Oak Run
Homes for Sale in Estero, FL

Community in Estero · Lee County · ZIP 33913
Median sale $761K
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Live Market Pulse
68/100
Market Heat
Hotter than normal
2015 → 2026 · 68 at the 2026 peak
0 is Oak Run's coldest market since 2015, 100 its hottest. Today: 68. How it's scored
Built fromLive fgc data13 years of closingsUpdated twice daily
Live · Oak Run Housing Pulse fgc + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$761K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 3.4% vs the prior 12 months
-3.4%
1-yr price change
n = 9 and 4 sales in the two windows
$433/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $438 in 2025
98.5%
Sale vs ask
Lee median: 93.1%
Tempo
24days
Median DOM · closed
2 days at the 2022 low
9
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 5 a year
Ownership and context
89%
Cash buyers · Oak Run
8 of 9 sales, 12 mo ending July 2026
Track record · 13 years of records
1,759sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Oak Run's price story is set by condition and finish level more than by any single feature. With a median of $761,000 and a median price per square foot of $432.63, the spread between an updated home and one needing work shows up directly in the closing price, not in some hidden range we can quote.

A median of 24 days on market paired with a market heat score of 68 points to a community that is moving at a workable pace for both sides. Sellers priced realistically are not waiting long, and buyers who move decisively still have room to negotiate rather than getting into bidding wars.

Oak Run Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of July 29, 2026

Oak Run right now

🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($761K) is down 3.4% from the prior 12 months ($788K). With about 5 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level fgc closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 29. Confidence: Low (9 and 4 sales in the two windows).

What's unique here: the median sale price is about 2x the typical Lee County sale ($761K vs $355K, trailing 12 months, fgc records).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated July 29, 2026 · Live data: fgc, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Oak Run market snapshot (as of July 29, 2026): the median sale price is about $761K ($433 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 24 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 3% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level fgc closed sales (9 closings in the current window).

Oak Run sits in Estero, Lee County, with recent activity showing a median price of $761,000 and a modest pullback in year-over-year pricing, a signal of a market recalibrating rather than one in freefall.

Best for

  • Buyers comfortable evaluating a home on condition and per-square-foot value rather than a broad published price range.
  • Sellers prepared to price to current, slightly softened year-over-year conditions instead of last year's peak.
  • Buyers or sellers who want a data-first negotiation in a market where each closing carries real weight.

Probably not for

  • Buyers who want dozens of recent comparable sales to lean on before making an offer.
  • Sellers expecting last year's pricing trend to hold without adjustment.
  • Anyone assuming amenity-driven pricing, since no community amenities are identified in current listings.

Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For

Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 29 of each year, from record-level fgc closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($761K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($788K) IS the -3.4% one-year change.

Windows contain 0 to 9 sales each (9 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing information provided by the Florida Gulf Coast Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$400K$600K$800K2014201620182020202220242026
Down 3.4% year over year.
Every sale since 2013 · price vs size
$0$500K$1M2k2k2k2k
65 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$200$300$4002014201620182020202220242026
Up from $189 in 2013 to a $438 peak in 2025; $433 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
0501002014201620182020202220242026
2 days at the 2022 low; 24 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
100%110%2014201620182020202220242026
98.5% now vs Lee 93.1%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
02582014201620182020202220242026
0 to 9 a year; 9 in the current window.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning201820202026
68 at the 2026 peak, 10 in the troughs, 68 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.
How much local inventory is already under contract

14% of homes for sale in ZIP 33913 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-18).

If we were buying in Oak Run today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Oak Run.

Best Buy
Buyers and sellers who want a data-driven read on a lower-volume Estero market rather than a headline number.
Biggest Risk
Low closing volume means the median can swing with each new sale, so comparables need scrutiny.
Sweet Spot
Listings priced tight to per-square-foot value tend to move fastest here.
Avoid If
You need a high-volume market with abundant recent comparables to feel confident in a number.

What the numbers are actually saying

The year-over-year figure of -3.4% is worth sitting with. It is not a collapse, it is a normalization, likely reflecting a mix shift in what has sold recently or a slight softening in seller leverage. Either way, it argues for sellers to price to current conditions rather than to last year's headlines.

With only 9 closings in the window we are looking at, this is a lower-volume market, and that has a real consequence: it means fewer comparable transactions per year to lean on, and it puts more weight on how a specific listing is priced relative to per-square-foot value, since medians here can move more with mix than with pace of demand.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Oak Run. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty

Why work with Momentum here

In a lower-volume market like Oak Run, pricing precision matters more than usual. We track per-square-foot value and condition-adjusted comparables closely here, because a median built on 9 closings can be misleading without that context, and we walk both buyers and sellers through what is actually driving a specific home's number.

Oak Run in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers and sellers who want a data-driven read on a lower-volume Estero market rather than a headline number.
Biggest advantageA median days-on-market of 24 signals a market that is not sitting stagnant when priced right.
Biggest riskLow closing volume means the median can swing with each new sale, so comparables need scrutiny.
Sweet spotListings priced tight to per-square-foot value tend to move fastest here.
Avoid ifYou need a high-volume market with abundant recent comparables to feel confident in a number.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Oak Run sales matched to your home.

What is your Oak Run home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Oak Run, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Oak Run on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Oak Run?
The median sale price in Oak Run was $761K over the 12 months ending July 29, 2026 (9 closed sales, fgc).
How long do homes in Oak Run take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending July 29, 2026 took a median 24 days on market (9 sales, fgc).
Do cash buyers compete in Oak Run?
Cash buyers took 89% of Oak Run sales in the 12 months ending July 2026 (8 of 9 closings, fgc).
Who is the best real estate agent for Oak Run?
The best agent for Oak Run is one who actively works Estero and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Oak Run.
How do I find a top Estero real estate agent who knows Oak Run?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Oak Run and the wider Estero area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Oak Run?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Oak Run purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers comfortable evaluating a home on condition and per-square-foot value rather than a broad published price range.Excellent fit
Sellers prepared to price to current, slightly softened year-over-year conditions instead of last year's peak.Excellent fit
Buyers or sellers who want a data-first negotiation in a market where each closing carries real weight.Excellent fit
Buyers who want dozens of recent comparable sales to lean on before making an offer.Probably not
Sellers expecting last year's pricing trend to hold without adjustment.Probably not
Anyone assuming amenity-driven pricing, since no community amenities are identified in current listings.Probably not

Data sources & freshness

Community market statsfgc closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 29, 2026
Under-contract sharesfgc records, as of 2026-07-18
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2013 (65 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of fgc records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the fgc member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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