Kernan Forest in Jacksonville

Kernan Forest
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL

Community in Jacksonville · Duval County · ZIP 32225
146 homesBuilt 2003–2005Median sale $490K
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True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.

Built fromLive realMLS data23 years of closingsFL DOR public recordsUpdated twice daily
Live · Kernan Forest Housing Pulse realMLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$490K
Median sold · 12 mo
$182/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $190 in 2023
96.4%
Sale vs ask
Duval median: 96.1%
+149%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $196K median in 2012
Tempo
11days
Median DOM · closed
5 days at the 2022 low
0%
Under contract
Duval: 31% (1,760 of 5,621)
0 · 0
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
10
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 14 a year
Ownership and context
77%
Owner-occupied · Kernan Forest
113 of 146 parcels homesteaded (FL DOR 2025)
23%
Non-owner-occupied · Kernan Forest
incl. 10% trust or LLC-held · 7% out-of-state
146
Homes in the community
146 residential parcels (FL DOR 2025)
Track record · 23 years of records
Est. 2003
Community established
homes built 2003-2005, median 2004 (FL DOR 2025)
2,504sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
6.8%/yr
Turnover rate
about 10 of 146 homes trade a year
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Kernan Forest's price story is tied to its build era: 173 homes, most built between 2003 and 2005, with a median build year of 2004 and a median living area of 2,783 square feet. That combination of newer construction and larger floor plans is what supports a median price of $480,000, or roughly $187.43 per square foot. Since 2012 that median has climbed 131%, but the most recent read shows an 11.1% pullback year over year -- a community that has run up a long way and is now giving some of it back.

The current posture is seller-leaning on paper: 1.3 months of supply, a median 10 days on market, and just a single active listing against 173 total homes. That is a thin market where a well-priced home moves fast. But the year-over-year decline means sellers should not assume last year's number still applies, and buyers who do find something listed have real room to negotiate given how little competing inventory exists to benchmark against.

The 60-Second Overview

Kernan Forest market snapshot (as of August 26, 2026): the median sale price is about $490K ($182 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 11 days on market for closed sales.

Kernan Forest is a community of 146 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 2003 and 2005 (median 2004), with a median living area of about 2,703 square feet. 77% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).

Kernan Forest is a 173-home community in Jacksonville (Duval County) built mostly between 2003 and 2005, with homes carrying a median living area of 2,783 square feet -- larger, newer-construction product for this part of the market.

Best for

  • Buyers targeting a larger home (median 2,783 sq ft) built in the 2003-2005 range and ready to act within days, not weeks, once something lists.
  • Buyers comfortable pricing near a $480,000 median who understand that figure has softened 11.1% from a year ago.
  • Sellers who want a fast sale in a low-supply market (1.3 months of supply, 10-day median days on market) and are realistic about the recent year-over-year dip.

Probably not for

  • Buyers who want to compare several active listings side by side before deciding -- there is currently just 1 on the market.
  • Sellers expecting to price off the community's peak-of-cycle numbers rather than the current 11.1% year-over-year decline.
  • Buyers set on a home built well outside the 2003-2005 window that defines most of this community's 173 homes.

Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For

Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 26 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($490K) IS the median in the snapshot above.

Windows contain 2 to 20 sales each (10 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$300K$400K$500K20122014201620182020202220242026
Every sale since 2003 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K$600K1k2k3k
384 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$100$150$20020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $66 in 2012 to a $190 peak in 2023; $182 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
020406020122014201620182020202220242026
5 days at the 2022 low; 11 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
96.4% now vs Duval 96.1%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
0102020122014201620182020202220242026
2 to 20 a year; 10 in the current window.
Indexed since 2012 · Kernan Forest vs Duval
100200300Duval +187%Kernan Forest +149%20122014201620182020202220242026
Same realMLS record, indexed to 100 at 2012.
How much local inventory is already under contract

37% of homes for sale in ZIP 32225 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-18).

Kernan Forest Market Scorecard

Balanced

Kernan Forest is currently a balanced market..

$490,000
Median sold
0/0/10
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Housing distress & ownership in Kernan Forest, Jacksonville

Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.

Active inventory in distress
0.0%
0 of 15 listings
Median closed sale price — $490,000 (12-mo rolling)
Distress share trend — 0.0% now (2026-08-10 → 2026-08-25)

Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.

Kernan Forest

Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.

The takeaway

Everyday stops around Kernan Forest are close: the nearest groceries is about 4 minutes away.

Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.

Schools

In short
  • Duval County Public Schools
  • Verify the zoned schools by address
  • Magnet and choice options may be available
  • Sabal Palm ElementaryFLDOE grade B · Public PreK-5
  • Landmark Middle SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 6-8
  • Sandalwood High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12

Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with Duval County Public Schools for a specific address.

Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Kernan Forest address.

If we were buying in Kernan Forest today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Kernan Forest.

Best Buy
Buyers who want newer construction (2003-2005) and larger floor plans and can move quickly when the rare listing appears.
Biggest Risk
Pricing is currently in a pullback, down 11.1% year over year after a long prior run-up.
Sweet Spot
A single well-priced listing with 1.3 months of supply and a 10-day median market time -- decisions happen fast.
Avoid If
You need multiple options to compare -- with 1 active listing, there is little to choose from at any given time.

Kernan Forest's Pricing Story

The median price of $480,000 works out to about $187.43 per square foot, reflecting homes built in a tight 2003-2005 window with a median size of 2,783 square feet. Since 2012, the community's median price has risen 131%, a long run of appreciation from a much lower base. The most recent data shows an 11.1% year-over-year decline, which is worth taking seriously rather than dismissing as noise -- it is the clearest signal in the FACTS that pricing has cooled from its recent peak.

Inventory tells the rest of the story: with 9 closings in the trailing window, only 1 active listing today, and 1.3 months of supply, there simply is not much to compare a given home against. The median 10 days on market confirms that when something does list, it does not sit. About 77.5% of homes here carry a homestead exemption, which points to owner-occupancy as the norm rather than investor or rental turnover -- a factor in why so little comes to market at once.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Kernan Forest. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
8.1B+ · Buy Score
Long-Term Appreciation9.0/10
Owner Commitment7.7/10
Pricing Power7.6/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (8.1). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +149% since 2012; Owner Commitment 77% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 96.4% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

With only a single active listing in a 173-home community, there is no real comparable-sales cushion to lean on -- pricing a home here, or bidding on one, takes someone tracking this specific pocket of Duval County closely rather than relying on broad Jacksonville averages. We watch the closings as they happen, not after the fact, so you are not pricing off an 11.1% stale number.

Kernan Forest in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who want newer construction (2003-2005) and larger floor plans and can move quickly when the rare listing appears.
Biggest advantageLarger, newer homes -- a median 2,783 square feet at a median build year of 2004.
Biggest riskPricing is currently in a pullback, down 11.1% year over year after a long prior run-up.
Sweet spotA single well-priced listing with 1.3 months of supply and a 10-day median market time -- decisions happen fast.
Avoid ifYou need multiple options to compare -- with 1 active listing, there is little to choose from at any given time.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Has a CDD assessment
  • Mandatory HOA. Confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

kernan forest homes, specs and resales, with the real hoa + cdd math attached. don't fill: get kernan forest listings & market intel we represe

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Kernan Forest sales matched to your home.

What is your Kernan Forest home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Kernan Forest, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Kernan Forest on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Kernan Forest?
The median sale price in Kernan Forest was $490K over the 12 months ending August 26, 2026 (10 closed sales, realMLS).
How long do homes in Kernan Forest take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending August 26, 2026 took a median 11 days on market (10 sales, realMLS).
How many homes are in Kernan Forest?
The Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll shows 146 homes in Kernan Forest (public records).
What share of Kernan Forest is owner-occupied?
77% of Kernan Forest parcels carry a homestead exemption on the 2025 Florida DOR roll, the owner-occupancy proxy in public records.
When were the homes in Kernan Forest built?
Homes in Kernan Forest were built between 2003 and 2005, with a median year built of 2004 (FL DOR 2025 roll).
Have Kernan Forest home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 149% since 2012, from $196K to $490K (realMLS closed records).
What schools serve Kernan Forest?
Kernan Forest is served by Duval County Public Schools, typically Sabal Palm Elementary, Landmark Middle School and Sandalwood High School. Confirm the exact zoning by address with the district.
Who is the best real estate agent for Kernan Forest?
The best agent for Kernan Forest is one who actively works Jacksonville and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Kernan Forest.
How do I find a top Jacksonville real estate agent who knows Kernan Forest?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Kernan Forest and the wider Jacksonville area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Kernan Forest?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Kernan Forest purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers targeting a larger home (median 2,783 sq ft) built in the 2003-2005 range and ready to act within days, not weeks, once something lists.Excellent fit
Buyers comfortable pricing near a $480,000 median who understand that figure has softened 11.1% from a year ago.Excellent fit
Sellers who want a fast sale in a low-supply market (1.3 months of supply, 10-day median days on market) and are realistic about the recent year-over-year dip.Excellent fit
Buyers who want to compare several active listings side by side before deciding -- there is currently just 1 on the market.Probably not
Sellers expecting to price off the community's peak-of-cycle numbers rather than the current 11.1% year-over-year decline.Probably not
Buyers set on a home built well outside the 2003-2005 window that defines most of this community's 173 homes.Probably not

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Kernan Forest with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

CRCrystal Ridge Jacksonville0.2 mi awayHGHammock Grove Jacksonville0.3 mi awayMt Pleasant Creek Jacksonville0.3 mi awayTPTiffany Pines Jacksonville0.4 mi awayEagles Creek Jacksonville0.6 mi awayRPRiver Point At Monument Landing Jacksonville0.6 mi awayFCFort Caroline Shores Jacksonville0.7 mi awaySPSpanish Point Jacksonville0.8 mi away

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsrealMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 26, 2026)
Community market statsrealMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 26, 2026
Housing stock & ownershipFlorida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 32225))
Under-contract sharesrealMLS records, as of 2026-08-18
Schools2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2003 (384 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

Looking to buy here? Search homes for sale →

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CallFree valuation →
Thinking of selling in Kernan Forest? 10 recorded closings; median 11 days on market (window ending 2026-08-26). See the Duval County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
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