Fox Valley in Orange Park

Fox Valley
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL

Community in Orange Park · Clay County · ZIP 32073
Median sale $331K
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True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.

Live Market Pulse
22/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2015 → 2026 · 81 at the 2022 peak
0 is Fox Valley's coldest market since 2015, 100 its hottest. Today: 22. How it's scored

Photo courtesy of COLDWELL BANKER VANGUARD REALTY · via realMLS

Built fromLive realMLS data25 years of closingsUpdated twice daily
Live · Fox Valley Housing Pulse realMLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$331K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 10.1% vs the prior 12 months
-10.1%
1-yr price change
n = 8 and 5 sales in the two windows
$188/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $203 in 2025
96.4%
Sale vs ask
Clay median: 96.4%
+127%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $146K median in 2012
Tempo
1.7mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
49days
Median DOM · closed
5 days at the 2022 low
0%
Under contract
Clay: 29% (480 of 1,652)
1 · 0
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
8
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 4 a year
Track record · 25 years of records
1,876sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Fox Valley's median sits at $320,000, working out to $195.05 per square foot — but that figure is built on just seven closings, a small enough sample that one unusual sale can swing it. The community's price has climbed 120% since 2012, yet the last twelve months moved the other direction, down 20% year over year. That combination — long-run gains alongside a recent pullback — is normal in a market this small; it says more about which specific homes sold than about a broad shift in demand for Fox Valley.

On posture, this reads as seller-leaning: two months of supply and, at the moment, a single active listing. That is about as thin as inventory gets — a buyer waiting for choices may wait a while, and a seller who lists has real leverage on terms. Still, the median 52 days on market shows homes here are not moving instantly once they do list, so pricing a listing correctly still matters more than the tight-supply headline suggests.

Fox Valley Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of August 19, 2026

Fox Valley right now

🟡 Balanced market. 1.7 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract put buyers and sellers on roughly even footing.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 19, 2026. Confidence: Medium (1 active and pending listings, 8 closed sales in 12 months).

🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($331K) is down 10.1% from the prior 12 months ($368K) and up 127% since 2012. With about 4 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 19. Confidence: Low (8 and 5 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated August 19, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Fox Valley market snapshot (as of August 19, 2026): the median sale price is about $331K ($188 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 49 days on market for closed sales, and 1.7 months of supply, a balanced market. The trailing-12-month median is down 10% from the prior 12 months and up 127% since 2012, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (8 closings in the current window).

Fox Valley is a small pocket of the Orange Park market in Clay County, and its numbers move differently than a high-volume subdivision — with only a handful of closings feeding each snapshot, buyers and sellers should treat any single stat here as a data point, not a forecast.

Best for

  • Buyers who have already narrowed in on Fox Valley specifically and are ready to act when the next listing appears.
  • Sellers who want to test a seller-leaning supply picture with limited direct competition.
  • Buyers comfortable pricing a purchase off a single median figure rather than a range of comparable active listings.

Probably not for

  • Buyers who want to compare several active listings side by side before committing — there is only one on the market right now.
  • Anyone assuming the 20% year-over-year pullback signals a broad downward trend rather than a thin-sample swing.
  • Buyers on a tight timeline who need a fast, guaranteed close; the 52-day median time on market argues for patience.

Windows contain 2 to 9 sales each (8 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$300K20122014201620182020202220242026
Down 10.1% year over year; up 127% since 2012.
Every sale since 2001 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K2k3k
81 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$100$150$20020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $87 in 2012 to a $203 peak in 2025; $188 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
020406020122014201620182020202220242026
5 days at the 2022 low; 49 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
96.4% now vs Clay 96.4%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
025820122014201620182020202220242026
2 to 9 a year; 8 in the current window.
Indexed since 2012 · Fox Valley vs Clay
100200Clay +162%Fox Valley +127%20122014201620182020202220242026
Same realMLS record, indexed to 100 at 2012.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2016202020222026
81 at the 2022 peak, 22 in the troughs, 22 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.
How much local inventory is already under contract

34% of homes for sale in ZIP 32073 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-18).

Fox Valley Market Scorecard

Balanced

Fox Valley is currently a balanced market. About 1.7 months of supply, a median asking price of $399,900, and homes go under contract in about 68 days.

1.7
Months supply
$399,900
Median list
$330,950
Median sold
$203
List $/sqft
68
Days on mkt
1/0/7
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Housing distress & ownership in Fox Valley, Orange Park

Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.

Active inventory in distress
0.0%
0 of 5 listings
Distress share trend — 0.0% now (2026-08-12 → 2026-08-14)

Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Fox Valley

Live MLS inventory for Fox Valley. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Fox Valley listings as of 2026-08-19, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.

Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.

Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.

Schools

In short
  • Clay County Public Schools
  • Verify the zoned schools by address
  • Magnet and choice options may be available
  • Orange Park High School (Clay County District Schools)FLDOE grade B · High
  • Orange Park Junior High School (verify by address)FLDOE grade B · Middle
  • Grove Park Elementary School or another zoned elementary (verify by address) · Elementary

Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Clay County Public Schools for a specific address.

Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Fox Valley address.

If we were buying in Fox Valley today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Fox Valley.

Best Buy
Buyers and sellers comfortable with a low-inventory market rather than a high-volume subdivision.
Biggest Risk
With only seven closings behind the median, any single stat here can shift fast.
Sweet Spot
A seller with a well-priced, well-maintained home can lean on two months of supply and a single competing listing.
Avoid If
You need multiple homes to compare before deciding — there is currently just one active listing.

A Market Defined by Scarcity

The math in Fox Valley starts with volume, or the lack of it: seven closings behind the current median, one home active for sale right now, and two months of supply on the board. In a community this thin, price direction can look dramatic on paper — the 120% climb since 2012 is real, and so is the 20% year-over-year pullback — without either number describing a stable, ongoing trend. Each closing carries outsized weight.

At $195.05 per square foot and a $320,000 median, Fox Valley homes are transacting in a band that reflects a mix of condition and lot rather than a single consistent product type. The 52-day median time on market is the more telling number for anyone active here now: even with a seller-leaning supply picture, buyers are not rushing to the closing table the moment a home lists. Amenities reported across this community's MLS listings include a pool, clubhouse, fishing access, and grounds maintenance — features worth confirming directly with the HOA, since coverage and access can change.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Fox Valley. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
6.9B- · Buy Score
Long-Term Appreciation8.1/10
Recent Direction3.5/10
Liquidity & Demand8.3/10
Pricing Power7.6/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (6.9). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +127% since 2012; Recent Direction -10.1% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 1.7 months of supply; Pricing Power 96.4% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

A community with one active listing and seven closings behind its median is not one where a generic market report tells you much — it takes a broker who tracks Fox Valley specifically, watches for the next listing before it hits the portals, and can price against real comparable sales rather than a thin average. That is the kind of read Momentum brings to a market this tight.

Fox Valley in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers and sellers comfortable with a low-inventory market rather than a high-volume subdivision.
Biggest advantageLong-run appreciation of 120% since 2012 underlines durable demand for the community.
Biggest riskWith only seven closings behind the median, any single stat here can shift fast.
Sweet spotA seller with a well-priced, well-maintained home can lean on two months of supply and a single competing listing.
Avoid ifYou need multiple homes to compare before deciding — there is currently just one active listing.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Fox Valley sales matched to your home.

What is your Fox Valley home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Fox Valley, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Fox Valley on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Fox Valley?
The median sale price in Fox Valley was $331K over the 12 months ending August 19, 2026 (8 closed sales, realMLS).
How long do homes in Fox Valley take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending August 19, 2026 took a median 49 days on market (8 sales, realMLS).
Is Fox Valley a buyer's or seller's market right now?
As of August 19, 2026, Fox Valley is roughly balanced: 1.7 months of supply at the current sales pace (realMLS live counts).
Have Fox Valley home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 127% since 2012, from $146K to $331K (realMLS closed records).
What schools serve Fox Valley?
Fox Valley is served by Clay County Public Schools, typically Orange Park High School (Clay County District Schools), Orange Park Junior High School (verify by address) and Grove Park Elementary School or another zoned elementary (verify by address). Confirm the exact zoning by address with the district.
Who is the best real estate agent for Fox Valley?
The best agent for Fox Valley is one who actively works Orange Park and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Fox Valley.
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Fox Valley?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Fox Valley and the wider Orange Park area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Fox Valley?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Fox Valley purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers who have already narrowed in on Fox Valley specifically and are ready to act when the next listing appears.Excellent fit
Sellers who want to test a seller-leaning supply picture with limited direct competition.Excellent fit
Buyers comfortable pricing a purchase off a single median figure rather than a range of comparable active listings.Excellent fit
Buyers who want to compare several active listings side by side before committing — there is only one on the market right now.Probably not
Anyone assuming the 20% year-over-year pullback signals a broad downward trend rather than a thin-sample swing.Probably not
Buyers on a tight timeline who need a fast, guaranteed close; the 52-day median time on market argues for patience.Probably not

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Fox Valley with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

Fox Wood0.2 mi awayPWPark West Orange Park0.4 mi awayHHHeritage Hills Orange Park0.7 mi awayBVBrighton Village Orange Park0.7 mi awayBMBellair Meadowbrook Terrace Orange Park0.9 mi awayLELakeside Estates Orange Park1.0 mi awayLGLaurel Grove Orange Park1.1 mi awayLRLoch Rane Orange Park1.1 mi away

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsrealMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 19, 2026)
Community market statsrealMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 19, 2026
Under-contract sharesrealMLS records, as of 2026-08-18
Schools2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2001 (81 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

Looking to buy here? Search homes for sale →

What’s your home worth in your area?

A real valuation with real comps from a local listing agent, not an instant algorithm. Response within one business day.

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CallFree valuation →
Thinking of selling in Fox Valley? 8 recorded closings; median 49 days on market (window ending 2026-08-21). See the Clay County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
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