Holmes Landing
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
As of September 2026, the MLS records 79 closed sales in Holmes Landing in Orange Park, FL since 2003, the most recent in May 2021. Recorded prices across those 79 sales ran from $197,286 to $585,000 (median $298,298), on homes of 1,602 to 3,619 sq ft. Across Orange Park as a whole, 656 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $330,000, 40 median days on market, with 161 homes for sale today. At that median and Clay County's FY2025-26 rate of 15.05 mills, annual property tax runs about $4,490 ($3,890 with the full homestead exemption).
Holmes Landing is a built-out pocket in Orange Park, with all 100 homes dating from 1996 to 2005 and a median build year of 2004. That tight construction band matters: you are shopping a consistent vintage of home, so what separates one closing from the next is condition, updates, and lot — not square footage swings or new-versus-old. At a median of roughly 2,457 living square feet, these are substantial homes, and the price you see will track how much of the original 2000s finish has been brought current.
With no closings recorded in the current window, there is no fresh trade to anchor pricing off, which means both sides need to lean on comparable condition rather than a running sale count. The homestead share sits at 64%, pointing to a base of long-term owners rather than heavy investor turnover. For a seller, that thin transaction flow rewards presentation and realistic pricing; for a buyer, it means patience and a willingness to underwrite a home on its updates, not its address.
The 60-Second Overview
A fully established Orange Park community of 100 homes built across a single decade, where a home's condition and updates — not its footprint — do most of the work in setting value.
Pre-construction details are compiled from public records, builder announcements and builder listings, and are subject to change without notice; figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Momentum Research figures are our own analysis. This page describes homes, pricing and community attributes, not residents.
Who Holmes Landing is best for.
Best for
- Buyers wanting room to spread out in an established, built-out setting
- Owner-occupants planning to hold long-term in a stable, low-turnover community
- Buyers willing to update an early-2000s home and capture the value gap
Probably not for
- Anyone set on newer construction or modern floor plans
- Investors chasing high transaction velocity and quick flips
- Buyers who need a large, active inventory to compare in real time
The market around Holmes Landing
Holmes Landing is too small for its own price trend, so here is the market around it.
In ZIP 32003, 153 homes are on the market and 35% are under contract — a fast-moving corner of Orange Park.
Across Clay County, 1,267 homes are active and 451 pending (26% under contract).
ZIP and county figures describe the wider market, not Holmes Landing specifically. Momentum Research analysis of MLS records.
Housing distress & ownership in Holmes Landing, Orange Park
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Recent Developments in Holmes Landing Clay
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Holmes Landing Clay, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 12 miles northwest of Holmes Landing Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 8 miles southwest of Holmes Landing Clay, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 6 miles south of Holmes Landing Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 12 miles northwest of Holmes Landing Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Holmes Landing buying strategy.
If we were buying in Holmes Landing today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Holmes Landing.
A uniform vintage, priced on condition
When every home was built inside a ten-year window and the median living area is around 2,457 square feet, the market gets simpler in one way and harder in another. Simpler, because you are not comparing radically different products. Harder, because with the structure roughly equal, buyers scrutinize the things that vary: roofs, HVAC, kitchens, baths, and whether a home reflects its build year or has been carried forward. Expect a wide spread in outcomes driven almost entirely by how much work an owner has put in.
The 64% homestead share signals a community held largely by owner-occupants, which tends to mean pride-of-ownership stock but also slower listing volume. Combined with no recorded closings in the current window, that makes this a market where the right comp is a matter of matching condition, not just pulling the last sale down the street. Serious sellers should document their updates; serious buyers should budget for the ones that were never done.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Holmes Landing. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a low-turnover, single-vintage community, the value question is not 'what is the neighborhood worth' — it is 'what is this specific home's condition worth against a thin comp set.' That is exactly the read we do well: we underwrite the roof, systems, and finish level against the small pool of relevant sales, and we price and negotiate off condition rather than guesswork. Whether you are listing or buying, we will tell you plainly where a home sits in that spread.
Holmes Landing in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- HOA status not on record. Verify any dues before you offer
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Holmes Landing buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Holmes Landing sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Holmes Landing, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Holmes Landing home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Holmes Landing, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Should you buy in Holmes Landing?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-09-08 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2003 (79 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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