Bear Run
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Bear Run's value is set almost entirely by the individual home, not by any shared feature -- current MLS data show no identified community amenities, and the resale stock runs a narrow band of ages, built between 1984 and 1996 with a median year built of 1987 and a median living area of 1,506 square feet. At a median price of $285,900 (about $183.65 per square foot), condition and how a given unit has been updated do more to explain price than location within the community.
The current posture is seller-leaning: just 2 active listings against 13 closings in the recent window puts months of supply at 1.8, and the typical home has gone under contract in a median of 26 days. Prices are down 2.3% year over year, but that has to be read against 201% appreciation since 2012 -- a market that has cooled from its run-up rather than one in genuine decline. For a seller, thin inventory is the leverage; for a buyer, it means being ready to move on a well-priced listing rather than waiting for more choices to show up.
Bear Run right now
🟡 Balanced market. 2.4 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 23, 2026. Confidence: High (3 active and pending listings, 15 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($286K) is up 0.3% from the prior 12 months ($285K) and up 218% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 23. Confidence: Medium (15 and 7 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 23, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Bear Run market snapshot (as of August 23, 2026): the median sale price is about $286K ($184 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 26 days on market for closed sales, and 2.4 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is up 0% from the prior 12 months and up 218% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (15 closings in the current window).
Bear Run is a community of 163 homes in Orange Park, Clay County, built between 1984 and 1991 (median 1986.0), with a median living area of about 1,508 square feet. 70% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Bear Run is a small, established Orange Park community of 355 homes built between 1984 and 1996, where pricing tracks the individual home's condition and updates more than any shared amenity package.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Bear Run. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Bear RunPhotos from realMLS listings in Bear Run; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Bear Run is best for.
Best for
- Buyers comfortable with an older (1984-1996) home and budgeting for updates rather than paying a premium for a heavily renovated or new-construction property.
- Move-up or downsizing buyers targeting around 1,506 square feet who want an established resale footprint rather than an amenity-driven HOA.
- Sellers with a well-updated home who want to price into a seller-leaning market with under two months of supply.
Probably not for
- Buyers who need a packaged amenity community -- none are identified in current MLS data for Bear Run.
- Buyers set on new construction or a home built after the mid-1990s.
- Buyers expecting a large selection to choose from -- only 2 active listings were on the market as of this snapshot.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 23 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($286K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($285K) IS the +0.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 7 to 33 sales each (15 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Bear Run Market Scorecard
Bear Run is currently a strong seller's market. About 1.8 months of supply, a median asking price of $314,364, and homes go under contract in about 51 days.
Typical home value in the 32065 ZIP is $328,609, about 29.1% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Bear Run, Orange Park
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Bear Run
Live MLS inventory for Bear Run. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 87 daysTop listing
Active · 23 days
Active · 123 daysActive and pending Bear Run listings as of 2026-08-23, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Bear Run on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Bear Run are close: the nearest parks is about 2 minutes away.
- Eagle Harbor Waterfront Park · Parks2 min
- Talons Clubhouse Restaurant · Dining4 min
- Star Food · Groceries19 min
- Haven - Custead Hospice Care Center · Health19 min
- Bolton Plaza · Shopping20 min
- Panera Bread · Coffee20 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- Clay County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Ridgeview Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public PK-6, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
- Lakeside Junior High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 7-8, zoned (confirm by address at oneclay.net)
- Ridgeview High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12, zoned
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Clay County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Bear Run address.
Recent Developments in Bear Run
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Bear Run, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 8 miles northwest of Bear Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 7 miles south of Bear Run, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 8 miles southeast of Bear Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 8 miles northwest of Bear Run.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Bear Run buying strategy.
If we were buying in Bear Run today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Bear Run.
A Single-Generation Resale Market, Not an Amenity Community
With 355 homes and a year-built range of 1984 to 1996 (median 1987), Bear Run is a single-generation resale community -- much of the housing stock is old enough that major systems (roof, HVAC, water heater) have likely been replaced at least once, and how recently that work was done is often the biggest swing factor in price. Median living area sits at 1,506 square feet, so this reads as a starter-to-mid-size footprint rather than an executive-home market.
Inventory here is genuinely tight -- 2 active listings is a small pool in a community of 355 homes -- and a market heat score of 34 reflects that combination of low supply and a moderate 26-day median time on market rather than a bidding-war frenzy. About 70% of homes carry a homestead exemption, consistent with a resale market where turnover tends to come from move-up or downsizing decisions rather than short-term ownership churn.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Bear Run. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Bear Run buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 5 factors (7.5). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +218% since 2012; Recent Direction +0.3% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 2.4 months of supply; Owner Commitment 70% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.6% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a community this size, with only 2 active listings and no amenity data to lean on, pricing a home correctly comes down to comparable-level detail work -- knowing which of the recent 13 closings actually match a given home's age, square footage, and condition. Momentum tracks Bear Run's resale activity closing by closing rather than relying on a community-wide average, which matters when price-per-square-foot is being driven by renovation status more than anything else.
Bear Run in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- No CDD
- Mandatory HOA. Confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Page states no CDD.
Tools for a Bear Run buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Bear Run sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Bear Run, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Bear Run home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Bear Run, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Bear Run on the map →
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale prices in Bear Run Orange Park year by year since 2012, from closed MLS sales. Long-run history beats any single estimate: it shows what this community has actually done through rate cycles, not what a model guesses.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Bear Run?
How long do homes in Bear Run take to sell?
Is Bear Run a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Bear Run?
What share of Bear Run is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Bear Run built?
Have Bear Run home prices gone up?
What schools serve Bear Run?
Who is the best real estate agent for Bear Run?
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Bear Run?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Bear Run?
Should you buy in Bear Run?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Bear Run with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 23, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 23, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (3 streets, ZIP 32065)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-18 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (365 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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