Goose Creek Estates
Homes for Sale in Green Cove Springs, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
What drives price in Goose Creek Estates is newness and size. With a median build year of 2023 and a median just under 2,500 square feet, the bulk of what trades here is recent construction, and buyers are paying for it at a median of $645,000, or roughly $287 per square foot. The 1998-to-2024 build span means condition and vintage vary sharply from one listing to the next, so the median tells you the center of gravity, not what any single home will cost.
The posture right now is patient, not frantic. A median of 70 days on market is a real negotiating window by Northeast Florida standards, and with only 55 homes in the community, inventory turns slowly. Sellers have year-over-year price movement of 8.5 percent on their side, but pricing sharp still matters when a buyer can afford to wait out an ambitious number. Buyers should come prepared to move on the right home and equally prepared to let an overpriced one sit.
Goose Creek Estates right now
🟢 Buyer-leaning market. 12.0 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract give buyers above-average negotiating leverage.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of July 15, 2026. Confidence: Medium (3 active and pending listings, 3 closed sales in 12 months).
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($645K) is up 8.5% from the prior 12 months ($594K). With about 7 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 15. Confidence: Low (3 and 4 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated July 15, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
Goose Creek Estates right now
🟢 Buyer-leaning market. 12.0 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract give buyers above-average negotiating leverage.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of July 14, 2026. Confidence: Medium (3 active and pending listings, 3 closed sales in 12 months).
🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($645K) is up 8.5% from the prior 12 months ($594K). With about 7 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14. Confidence: Low (3 and 4 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Goose Creek Estates market snapshot (as of July 14, 2026): the median sale price is about $645K ($287 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 70 days on market for closed sales, and 12.0 months of supply, a buyer-leaning market. The trailing-12-month median is up 8% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (3 closings in the current window).
Goose Creek Estates is a community of 61 homes in Green Cove Springs, Clay County, built between 1964 and 2024 (median 2023.0), with a median living area of about 2,484 square feet. 70% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Goose Creek Estates is a small, newer-built pocket of Green Cove Springs in Clay County — mostly recent construction on larger floor plans, priced above the county norm and moving at a deliberate pace.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Goose Creek Estates. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Goose Creek EstatesPhotos from realMLS listings in Goose Creek Estates; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Goose Creek Estates is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting recent construction around 2,500 square feet with a budget near the mid-$600s
- Move-up buyers who value newer systems and finishes and will pay for them
- Patient buyers who want negotiating leverage from a slower, 70-day market
Probably not for
- Buyers needing to close quickly in a market that moves in weeks, not days
- Anyone wanting a wide selection of active listings in a 55-home community
- Bargain hunters expecting below-county pricing, since the median here runs above it
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 14 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($645K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($594K) IS the +8.5% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 23 sales each (3 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Clay County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 15 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($645K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($594K) IS the +8.5% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 23 sales each (3 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
30% of homes for sale in ZIP 32043 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-12).
27% of homes for sale in ZIP 32043 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-18).
Goose Creek Estates Market Scorecard
Goose Creek Estates is currently a buyer-leaning market. About 12.0 months of supply, a median asking price of $599,800, and homes go under contract in about 178 days.
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Goose Creek Estates
Live MLS inventory for Goose Creek Estates. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 178 daysTop listingActive · 207 days
Active · 146 daysActive and pending Goose Creek Estates listings as of 2026-07-14, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Goose Creek Estates on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Goose Creek Estates
- Playground · reported on 3 of 5 listings
- Maintenance Grounds · reported on 2 of 5 listings
- Park · reported on 1 of 5 listings
- Entry Phone/Intercom · reported on 1 of 5 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
The Goose Creek Estates buying strategy.
If we were buying in Goose Creek Estates today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Use your leverage. With inventory sitting, there is room to negotiate on anything dated or overpriced and to ask for repairs or a rate buydown.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Goose Creek Estates.
A new-build enclave that still trades on condition
The headline here is the build profile. A median year built of 2023 inside a community whose oldest homes date to 1998 tells you most recent activity is on the newer end, but the older stock is still in the mix. That spread is the single most important thing to understand about pricing: two homes at the same square footage can be a generation apart in systems, roofs, and finishes, and the price should reflect it. Lean on the per-square-foot figure of about $287 as a sanity check, not the median dollar amount, when you compare listings.
This is a small community — 55 homes — with a homestead share near 75 percent, which points to a base of owner-occupants rather than heavy turnover. Practically, that means fewer listings at any given time and a market where a single well-priced home can define the comp set. With 70 days as the median time to sell, the pace favors buyers who do their homework and sellers who price to the current picture rather than last year's momentum.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Goose Creek Estates. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Goose Creek Estates buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (5.5). Basis: Recent Direction +8.5% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 12.0 months of supply; Owner Commitment 70% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.3% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
A thin-inventory, wide-vintage community like this rewards precision. We read each home on its own merits — build year, condition, and square footage against that roughly $287-per-foot benchmark — so you are not overpaying for a median or underselling a newer home. With only 55 homes and a 70-day pace, we help buyers know when to move and sellers know where to price.
Goose Creek Estates in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Goose Creek Estates buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Goose Creek Estates sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Goose Creek Estates, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Goose Creek Estates home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Goose Creek Estates, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Goose Creek Estates on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Goose Creek Estates?
How long do homes in Goose Creek Estates take to sell?
Is Goose Creek Estates a buyer's or seller's market right now?
How many homes are in Goose Creek Estates?
What share of Goose Creek Estates is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Goose Creek Estates built?
Do cash buyers compete in Goose Creek Estates?
Who is the best real estate agent for Goose Creek Estates?
How do I find a top Green Cove Springs real estate agent who knows Goose Creek Estates?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Goose Creek Estates?
Should you buy in Goose Creek Estates?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Goose Creek Estates with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: July 14, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 32043)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2022 (34 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: July 14, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 15, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 32043)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2022 (34 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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