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Carlisle on the Ocean Con Homes for Sale: 1 Listing, Median $442K

Carlisle on the Ocean Con
Homes for Sale in Surfside, FL

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Community in Surfside · Miami-Dade County · ZIP 33154
Median sale $442K
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Photo via MIAMI MLS

Built fromLive MIAMI MLS data8 years of closingsUpdated twice daily

As of October 2026, Carlisle on the Ocean Con in FL has 1 home for sale. Over the 12 months ending 2026-09-20, 4 recorded sales closed at a median of $442,500, $489 per square foot, a median 65 days on market, sellers accepting 89% of original asking (+5% versus the prior year). At the median price and Miami-Dade County's FY2025-26 rate of 17.59 mills, annual property tax runs about $7,780 ($7,070 with the full homestead exemption).

Live · Carlisle on the Ocean Con Housing Pulse MIAMI MLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$442K ▲
Median sold · 12 mo
up 5.4% vs the prior 12 months
+5.4% ▲
1-yr price change
n = 4 and 3 sales in the two windows
$489/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $514 in 2022
89.3%
Sale vs ask
Tempo
65days
Median DOM · closed
32 days at the 2019 low
50%
Under contract
Miami-Dade: 18% (3,367 of 18,681)
1 · 1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
4
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 4 a year
Track record · 8 years of records
905sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, Co-Founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Read · written July 22, 2026

The number that stands out here is price per square foot, at roughly $489, which is the real story on a building like this: pricing runs on unit condition, floor, and view line rather than square footage alone. With a median price of $442,500 on a small closings sample, comparisons to broader Miami-Dade condo data should be treated with caution.

Median days on market sits at 65, longer than a fast-moving listing cycle, which tells buyers there is room to negotiate on terms and sellers that pricing to the specific unit's condition matters more than pricing to the building average. The 6.6% year-over-year change is worth noting as a directional signal, not a forecast, given how few closings feed it.

Figures in this note are as of July 22, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.

Carlisle on the Ocean Con Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of September 20, 2026

Carlisle on the Ocean Con right now

🟡 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($442K) is up 5.4% from the prior 12 months ($420K). With about 4 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20. Confidence: Low (4 and 3 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

By , Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · Updated October 20, 2026 · Live data: MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Carlisle on the Ocean Con market snapshot (as of September 20, 2026): the median sale price is about $442K ($489 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 65 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 5% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales (4 closings in the current window).

In ZIP 33154, 242 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $1.55M ($894/sq ft), up 9.8% year over year, with a median 102 days on market. Right now 176 active and 38 pending listings — a buyer's market. See the live ZIP 33154 housing market and the Miami-Dade County market.

MIAMI REALTORS sales records identify 12 homes in CARLISLE ON THE OCEAN CON that have changed hands since 2014, built between 1965 and 1965 (median 1965), with a median living area of about 905 sq ft and a typical 1-bedroom, 1-bath layout; 100% are condominiums. Source: MIAMI REALTORS closed-sale history compiled by Momentum Research; counts reflect homes with a recorded MLS sale, not every home in the community.

Carlisle on the Ocean is an oceanfront condominium in Miami-Dade County where pricing is driven far more by individual unit condition and view than by any single building-wide number.

Quick Match

Who Carlisle on the Ocean Con is best for.

Best for

  • A buyer looking for direct oceanfront condo ownership who plans to evaluate each available unit on its own condition and view
  • A buyer comfortable with a longer negotiation window given the 65-day median days on market
  • A buyer whose budget aligns near the $442,500 median and who is prepared for a wide range of per-unit finish quality

Probably not for

  • A buyer who wants a large, well-established comp set before making a pricing decision
  • A buyer expecting a fast, high-competition bidding process
  • A buyer looking for a building with a defined amenity package, since none is currently identified in MLS listings

Windows contain 1 to 7 sales each (4 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2018 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$300K$350K$400K$450K20182020202220242026
Up 5.4% year over year.
Every sale since 2018 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K$600K1k1k1k
32 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$400$50020182020202220242026
Up from $376 in 2018 to a $514 peak in 2022; $489 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
5010015020182020202220242026
32 days at the 2019 low; 65 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
80%85%90%95%20182020202220242026
89.3% now.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
024620182020202220242026
1 to 7 a year; 4 in the current window.
How much local inventory is already under contract

12% of homes for sale in ZIP 33154 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-10-20).

Carlisle on the Ocean Con Market Scorecard

Balanced

Carlisle on the Ocean Con is currently a balanced market., a median asking price of $999,000.

$999,000
Median list
$442,500
Median sold
0/1/0
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Carlisle on the Ocean Con

Live MLS inventory for Carlisle on the Ocean Con. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Pending · 1 days
$750,000
1 bd · 1 ba · 905 sqft · built 1965
9195 Collins Ave 1010, Surfside, 33154
Listed by United Realty Group Inc

Active and pending Carlisle on the Ocean Con listings as of 2026-10-18, priced high to low. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2018 through 2026. Tap any home to ask about it.

The Strategy

The Carlisle on the Ocean Con buying strategy.

If we were buying in Carlisle on the Ocean Con today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Carlisle on the Ocean Con.

The Quick Decision
Best Buy
A buyer targeting oceanfront condo ownership who is comfortable pricing a unit on its own condition rather than a building average.
Biggest Risk
With only four closings in the current window, any single data point here should be treated as directional, not definitive.
Sweet Spot
Units priced near the $489 per-square-foot median in move-in condition tend to draw the most serious attention.
Avoid If
You need a fast, standardized transaction backed by a large, stable comp set.
The Deep Dive

Small Sample, Real Signal

With only four closings feeding the current snapshot, this is not a market where you can lean on a single median as gospel. The median price of $442,500 and price per square foot near $489 give a starting reference point, but the spread between a dated unit and a recently renovated one at this address is likely to be wide, and that spread is where negotiating room lives.

The 65-day median days on market is the more actionable number for near-term strategy. It signals that buyers are not required to move at a sprint, and sellers should expect that pricing to match the unit's actual condition and view, not just its address, is what shortens that timeline.

“

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Carlisle on the Ocean Con. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
Why Momentum

Why work with Momentum here

In a building with a thin closings sample, the difference between a good outcome and a mediocre one comes down to reading individual unit comps correctly rather than trusting a building-wide average. We pull the actual recent sales, weigh them against condition and floor level, and negotiate from that specific data rather than a headline number.

The 15-Second Verdict

Carlisle on the Ocean Con in 15 seconds.

Best forA buyer targeting oceanfront condo ownership who is comfortable pricing a unit on its own condition rather than a building average.
Biggest advantageThe 65-day median days on market gives buyers real room to negotiate rather than compete at asking.
Biggest riskWith only four closings in the current window, any single data point here should be treated as directional, not definitive.
Sweet spotUnits priced near the $489 per-square-foot median in move-in condition tend to draw the most serious attention.
Avoid ifYou need a fast, standardized transaction backed by a large, stable comp set.

Email me new listings in Carlisle on the Ocean Con

One e-mail a day, only when a home lists here, with price, beds, baths and a link to every listing. Straight from the MLS feed; no account needed.

Equal Housing Opportunity. Every community is open to everyone; alerts are about homes, never about who lives here.

Ask an agent about Carlisle on the Ocean Con

Have a question about the homes, fees, rules or commute here? A Momentum agent who works Carlisle on the Ocean Con will answer, and the answer is published on this page for the next buyer.

Property facts only: homes, fees, rules, commute. Every community is open to everyone; agents do not answer questions about who lives here.

HOA, CDD & Fees

A note on who we are: Momentum Realty is a real estate brokerage. We are not the Carlisle on the Ocean Con homeowners association, its management company or its developer, and we cannot help with dues, gate access, violations, amenity bookings or association documents. To reach the association, check your closing package, the recorded declaration at the county clerk, or search the association’s name at sunbiz.org for its registered agent. Call or message us to buy or sell a home in Carlisle on the Ocean Con.
In short
  • HOA dues reported around $999/month (about $11,988/yr) · median of 21 MLS listings, most billed monthly
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Listings in this community report association dues of about $999 per month ($11,988 a year) — the median AssociationFee across 21 MLS records, normalised to a monthly figure; most are billed monthly. Dues change with budgets and can differ by section or product type; confirm the current figure with the association before you offer. Source: MLS listing records, 2026-10.

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

Run Your Numbers

Tools for a Carlisle on the Ocean Con buy.

Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.

Mortgage paymentPrincipal, interest, taxes, and insurance on a specific price.Property taxMiami-Dade County millage and the homestead picture.Rent vs buyThe breakeven on owning in Carlisle on the Ocean Con.Save Our HomesProject your homestead tax cap over time.
The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Carlisle on the Ocean Con sales matched to your home.

Selling in Carlisle on the Ocean Con

Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.

If you are thinking about selling in Carlisle on the Ocean Con, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.

What is your Carlisle on the Ocean Con home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Carlisle on the Ocean Con, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Carlisle on the Ocean Con on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Recently off market in CARLISLE ON THE OCEAN CON

Homes in CARLISLE ON THE OCEAN CON that recently left the market. Each address opens its public-record profile: county-recorded value, property taxes, the last recorded sale, community sales history, and what is for sale nearby now. 3 on record.

Carlisle on the Ocean Con key facts
LocationMiami-Dade County, FL · ZIP 33154
Sale prices, last 12 months$442,500 median across 4 closed sales · $489 per sq ft · +5.4% vs the prior 12 months
Days on market (closed sales)65 median
For sale right now1 active, 1 pending · median asking $999,000

Data as of September 20, 2026. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2018 through 2026. Market figures describe homes, not residents. Cite as: Momentum Realty, “Carlisle on the Ocean Con key facts,” movewithmomentum.com/neighborhoods/carlisle-on-the-ocean-con, data as of September 20, 2026.

Every Home for Sale in Carlisle On The Ocean Con Right Now (1)

All 1 active and pending Carlisle On The Ocean Con listings with a detail page, newest first, refreshed twice a day from the MLS.

Recent Developments in Carlisle On The Ocean Con

Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Carlisle On The Ocean Con, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated October 2026.

  1. October 2026
    Development

    Casa Bella Residences opens at 1400 Biscayne Boulevard in Downtown Miami

    Related Group and Alta Developers completed the 56-story, 650-foot tower with 319 residences, including 10 penthouses. Closings are underway and first residents have moved in, with more than 90 percent of homes reported under contract. Construction began in November 2023.

    What it may mean for the marketAdds 319 completed homes to the downtown Biscayne corridor, close to existing transit, offices and dining. The site is about 5 miles southwest of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Florida YIMBY
  2. October 2026
    Builder Activity

    Swire Properties breaks ground on Residences at Mandarin Oriental, Miami on Brickell Key

    Swire Properties started construction at 500 Brickell Key Drive and 750 Claughton Island Drive on two towers, 66 stories (850 feet) and 33 stories (426 feet). The project includes 326 residences and a 121-room hotel, with Moss as general contractor and completion scheduled for 2030.

    What it may mean for the marketAdds multi-year construction activity and future hotel and residential supply on Brickell Key, near the Brickell employment core. The site is about 5 miles southwest of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Florida YIMBY
  3. October 2026
    Development

    Tula Residences tops out at 7918 West Drive in North Bay Village

    The 21-story, 54-unit condominium building developed by Pacific & Orient Properties reached its full height. Bayshore Grove Capital oversees development and construction. Completion is anticipated in the third quarter of 2027.

    What it may mean for the marketAdds 54 homes to the North Bay Village inventory on the Biscayne Bay islands between Miami and Miami Beach. The site is about 3 miles northwest of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Florida YIMBY
  4. October 2026
    Development

    Crescent Heights revises workforce housing tower plans at 824 Alton Road

    Revised plans call for a 39-story tower over 500 feet with 149 residences, up from 120, including 72 workforce units and 77 market-rate units. The developer is seeking height and density increases under the Live Local Act. The plan includes over 2,500 square feet of ground-floor retail and a 156-space parking podium; no approval has been reported.

    What it may mean for the marketIf approved, would add workforce-priced rental supply near Miami Beach job centers and shops. The site is about 3 miles southwest of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Florida YIMBY
  5. October 2026
    Development

    Sweetbird North breaks ground at 95 NE 40th Street in the Miami Design District

    Miami Design District Associates and Raycliff Capital began an eight-story, 120,500 square foot building with more than 92,000 square feet of office and about 22,500 square feet of retail. Atria Health and Research Institute leased about 55,000 square feet and 26North will also join. Completion is expected in early 2028.

    What it may mean for the marketAdds office space and ground-floor retail in the Design District, increasing nearby daytime employment and shopping options. The site is about 5 miles west of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Florida YIMBY
  6. September 2026
    Civic

    Miami-Dade commissioners adopt $14.26 billion budget with flat tax rate

    County commissioners approved the fiscal year 2026-27 budget after a meeting that ran from Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. The operating property tax rate stays flat at 4.57 mills. The county says the plan prioritizes public safety, parks and transportation amid slowing revenue growth.

    What it may mean for the marketA flat operating millage keeps the county's property tax rate steady for owners across Miami-Dade for the coming fiscal year. The site is about 6 miles southwest of Carlisle On The Ocean Con.

    Source: Local 10 News

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Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Carlisle on the Ocean Con?
The median sale price in Carlisle on the Ocean Con was $442K over the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 (4 closed sales, MIAMI MLS).
How long do homes in Carlisle on the Ocean Con take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 took a median 65 days on market (4 sales, MIAMI MLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Carlisle on the Ocean Con?
The best agent for Carlisle on the Ocean Con is one who actively works Surfside and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Carlisle on the Ocean Con.
How do I find a top Surfside real estate agent who knows Carlisle on the Ocean Con?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 320+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Carlisle on the Ocean Con and the wider Surfside area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Carlisle on the Ocean Con?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Carlisle on the Ocean Con purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
The Verdict

Should you buy in Carlisle on the Ocean Con?

An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.

A buyer looking for direct oceanfront condo ownership who plans to evaluate each available unit on its own condition and viewExcellent fit
A buyer comfortable with a longer negotiation window given the 65-day median days on marketExcellent fit
A buyer whose budget aligns near the $442,500 median and who is prepared for a wide range of per-unit finish qualityExcellent fit
A buyer who wants a large, well-established comp set before making a pricing decisionProbably not
A buyer expecting a fast, high-competition bidding processProbably not
A buyer looking for a building with a defined amenity package, since none is currently identified in MLS listingsProbably not

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsMIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 18, 2026)
Community market statsMIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20, 2026
Under-contract sharesMIAMI MLS records, as of 2026-09-20
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2018 (32 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of MIAMI MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

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Carlisle On The Ocean0.0 mi away · 1 for saleThe Waverly At Surfside0.0 mi away · 4 for saleFour Winds Condo0.0 mi away · median $385K, 4 sales/12 moTWThe Waverly At Surfside Bc0.0 mi away · 1 for sale

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Thinking of selling in CARLISLE ON THE OCEAN CON? 4 recorded closings; median 65 days on market (window ending 2026-09-20). See the Miami-Dade County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
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