of $285,900 (about $183.65 per square foot), condition and how a given unit has been updated do more to explain price than location within the community.

The current posture is seller-leaning: just 2 active listings against 13 closings in the recent window puts months of supply at 1.8, and the typical home has gone under contract in a median of 26 days. Prices are down 2.3% year over year, but that has to be read against 201% appreciation since 2012 -- a market that has cooled from its run-up rather than one in genuine decline. For a seller, thin inventory is the leverage; for a buyer, it means being ready to move on a well-priced listing rather than waiting for more choices to show up.

Bear Run Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of July 14, 2026

Bear Run right now

🟡 Balanced market. 1.8 months of supply and 50% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of July 14, 2026. Confidence: High (4 active and pending listings, 13 closed sales in 12 months).

🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($286K) is down 2.3% from the prior 12 months ($292K) and up 201% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14. Confidence: Medium (13 and 10 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Bear Run market snapshot (as of July 14, 2026): the median sale price is about $286K ($184 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 26 days on market for closed sales, and 1.8 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is down 2% from the prior 12 months and up 201% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (13 closings in the current window).

Bear Run is a community of 355 homes in Orange Park, Clay County, built between 1984 and 1996 (median 1987.0), with a median living area of about 1,506 square feet. 70% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).

Bear Run is a small, established Orange Park community of 355 homes built between 1984 and 1996, where pricing tracks the individual home's condition and updates more than any shared amenity package.

Best for

  • Buyers comfortable with an older (1984-1996) home and budgeting for updates rather than paying a premium for a heavily renovated or new-construction property.
  • Move-up or downsizing buyers targeting around 1,506 square feet who want an established resale footprint rather than an amenity-driven HOA.
  • Sellers with a well-updated home who want to price into a seller-leaning market with under two months of supply.

Probably not for

  • Buyers who need a packaged amenity community -- none are identified in current MLS data for Bear Run.
  • Buyers set on new construction or a home built after the mid-1990s.
  • Buyers expecting a large selection to choose from -- only 2 active listings were on the market as of this snapshot.

Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For

Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 14 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($286K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($292K) IS the -2.3% one-year change.

Windows contain 10 to 33 sales each (13 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$100K$200K$300K20122014201620182020202220242026
Down 2.3% year over year; up 201% since 2012.
Every sale since 2001 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K2k2k2k
363 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$50$100$150$20020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $67 in 2012 to a $193 peak in 2024; $184 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
20406020122014201620182020202220242026
9 days at the 2022 low; 26 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
95.6% now.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
010203020122014201620182020202220242026
10 to 33 a year; 13 in the current window.
Sellers who gave up · failed listings per year
0510152004200820122016202020242026
Canceled, expired, or withdrawn. 16 quit in 2023; 2 so far in 2026. The clearest stress gauge a community has.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2014201620182020202220242026
81 at the 2022 peak, 21 in the troughs, 34 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

Bear Run Market Scorecard

Strong seller's market

Bear Run is currently a strong seller's market. About 1.8 months of supply, a median asking price of $314,364, and homes go under contract in about 51 days.

1.8
Months supply
$314,364
Median list
$287,900
Median sold
$178
Per sqft
51
Days on mkt
2/2/13
Active/Pend/Sold

Typical home value in the 32065 ZIP is $327,006, about 29.5% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Bear Run

Live MLS inventory for Bear Run. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Bear Run listings as of 2026-07-14, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.

Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.

The takeaway

Everyday stops around Bear Run are close: the nearest parks is about 2 minutes away.

Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.

Schools

In short
  • Clay County Public Schools
  • Verify the zoned schools by address
  • Magnet and choice options may be available
  • Ridgeview Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public PK-6, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
  • Lakeside Junior High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 7-8, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
  • Ridgeview High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12, zoned

Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Clay County Public Schools for a specific address.

Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Bear Run address.

If we were buying in Bear Run today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Bear Run.

Best Buy
Buyers and sellers dealing in an established, single-generation resale market where condition, not amenities, sets the price.
Biggest Risk
A 2.3% year-over-year pullback means recent price momentum has cooled, even against a much larger long-run gain since 2012.
Sweet Spot
Homes near the community's 1,506-square-foot median that have had recent system updates tend to move fastest, per the 26-day median time on market.
Avoid If
Buyers wanting a newer build or a packaged amenity set should look elsewhere -- Bear Run's homes date to 1984-1996 with no identified amenities.

A Single-Generation Resale Market, Not an Amenity Community

With 355 homes and a year-built range of 1984 to 1996 (median 1987), Bear Run is a single-generation resale community -- much of the housing stock is old enough that major systems (roof, HVAC, water heater) have likely been replaced at least once, and how recently that work was done is often the biggest swing factor in price. Median living area sits at 1,506 square feet, so this reads as a starter-to-mid-size footprint rather than an executive-home market.

Inventory here is genuinely tight -- 2 active listings is a small pool in a community of 355 homes -- and a market heat score of 34 reflects that combination of low supply and a moderate 26-day median time on market rather than a bidding-war frenzy. About 70% of homes carry a homestead exemption, consistent with a resale market where turnover tends to come from move-up or downsizing decisions rather than short-term ownership churn.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Bear Run. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
7.5B · Buy Score
Long-Term Appreciation10.0/10
Recent Direction5.4/10
Liquidity & Demand8.2/10
Owner Commitment7.0/10
Pricing Power7.1/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (7.5). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +201% since 2012; Recent Direction -2.3% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 1.8 months of supply; Owner Commitment 70% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.6% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

In a community this size, with only 2 active listings and no amenity data to lean on, pricing a home correctly comes down to comparable-level detail work -- knowing which of the recent 13 closings actually match a given home's age, square footage, and condition. Momentum tracks Bear Run's resale activity closing by closing rather than relying on a community-wide average, which matters when price-per-square-foot is being driven by renovation status more than anything else.

Bear Run in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers and sellers dealing in an established, single-generation resale market where condition, not amenities, sets the price.
Biggest advantageThin inventory -- just 2 active listings against 13 recent closings -- gives sellers real leverage in a seller-leaning market.
Biggest riskA 2.3% year-over-year pullback means recent price momentum has cooled, even against a much larger long-run gain since 2012.
Sweet spotHomes near the community's 1,506-square-foot median that have had recent system updates tend to move fastest, per the 26-day median time on market.
Avoid ifBuyers wanting a newer build or a packaged amenity set should look elsewhere -- Bear Run's homes date to 1984-1996 with no identified amenities.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • No CDD
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

Page states no CDD.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Bear Run sales matched to your home.

What is your Bear Run home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Bear Run, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Bear Run on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Bear Run?
The median sale price in Bear Run was $286K over the 12 months ending July 14, 2026 (13 closed sales, realMLS).
How long do homes in Bear Run take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending July 14, 2026 took a median 26 days on market (13 sales, realMLS).
Is Bear Run a buyer's or seller's market right now?
As of July 14, 2026, Bear Run is roughly balanced: 1.8 months of supply at the current sales pace (realMLS live counts).
How many homes are in Bear Run?
The Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll shows 355 homes in Bear Run (public records).
What share of Bear Run is owner-occupied?
70% of Bear Run parcels carry a homestead exemption on the 2025 Florida DOR roll, the owner-occupancy proxy in public records.
When were the homes in Bear Run built?
Homes in Bear Run were built between 1984 and 1996, with a median year built of 1987.0 (FL DOR 2025 roll).
Do cash buyers compete in Bear Run?
Cash buyers took 0% of Bear Run sales in the 12 months ending July 2025 (0 of 6 closings, realMLS).
Have Bear Run home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 201% since 2012, from $95K to $286K (realMLS closed records).
What schools serve Bear Run?
Bear Run is served by Clay County Public Schools, typically Ridgeview Elementary School, Lakeside Junior High School and Ridgeview High School. Confirm the exact zoning by address with the district.
Who is the best real estate agent for Bear Run?
The best agent for Bear Run is one who actively works Orange Park and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Bear Run.
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Bear Run?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Bear Run and the wider Orange Park area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Bear Run?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Bear Run purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers comfortable with an older (1984-1996) home and budgeting for updates rather than paying a premium for a heavily renovated or new-construction property.Excellent fit
Move-up or downsizing buyers targeting around 1,506 square feet who want an established resale footprint rather than an amenity-driven HOA.Excellent fit
Sellers with a well-updated home who want to price into a seller-leaning market with under two months of supply.Excellent fit
Buyers who need a packaged amenity community -- none are identified in current MLS data for Bear Run.Probably not
Buyers set on new construction or a home built after the mid-1990s.Probably not
Buyers expecting a large selection to choose from -- only 2 active listings were on the market as of this snapshot.Probably not

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Bear Run with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

WRWaterview Ridge Orange ParkOrange Park, FL · 0.9 miTVTanglewood Village Orange ParkOrange Park, FL · 1.1 miBMBrannan Mill Plantation MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.2 miAPAtlantis Pointe MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.3 miWCWhisper Creek MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.5 miCMCorsair MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.7 miMFMurray Farms MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.7 miLALanding At Brannan Field MiddleburgOrange Park, FL · 1.8 mi

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsrealMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: July 14, 2026)
Community market statsrealMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14, 2026
Housing stock & ownershipFlorida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (15 streets, ZIP 32065))
Under-contract sharesrealMLS records, as of 2026-07-12
Schools2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2001 (363 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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