Fort Caroline Club Estates vs Lake Lucina
Two Duval communities, compared on the numbers that decide it — price, pace, and supply — from live MLS data as of 2026-09-18.
| Metric | Fort Caroline Club Estates | Lake Lucina |
|---|---|---|
| Median sale price | $306K | $278K |
| Price per sq ft | $179 | $189 |
| Avg days on market | 63 days | 53 days |
| Months of supply | 2.0 mo | 2.2 mo |
| Market | Seller's Market | Seller's Market |
| 1-year price change | -6% | +2% |
| Recent closings | 30 | 27 |
The verdict
Fort Caroline Club Estates carries the higher median price — about 10% above Lake Lucina. Homes in Lake Lucina sell faster (53 days on market vs 63). Fort Caroline Club Estates is the tighter market on inventory (2.0 months of supply).
What is for sale today
| Fort Caroline Club Estates | Lake Lucina | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes for sale now | 5 | 5 |
| Under contract | 2 | 4 |
| Asking prices today | $255K to $312K | $256K to $334K |
| Property types listed | Single Family Residence | Single Family Residence |
Live MLS counts, refreshed with every listing pull. Browse them: Fort Caroline Club Estates homes for sale · Lake Lucina homes for sale.
The homes themselves
| Fort Caroline Club Estates | Lake Lucina | |
|---|---|---|
| Homes (parcels) | 517 | 341 |
| Built | 1953–2013 (median 1962) | 1951–1963 (median 1955) |
| Typical living area | 1,771 sq ft | 1,590 sq ft |
| Homesteaded (owner-occupied) share | 69% | 67% |
Housing-stock figures from the Florida Department of Revenue 2025 assessment roll (public records).
Price history, year by year
| Year | Fort Caroline Club Estates median | Lake Lucina median |
|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $72K (23 sales) | $68K (38 sales) |
| 2013 | $107K (47 sales) | $55K (51 sales) |
| 2014 | $100K (38 sales) | $62K (62 sales) |
| 2015 | $115K (45 sales) | $80K (51 sales) |
| 2016 | $115K (47 sales) | $96K (60 sales) |
| 2017 | $165K (40 sales) | $137K (64 sales) |
| 2018 | $165K (46 sales) | $140K (57 sales) |
| 2019 | $183K (42 sales) | $149K (66 sales) |
| 2020 | $195K (24 sales) | $165K (53 sales) |
| 2021 | $245K (36 sales) | $210K (57 sales) |
| 2022 | $276K (27 sales) | $265K (47 sales) |
| 2023 | $295K (31 sales) | $264K (41 sales) |
| 2024 | $310K (19 sales) | $244K (38 sales) |
| 2025 | $310K (17 sales) | $244K (45 sales) |
| 2026 | $309K (31 sales) | $264K (28 sales) |
Since 2012, Fort Caroline Club Estates's median sale price is +329% and Lake Lucina's is +286% — Fort Caroline Club Estates has appreciated faster over that stretch.
How each one trades
| Fort Caroline Club Estates | Lake Lucina | |
|---|---|---|
| Sale-to-original-list | 98.2% | 98.4% |
| New-construction share of sales | 0% | 0% |
| Typical sold home | 1,730 sq ft | 1,471 sq ft |
| Momentum market-heat score | 47 (normal) | 44 (normal) |
Last 12 months of recorded closings; sale-to-original-list is the share of the first asking price sellers actually got.
Schools the listings are zoned for
| Fort Caroline Club Estates | Lake Lucina | |
|---|---|---|
| Elementary | Lake Lucina | Lake Lucina |
| Middle | Arlington | Arlington |
| High school | Terry Parker | Terry Parker |
The school most often recorded on each community's MLS listings. Always confirm a specific address with the district.
Momentum Realty agents have closed 0 homes in Fort Caroline Club Estates and 1 in Lake Lucina (brokerage records, both sides counted once). Find an agent who works Fort Caroline Club Estates · Lake Lucina.
Which one fits
On budget alone, Lake Lucina is the lower entry point (median $278K vs $306K). Buyers who want newer construction (fewer near-term roof, HVAC and re-plumb items, and easier insurance quotes in Florida) will find it in Fort Caroline Club Estates; Lake Lucina trades that for a more established street and, typically, larger lots. Sellers get a faster sale in Lake Lucina (53 days on market on average); buyers get more negotiating room where homes sit longer.
Neither number set decides it: drive both on a weekday evening, check the HOA documents and the flood zone for the exact street, and price the insurance before you write an offer. A Momentum agent who works both communities can pull the comparable sales for any two specific homes.
Questions people ask
Is Fort Caroline Club Estates more expensive than Lake Lucina?
Yes, on recent sales: the median sale price in Fort Caroline Club Estates is $306,000 versus $278,000 in Lake Lucina, about 10% higher.
Which has newer homes, Fort Caroline Club Estates or Lake Lucina?
Fort Caroline Club Estates: its homes were built 1953–2013 with a median year of 1962, versus a median of 1955 in Lake Lucina (Florida DOR assessment roll).
Which has bigger homes?
Fort Caroline Club Estates. The typical home there is 1,771 sq ft of living area, versus 1,590 sq ft in Lake Lucina.
Which has appreciated more, Fort Caroline Club Estates or Lake Lucina?
From 2012 to 2026 the median sale price rose 329% in Fort Caroline Club Estates and 286% in Lake Lucina (recorded MLS closings by calendar year).
What high schools serve Fort Caroline Club Estates and Lake Lucina?
Listings in Fort Caroline Club Estates most often report Terry Parker; listings in Lake Lucina report Terry Parker. Zoning is set by the district and can change - verify by address.
Go deeper on each: Fort Caroline Club Estates homes, photos & schools · Lake Lucina homes, photos & schools
Figures are aggregates from realMLS / DBAAR, updated regularly. Thinking about either? Talk to Momentum Realty.