Blair Estates in Jacksonville

Blair Estates

Established 1988 · Intracoastal West · ZIP 32224

A gated new-construction single-family community in Mandarin, off Julington Creek Road near the St Johns River.

Gated new constructionMandarin locationNear Julington Creek
Live Market Pulse
50/100
Momentum
Buyer-Leaning Market (limited data)
Tight supply keeps sellers in control, but dated interiors still trade at a discount, so condition is where buyers win.
Free · No obligation
Unlock Off-Market Blair Estates

Listings before the portals, true comps, and the renovation and carrying-cost math, before you tour.

Built fromLive realMLS data14 years of closingsLocal renovation analysisUpdated twice daily
LiveMarket PulserealMLS
$610K
Median Price
0mo
Supply
57days
Avg DOM
Soft
Seller Leverage
$227/sf
Median $/Sqft
-6%
1-Yr Price Change
0now
Distress
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

"Blair Estates is a gated, new-construction single-family community in Jacksonville's Mandarin area, built by Drees Homes off Julington Creek Road. The read is newer-gated-Mandarin: a small gated enclave of one- and two-story homes in an established, sought-after Southside location near Julington Creek and the St Johns River, at a price above the older Mandarin stock for the gate and the new build. You confirm the HOA dues, the lot, and the builder warranty."

Jon Brooks, founder, Momentum Realty · Updated June 2026

The 60-Second Overview

Blair Estates is a gated, new-construction single-family community in the Mandarin area of Jacksonville, Duval County, in the 32223 ZIP code, off Julington Creek Road, built by Drees Homes (Drees Homes, 2026; Watson Realty, 2026). It is a smaller gated enclave within established Mandarin.

Homes are one- and two-story new construction across a range of plans, with listings reported into the high $500,000s and beyond depending on plan and lot (homesinjacksonvillefl.com, 2026). Because it is new construction, buyers get current building standards and builder warranty.

The Mandarin setting is the draw: an established, oak-shaded part of Jacksonville's Southside near Julington Creek and the St Johns River, with the Mandarin Park marina nearby and quick access to Interstate 95 and Interstate 295 (Drees Homes, 2026). Blair Estates adds a gated, new-build option within that fabric.

Pricing reflects the gate and the new construction, so the math is the HOA dues plus the build premium. Confirm the dues, the lot, and the warranty, and compare against both other Mandarin homes and the builder's remaining inventory.

Best for

  • Buyers who want a gated, new-construction home in established Mandarin
  • Buyers who value a Julington Creek and river-area location with current build standards
  • Buyers comfortable paying a premium for the gate and the new build

Probably not for

  • Value buyers who want the older, lower-priced Mandarin stock
  • Anyone who wants to avoid an HOA or a gated community
  • Buyers who need a large golf or resort amenity campus

How Blair Estates is performing right now

50/100
momentum
Buyer-Leaning Market (limited data)
Seller's marketBalancedBuyer's market
0Months of supplytight
65Median days on marketdays
0 : 0Under contract vs for salestrong demand
2Sold in last 12 monthsliquidity
+127%Median price since 2012appreciation
+0%Asking vs recent sold $/sqftroom to negotiate

Tight supply and strong demand favor sellers here. Homes still take about two months to sell, though, and with asking prices running above recent sales per square foot, a prepared buyer has room on anything overpriced. Reading each home against the real comps, not the headline trend, is where the edge is.

Live from realMLS, as of June 10, 2026. Refreshed twice daily. Months of supply, days on market, and the contract-to-listing ratio are computed from current Blair Estates listings and the trailing twelve months of closed sales.

8.6A- score
Momentum intelligence
Momentum buy score

Our proprietary read on how a home in Blair Estates buys, holds, and resells. See the five factors.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Blair Estates

Live MLS inventory for Blair Estates. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

No homes are actively for sale in Blair Estates right now, so its recent closed sales are shown, as of 2026-06-10, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS.. Tap any home to ask about it.

Listing locations from realMLS; lot type inferred from listing descriptions. Destination pins are approximate. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO. Flood, school, and commute overlays are on the roadmap.

The takeaway

The location is the everyday-convenience case: shopping, schools, and the major roads are all a manageable drive.

Julington Creek / Mandarin Park marina~3 to 8 min · creek and river access
San Jose Boulevard (SR-13)~3 to 6 min · Mandarin's main corridor
Interstate 295 (east beltway)~6 to 12 min · Southside loop
St Johns Town Center~18 to 25 min · north via I-295
Downtown Jacksonville~20 to 28 min · north via San Jose or I-295
St Johns County / Bartram~8 to 15 min · south for newer retail
NAS Jacksonville~15 to 22 min · northwest

Distances and drive times are approximate and vary with traffic. Confirm your real commute at your real departure time.

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Blair Estates with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

Julington Creek PlantationSt. Johns · 0.4 miCormorant LandingJacksonville · 0.9 miMandarin GlenJacksonville · 1.4 miMelcon FarmJacksonville · 1.6 miHuntington ForestJacksonville · 2.1 miFruit CoveFruit Cove · 2.2 mi

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Carrying cost · the no-CDD edge

No CDD bond means thousands less per year than newer master plans.

Typical CDD community~$2,500/yr
Blair Estates (no CDD)$0/yr

Roughly $25,000 saved over 10 years in carrying cost, before resale.

Illustrative. NE Florida CDD assessments commonly run $1,500-$3,500+/yr and vary by community; verify per property.

Schools

15-Second Take
  • Duval County Public Schools
  • Verify the zoned schools by address
  • Magnet and choice options may be available
  • Confirm current ratings before relying on them
  • Private and parochial options nearby

Blair Estates is served by Duval County Public Schools. Assignment is by address and can change, so confirm the exact zoned elementary, middle, and high schools for any specific home, plus any magnet or choice options. Treat published ratings as a starting point, not the full story.

Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Blair Estates address.

The takeaway

What actually bears on this purchase, sourced and dated. We do not publish a figure we have not verified.

Recent Developments in Blair Estates

Our read on what is being built around Blair Estates, scored for direction, significance, and how close the effect lands. The full sourced timeline follows below.

Net OutlookBullishAs a gated new-construction enclave still selling, the drivers are the HOA dues, the builder warranty and build-out, and Duval's tax and insurance environment, not renovation risk.

Gated new construction by Drees Homes

BullishNew construction means current building standards and warranty, which lowers renovation risk versus older Mandarin homes; confirm the warranty, the lot, and the HOA build-out for the specific home. impact
SignificanceRadius: Blair Estates community

Gated new construction by Drees Homes

Duval County millage and homestead

NeutralJacksonville carrying cost depends on the Duval County and City of Jacksonville millage and your homestead status; pull the actual tax line for the home. impact
SignificanceRadius: Jacksonville / Duval County

Duval County millage and homestead

Direction, significance, and effect-radius ratings are Momentum's proprietary, qualitative read of the sourced items below, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific home.

Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Blair Estates, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated June 2026.

Showing the latest, scroll for all updates ↓

  1. 2024
    Taxes

    Duval County 2024 millage and assessments

    The 2024 millage set by Duval County determines the county portion of the property-tax bill for Jacksonville parcels (Duval County Property Appraiser, 2024). Why it matters: Pull the actual tax line and homestead status for the specific home from the Duval County Property Appraiser, plus the FEMA flood zone and a bindable insurance quote, rather than the seller's estimate. Source

  2. 2024
    Development

    Drees Homes gated Mandarin enclave

    Blair Estates is a gated, new-construction single-family community by Drees Homes off Julington Creek Road in Mandarin, with one- and two-story homes near the St Johns River (Drees Homes, 2026). Why it matters: In a new-construction enclave, confirm the plan, lot, build year, and remaining builder warranty on the specific home. Source

Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.

If we were buying in Blair Estates, this is the order of operations we would run, and the one we run for our clients.

1

Confirm the HOA dues and inclusions. Verify the current gated-community dues and what they cover for the specific home.

2

Check the warranty and build-out. Confirm the builder warranty, the plan, and how many homes remain to be sold.

3

Assess the lot. Confirm the lot size, orientation, and any pond, preserve, or creek-area position.

4

Pull the flood zone and an insurance quote. Mandarin parcels near the creek can sit in flood zones; get the zone and a bindable quote during diligence.

5

Comp within gated Mandarin. Compare against other gated Mandarin homes and the builder's remaining inventory, not the older Mandarin stock.

Best Buy
A new home here on a preserve or pond lot with a confirmed HOA fee and full builder warranty.
Biggest Risk
Paying a resale premium over comparable builder inventory, or an HOA build-out still settling.
Best Lot
A preserve, pond, or creek-area lot is the local premium; an interior lot is the value play.
Smart Timing
As a gated new-construction enclave, pricing can move with builder inventory; compare new and resale directly.
The takeaway

On mobile, tap any heading below to open it. This is the home by home, lot by lot, club and renovation detail, organized so you can jump straight to what matters to you.

Community Details at a Glance

The Homes

Gating

Dual-gated, with attended North and South entrances.

Styles & age

Traditional, ranch, and contemporary single-family, built 1987-2000.

Lots & sizes

Golf, lake, preserve, and interior lots (~0.25-0.5+ acres); homes ~2,400-4,000 sq ft.

Builder

Arvida (with JMB Partners).

Costs & Governance

CDD

None. No Community Development District bond on the tax bill.

POA dues

Quarterly POA dues (separate from the club) vary by lot size and include Hotwire internet and cable TV. Confirm the current amount.

Amenities & Lifestyle

Golf

18-hole course and a 26,000 sq ft member-owned clubhouse (membership optional).

Pool & fitness

Heated club pool, a fitness center, and ten lighted clay tennis courts.

Kids

In-community Woodland Park with a playground, basketball court, and sports field.

Getting around

Sidewalks on some roads; a golf-cart-friendly community.

Location & Nearby

Setting

Intracoastal West Jacksonville, ZIP 32224, off Hunt Club Road.

Nearby

Under 15 minutes to the beaches, St. Johns Town Center, and Mayo Clinic; UNF about 8 minutes.

Schools

Duval County: Chets Creek, Kernan Middle, Atlantic Coast (ratings below).

Homes & Architecture

Blair Estates homes were built largely between 1987 and 2000 in traditional, ranch, and contemporary styles, on a mix of golf frontage, lakefront, preserve, and interior lots. Because the community is built out, you are buying into a spectrum that runs from original 1990s condition to fully renovated, and the price gap between the two is enormous. A dated home and a beautifully renovated one a few doors apart can differ by hundreds of thousands of dollars, which is exactly where buyers overpay or find value.

This makes Blair Estates a renovation market as much as a resale market. Many of the best buys are homes in great locations that need updating, where an honest budget for roof, HVAC, pool, and modernization turns a dated house into a strong long-term hold. The risk is underestimating that budget, which is why reading the renovation math is the core skill here.

More on Living in Blair Estates

The depth without the wall of text. Open what matters to you.

Location and commute
Blair Estates's Intracoastal West position is a big part of its appeal. It is about four miles from the Atlantic beaches, roughly a 10 to 15 minute drive, and about ten minutes from the St. Johns Town Center for shopping and dining. The UNF and Mayo Clinic corridor is close, and Downtown and the Southside job centers are an easy reach via Beach and JT Butler boulevards.
Traffic reality
The community itself is quiet and gated, but the surrounding Hodges, Beach, and JT Butler boulevard corridors are busy and commercial, and continue to develop. That is the trade-off for the central, convenient location, with everyday shopping and dining minutes away. Test-drive your real commute at your real departure time.
Shopping and dining
The St. Johns Town Center, one of the region's largest shopping and dining destinations, is about ten minutes away, and the Beach Boulevard and Hodges corridors cover everyday needs. The beaches at Atlantic, Neptune, and Ponte Vedra are a short drive east for dining and recreation.
Insurance and flood
As an Intracoastal West community a few miles inland with 26 community lakes, flood exposure varies lot by lot, so pull the exact FEMA flood zone for a specific address rather than assuming. On the homeowners side, roof age is the biggest swing on a 1990s home, so a recently re-roofed house is far easier and cheaper to insure. Always get a real insurance quote on the specific home.
Blair Estates Buyer Due Diligence

Before you write an offer on any Blair Estates home, run this list. Missing any one of these is how buyers overpay or inherit a problem.

Property Systems

  • Roof and HVAC age, and the resulting insurance quote
  • Pool equipment age and condition
  • An honest renovation budget for roof, HVAC, pool, and updates

Financial

  • POA dues and inclusions (Hotwire internet and cable, access control) in writing
  • The club decision and the true cost of the membership you would use
  • Total carrying cost: HOA, optional club, insurance, near-term repairs

Resale Strength

  • Lot quality and view, and whether the premium is fair
  • Golf, lake, or preserve frontage versus an interior lot
  • The interior-lot warning: where buyers overpay

Verification

  • Flood zone for the specific parcel, given the community lakes
  • School zoning by address, confirmed with the district
  • True closed comps by condition and lot, not a Zestimate

Questions we ask on a specific home

The questions a local who knows Blair Estates asks are different from the ones a portal answers. On any specific home, we want to know:

  • Homes along the fairways at Blair Estates

    How old are the roof, HVAC, and pool equipment, and what does that do to the insurance quote?

  • Clubhouse entrance at Blair Estates

    What is the honest renovation budget to bring this home current?

  • Lakes and amenities at Blair Estates

    What does the view back to: golf, lake, preserve, or another home?

  • Clubhouse at Blair Estates

    What exactly do the POA dues include (Hotwire internet and cable, access control), and what would the club cost at the tier we would use?

  • Gated entrance at Blair Estates

    Is this one of the stronger resale lots, or a base lot priced like a premium one?

  • Aerial of Blair Estates

    How does this home compare to the closest active and sold listings in Glen Kernan?

Jon Brooks · Co-Founder, Momentum Realty

Blair Estates is a condition game. The gates, the course, and the location are priced into every listing, so the money is made or lost on the renovation math, the lot and view, and the club decision. A dated interior home and a renovated golf-frontage home are completely different buys at very different true costs, even when the list prices look close. The listing agent works for the seller. Our job is to read the renovation honestly, verify the POA inclusions and the full carrying costs, pull the true comparable sales, and structure an offer that protects you.

Our advice to Blair Estates buyers is to cross-shop it against Glen Kernan and Deerwood on location, lot, and total cost of ownership, and to move decisively on the right golf or lakefront home, since the best views still sell fast. With no CDD and an optional, affordable club, Blair Estates is one of the strongest values among Jacksonville's gated golf communities for the buyer who reads it right.

Blair Estates vs. Comparable Communities

How Blair Estates cross-shops against the communities buyers most often weigh against it, on the factors that actually decide the buy.

CommunityEntryNo CDD?ClubTo BeachBest ForThe Watch-Out
Jacksonville G&CC$$YesMember-owned, optional~15 minGated golf without Ponte Vedra pricing1990s resale condition
Glen Kernan$$$$YesMember-owned~15 minAll-custom estate buyersHigher entry, thin market
Deerwood$$$YesPrivate country club~25 minEstablished prestige, larger lotsOlder stock, farther from beach
Queens Harbour$$$YesYacht & country club~15 minBoating & Intracoastal accessMarina/club fees, higher entry
Pablo Creek Reserve$$$$YesLuxury enclave (no on-site club)~10 minNewer custom luxuryTop-of-market pricing
Nocatee$$NoMaster-planned amenities~20-25 minNew construction & amenitiesFull CDD, longer drive
Sawgrass Country Club$$$YesResort golf & tennis~10 minPonte Vedra resort lifestyleHigher priced

Cross-shop read from Momentum. Entry tiers ($$ from the high $600s, $$$ around $1M+, $$$$ estate-level), club style, and drive times are approximate orientation, not quotes. Confirm CDD status, fees, and current pricing per community and parcel.

Who Blair Estates Fits Best

We would rather tell you the truth than sell you the wrong house. Here is who Blair Estates fits, and who should look elsewhere. It is a property question, not a personal one.

Great fit if you want

  • A gated, established golf community in a central, convenient location.
  • An optional, relatively affordable member-owned club.
  • No CDD and a strong resale story on the right lot.
  • Renovation upside on a well-located 1990s home.
  • Minutes to the Town Center, beaches, UNF, and Mayo Clinic.

Probably not ideal if you want

  • A brand-new build with the latest finishes and a builder warranty.
  • The lowest possible entry price; this is a seven-figure market on average.
  • A turnkey home with zero renovation, with no premium to pay for it.
  • No HOA structure and none of the rules that come with a gated community.
  • Estate-size acreage; lots here are master-planned, not sprawling.

The honest trade-offs

Pros

  • Gated, established golf community in a central Intracoastal West location.
  • 18-hole course and a member-owned club with optional, relatively affordable dues.
  • NO CDD, a real carrying-cost edge over newer master plans.
  • Minutes from the St. Johns Town Center, beaches, UNF, and Mayo Clinic.
  • Dual attended gates and 26 lakes give it a mature, private character.
  • Renovation upside on well-located 1990s homes.

Cons

  • A seven-figure market on average; not an entry-level community.
  • All-resale 1990s housing stock that often needs updating.
  • HOA dues plus optional club costs to budget separately.
  • The best golf and lakefront lots command premiums and sell fast.
  • Busy surrounding Hodges, Beach, and JT Butler corridors.
  • No new construction; every purchase is a resale.
The takeaway

Three honest price bands. Condition and lot, not the square footage alone, decide where a home lands.

Entry: a smaller plan or interior lot
$565K to $565K

A smaller new-construction plan or an interior lot, new or resale. Confirm the HOA dues and warranty and compare against builder inventory before you write.

Lowest entry
Mid: a larger plan or better lot
$565K to $655K

A larger plan or a preserve or pond lot, which is what most buyers here want. The gate, new build, and Mandarin location are the story; verify the exact monthly cost.

Most inventory
Upper: the largest plans, best lots
$655K to $655K

The largest plans on the best preserve or creek-area lots, fully optioned. The premium reflects plan and lot; confirm it against the closest gated Mandarin comp.

Strongest resale

Approximate 2026 resale bands from third-party listing data and public records, not NEFAR statistics. Confirm pricing for a specific home.

$565K to $565K
Entry: a smaller plan or interior lot
A smaller new-construction plan or an interior lot, new or resale. Confirm the HOA dues and warranty and compare against builder inventory before you write.
$565K to $655K
Mid: a larger plan or better lot
A larger plan or a preserve or pond lot, which is what most buyers here want. The gate, new build, and Mandarin location are the story; verify the exact monthly cost.
$655K to $655K
Upper: the largest plans, best lots
The largest plans on the best preserve or creek-area lots, fully optioned. The premium reflects plan and lot; confirm it against the closest gated Mandarin comp.

Approximate 2026 resale bands from third-party listing data and public records, not NEFAR statistics. Confirm pricing for a specific home.

15-Second Take
  • Renovation math decides the deal
  • Better lots and views resell strongest
  • Roof and HVAC age drive the insurance quote
  • Interior lots are where buyers overpay
Jon Brooks, Momentum Realty
Operator Note

Most buyers overpay on interior lots in the back half of the community. A sharp renovation can distract you, but the weaker resale position follows the lot, not the finishes. We read the homesite before the kitchen.

No CDD on the tax billStrong
Central Intracoastal West locationStrong
Scarce golf and lake homesitesStrong
$30M club reinvestment to 2028Positive
All-resale 1990s conditionManage it

Momentum analysis based on the community's structure, location, lot scarcity, and housing stock. Not a guarantee of future value.

Jon Brooks, Momentum Realty
Operator Note

The strongest value pocket is usually a renovated home on a good lot priced just under the next tier up. Buyers chasing the single biggest house often pay top prices for what is really a renovation project.

5 Mistakes Buyers Make in Blair Estates

15-Second Take
  • Calling the listing agent (who works for the seller)
  • Misjudging the renovation budget
  • Overpaying for an interior lot
  • Underbudgeting the carrying costs
  • Skipping the roof, HVAC, and systems check

The same five mistakes cost buyers the most in any market. Every one is avoidable with the right preparation before you tour.

Blair Estates sells a gated, new-construction home in established Mandarin near the river. The deal is not in the brochure; it is in the HOA math, the lot, the warranty, and a gated Mandarin comp set.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
7.4B+ · Buy Score
Resale Strength7.6/10
Renovation Risk8.2/10
Location Efficiency8.0/10
Long-Term Defensibility7.4/10
Carrying Cost Advantage6.2/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment based on the analysis on this page, on a 0 to 10 scale. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value or advice on a specific home.

Why our read on Blair Estates is different.

Most pages on this community are an automated estimate wrapped in stock copy. This one is built from the live realMLS feed, fourteen years of closed sales, and a renovation-by-renovation read of what actually moves value here, lot by lot. No Zestimate, no guesswork.

Live realMLS feed14 years of closed salesRenovation-premium analysisLot-by-lot, no automated estimates
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty. A housing economist with a background in real estate investment banking at Deutsche Bank and consulting at Ernst & Young, who has built and analyzed Northeast Florida real estate from the ground up.

Which Lots & Views Hold Value Best

Where the value actually sits. Each home is shaded by its price per square foot (a value read, not just a price) and ringed by lot type, so you can see at a glance which pockets carry a real, durable premium and where a renovation play makes sense.

Value ($/sqft)
$261 value$401 premium
Lake / waterPreserveInterior

Fill = price per square foot; ring = lot type, inferred from listing descriptions. Sold homes are shown by realized $/sqft (lot type not always recorded). Asking and recent-sold figures from realMLS; for orientation, not an appraisal.

15-Second Take
  • A preserve, pond, or creek-area lot is the local premium; an interior lot is the value play.
  • New construction means low renovation risk; the lot and HOA dues are the real variables.
  • Comp like-for-like within gated Mandarin and against the builder's inventory.

Blair Estates is a gated new-construction community, so lot value is driven by the lot's position, a preserve, pond, or creek-area lot over an interior one, and the plan and options. New construction lowers renovation risk, so the honest approach is to price a home on its plan, lot, and upgrades, confirm the gated dues and warranty, and compare it against other gated Mandarin homes and the builder's remaining inventory rather than the older Mandarin stock.

Blair Estates in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who want a gated, new-construction single-family home in established Mandarin near the river.
Strong onNewer construction and location: a gated Mandarin enclave near Julington Creek with current build standards.
WatchA build premium and gated dues; confirm the HOA fee, the warranty, and the lot before you write.
Not forValue buyers wanting the older Mandarin stock, no-HOA buyers, or those needing a golf amenity campus.
The edgeLow renovation risk from new construction, with builder and resale homes to compare directly for the better price.

HOA, CDD & Fees

15-Second Take
  • Confirm the gated-community dues and what they cover.
  • With new single-family homes, the owner handles the house and lot; the HOA funds the gate and commons.
  • Confirm the builder warranty and build-out status before you write.

Blair Estates is a gated community with a homeowners association; confirm the current dues, what they cover, including the gate and common areas, and the reserve posture directly with the association.

The HOA generally funds the gate and the common areas; with single-family homes, the owner is responsible for the house and lot. Confirm the exact inclusions for the specific home.

Blair Estates is a gated, new-construction single-family enclave rather than a golf or large-amenity community; confirm any shared facilities with the association.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and view, not the Zestimate. The right number comes from closed comps matched to your renovation level and lot.

Momentum listings (YTD)
97.98%
Sold-to-list ratio across the Jacksonville metro for our agents, sellers keeping more of their price.
Market average (YTD)
96.73%
The broader metro average sold-to-list ratio over the same period.
Momentum days on market
64 days
Median days on market for our listings, faster sales mean less carrying cost and stronger leverage.
Market days on market
72 days
The broader metro median over the same period.

Sold-to-list and days-on-market figures reflect Momentum Realty listings versus the Jacksonville metro average, year to date. Your home's result depends on pricing, condition, lot, view, and preparation.

In Blair Estates, condition and view decide your number

Because buyers here are weighing your home against renovated comps and cross-shopping Mandarin, a home priced to the community average instead of its true condition and view either leaves money on the table or sits. A renovated kitchen, newer roof and HVAC, and a golf or lake view all deserve to show up in your price, and a buyer pool reading renovation math needs to be shown why your home is worth it. We build that case with real comps and a pricing strategy for the current market.

What is your Blair Estates home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Blair Estates matched to your condition, lot, and view, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

Real comps, not a Zestimate.

Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For

Median sale prices in Blair Estates year by year since 2012, from closed MLS sales. A long track record beats a single estimate, showing what this community has really done through rate cycles rather than what a model predicts.

Blair Estates Market Scorecard

No active listings

Blair Estates is currently a no active listings. Limited supply, a median asking price of n/a.

n/a
Months supply
n/a
Median list
$610,000
Median sold
n/a
Per sqft
n/a
Days on mkt
0/0/2
Active/Pend/Sold

Typical home value in the 32223 ZIP is $431,973, about 5.0% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).

Zoom out for the wider market: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Frequently Asked Questions

Where is Blair Estates?
It is a gated, new-construction single-family community in the Mandarin area of Jacksonville, Duval County, in the 32223 ZIP code, off Julington Creek Road (Drees Homes, 2026).
Who builds Blair Estates?
Blair Estates is built by Drees Homes (Drees Homes, 2026).
Is Blair Estates gated?
Yes. It is a gated community. Confirm the current dues and what they cover with the association.
What kinds of homes are in Blair Estates?
One- and two-story new-construction single-family homes across a range of plans (Drees Homes, 2026).
Is Blair Estates in Mandarin?
Yes. It is in the Mandarin area of Jacksonville's Southside near Julington Creek and the St Johns River (Drees Homes, 2026).
Is this the same as Flagler Estates?
No. Flagler Estates is a separate community in Hastings, St Johns County. Blair Estates is a gated Drees community in Mandarin, Duval County.
Is there river access nearby?
Yes. The community is near Julington Creek and the St Johns River, with the Mandarin Park marina close by (Drees Homes, 2026).
What is the flood and insurance picture?
Mandarin parcels near the creek can sit in FEMA flood zones, so pull the zone and a bindable insurance quote on the exact home during diligence.
What schools serve Blair Estates?
Jacksonville is served by Duval County Public Schools, with assignments set by address. Verify the exact zoned schools with the district before you rely on it.
Is there a builder warranty?
New homes typically carry Drees Homes warranty coverage; confirm the warranty status and terms on the specific home.
Is Blair Estates a good value?
It is a gated, new-construction option in established Mandarin. The value depends on the plan, lot, and HOA dues, so confirm them and compare against builder inventory before deciding.
How far is the St Johns Town Center?
The St Johns Town Center is roughly 18 to 25 minutes north via I-295.
You want a gated, new-construction home in established MandarinExcellent fit
You value a Julington Creek and river-area location with current build standardsExcellent fit
You are comfortable paying a premium for the gate and the new buildExcellent fit
You want the older, lower-priced Mandarin stockProbably not
You want to avoid an HOA or a gated communityProbably not
You need a large golf or resort amenity campusProbably not

Get the inside read on Blair Estates

Whether you are buying a renovation project, comparing the lots and views, weighing the carrying costs, or selling your Blair Estates home, tell us what you need. Every inquiry comes straight to us. We represent you, not the seller, and what your agent is paid is negotiable and set in a written buyer agreement up front. No obligation, no spam, no high-pressure follow-up.

We respond personally, usually the same day.

You are all set.

A Momentum Realty Blair Estates specialist will reach out personally, usually the same day.

Zoom out before you decide: see the Duval County market guide or every community in the Neighborhood Finder.

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