CARROLLWOOD KEY
Homes for Sale in TAMPA, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Carrollwood Key is a tight, single-vintage pocket: every home here traces to 1996, and the median footprint runs right around 1,142 square feet. That uniformity means price is driven less by architecture and more by condition and finish level. At a median of $225,000 and roughly $195 per square foot, this is a place where a renovated interior separates itself from a dated one, and where the spread between the two is wider than the sticker suggests.
The current posture favors prepared buyers. Homes are moving in about 12.5 days at the median, so hesitation costs you. At the same time, prices are off 8.2% year over year, which tells sellers to price to the current market rather than last year's comps. Quick sales and softening numbers together mean a well-priced, move-in-ready listing still clears fast, but an aspirational number sits.
CARROLLWOOD KEY right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($220K) is down 11.1% from the prior 12 months ($248K). With about 2 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2. Confidence: Low (3 and 6 sales in the two windows).
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Updated August 2, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
CARROLLWOOD KEY market snapshot (as of August 2, 2026): the median sale price is about $220K ($191 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 14 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 11% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (3 closings in the current window).
CARROLLWOOD KEY is a community of 85 homes in TAMPA, Hillsborough County, built between 1996 and 1996 (median 1996.0), with a median living area of about 1,142 square feet. 64% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
This is a compact, consistent community of about 85 homes in the Carrollwood area of Tampa, built in a single wave in 1996. With just over 60% homestead ownership, it reads as a primarily owner-occupied enclave rather than an investor churn.
Who CARROLLWOOD KEY is best for.
Best for
- Owner-occupants targeting the mid-$200s who value a compact, low-square-footage home
- Buyers ready to move fast in a market where homes clear in under two weeks
- Value hunters willing to underwrite condition and take on cosmetic updates for a lower entry
Probably not for
- Buyers needing significantly more than about 1,142 square feet of living space
- Anyone wanting varied architecture or multiple build eras to choose from
- Sellers expecting last year's pricing despite the 8.2% year-over-year decline
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 2 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($220K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($248K) IS the -11.1% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 6 sales each (3 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2015 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
31% of homes for sale in ZIP 33624 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-01).
The CARROLLWOOD KEY buying strategy.
If we were buying in CARROLLWOOD KEY today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in CARROLLWOOD KEY.
One vintage, condition-driven pricing
When a neighborhood is built in a single year to a similar size, the usual pricing levers, age and square footage, mostly flatten out. What is left is condition: updated kitchens and baths, roof and system age, and overall finish. That is why the median here is best read as a midpoint around which well-kept homes sit higher and deferred-maintenance homes sit lower, rather than a range you can predict from square footage alone.
The pace is the other story. A median of about 12.5 days on market is fast by any measure, and it is worth noting the closings window here is thin, only four recent sales inform this snapshot. That makes the median directional rather than precise, so lean on a home-by-home read and current active inventory before anchoring to a single figure.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in CARROLLWOOD KEY. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in CARROLLWOOD KEY buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (6.5). Basis: Recent Direction -11.1% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 64% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 100.0% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
With a thin sales window and a fast clock, the edge here is knowing which of the 85 homes have been updated and which are riding on 1996 systems. We track condition, not just closed prices, so buyers do not overpay for cosmetics and sellers price against the current, softer market instead of last year's.
CARROLLWOOD KEY in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a CARROLLWOOD KEY buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed CARROLLWOOD KEY sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in CARROLLWOOD KEY, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your CARROLLWOOD KEY home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in CARROLLWOOD KEY, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in CARROLLWOOD KEY?
How long do homes in CARROLLWOOD KEY take to sell?
How many homes are in CARROLLWOOD KEY?
What share of CARROLLWOOD KEY is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in CARROLLWOOD KEY built?
Do cash buyers compete in CARROLLWOOD KEY?
Who is the best real estate agent for CARROLLWOOD KEY?
How do I find a top TAMPA real estate agent who knows CARROLLWOOD KEY?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for CARROLLWOOD KEY?
Should you buy in CARROLLWOOD KEY?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (3 streets, ZIP 33624)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-08-01 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2015 (27 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Stellar MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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See how CARROLLWOOD KEY fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores: