Asbury Downs
Homes for Sale in Green Cove Springs, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Asbury Downs right now
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($305K) is down 0.3% from the prior 12 months ($306K) and up 177% since 2012. With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 10. Confidence: Low (5 and 3 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 10, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Asbury Downs market snapshot (as of August 10, 2026): the median sale price is about $305K ($197 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 11 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 0% from the prior 12 months and up 177% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (5 closings in the current window).
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Asbury Downs. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Asbury DownsPrice History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 10 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($305K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($306K) IS the -0.3% one-year change.
Windows contain 3 to 21 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Clay County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
Asbury Downs Market Scorecard
Asbury Downs is currently a no active listings market. Limited supply, a median asking price of n/a.
Typical home value in the 32043 ZIP is $345,994, about 14.0% below the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Asbury Downs Green Cove Springs
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Asbury Downs on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Schools
- Clay County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Shadowlawn Elementary SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public PK-6, Green Cove Springs
- Lake Asbury Junior High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 7-8, Green Cove Springs
- Clay High SchoolFLDOE grade B · Public 9-12, Green Cove Springs
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Clay County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Asbury Downs address.
Recent Developments in Asbury Downs
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Asbury Downs, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 12 miles north of Asbury Downs.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The site is about 3 miles southeast of Asbury Downs.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 6 miles east of Asbury Downs.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 12 miles north of Asbury Downs.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Asbury Downs buying strategy.
If we were buying in Asbury Downs today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Asbury Downs.
A closer look at the Asbury Downs market
At a median of $197 per square foot, Asbury Downs prices sit in a fairly defined band, so condition and updates — more than the list price — tend to separate one home from the next.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Asbury Downs. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Asbury Downs buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (8.2). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +177% since 2012; Recent Direction -0.3% year-over-year; Pricing Power 97.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Asbury Downs buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Asbury Downs sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Asbury Downs, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Asbury Downs home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Asbury Downs, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Asbury Downs on the map →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Asbury Downs?
How long do homes in Asbury Downs take to sell?
Have Asbury Downs home prices gone up?
What schools serve Asbury Downs?
Who is the best real estate agent for Asbury Downs?
How do I find a top Green Cove Springs real estate agent who knows Asbury Downs?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Asbury Downs?
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Asbury Downs with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 10, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 10, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-10 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2001 (322 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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