Lakes by the Bay Jay
Homes for Sale in Cutler Bay, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Photo via MIAMI MLS
As of September 2026, Lakes By the Bay Jay in Cutler Bay, FL has 1 home for sale. Over the 12 months ending 2026-09-12, 11 recorded sales closed at a median of $402,000, $244 per square foot, a median 58 days on market, sellers accepting 96% of original asking (-10% versus the prior year). At the median price and Miami-Dade County's FY2025-26 rate of 17.59 mills, annual property tax runs about $7,070 ($6,360 with the full homestead exemption).

Lakes By The Bay Jay is pricing in a market that has softened. The median sale sits at $402,000, down 9.7% year over year, and homes are taking a median of 58 days to close — well past what a brisk market would show. With only 11 closings in the current window, pricing here is sensitive to each individual sale, so comparable selection matters more than usual.
A market heat score this low points to a buyer's market: inventory is sitting, and sellers who price against last year's numbers are the ones stalling. For buyers, that translates into room to negotiate on price and terms. For sellers, it means the listing needs to be priced to today's data, not to where the market was a year ago.
Lakes by the Bay Jay right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($402K) is down 9.7% from the prior 12 months ($445K). With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 12. Confidence: Medium (11 and 8 sales in the two windows).
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Updated September 12, 2026 · Live data: MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Lakes by the Bay Jay market snapshot (as of September 12, 2026): the median sale price is about $402K ($244 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 58 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 10% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales (11 closings in the current window).
This is a smaller-volume market where price per square foot ($250.33) gives a more stable read than the median alone, given how few closings are informing the numbers.
Who Lakes by the Bay Jay is best for.
Best for
- A buyer with flexibility on timeline who wants to negotiate from a position of leverage.
- A buyer focused on value per square foot rather than a specific home's list price.
- An investor comfortable underwriting off thin, sale-by-sale data rather than a stable trend line.
Probably not for
- A buyer who needs shared community amenities as part of the purchase decision.
- A seller expecting last year's price levels to hold.
- A buyer who needs a quick, low-uncertainty closing timeline.
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending September 12 of each year, from record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($402K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($445K) IS the -9.7% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 19 sales each (11 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2012 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Miami-Dade County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Miami-Dade County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
LAKES BY THE BAY JAY Market Scorecard
LAKES BY THE BAY JAY is currently a thin data market. Limited supply, a median asking price of $455,000, and homes go under contract in about 15 days.
Typical home value in the 33190 ZIP is $436,607, about 15.2% above the Florida norm (Zillow Home Value Index).
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Lakes by the Bay Jay
Live MLS inventory for Lakes by the Bay Jay. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active and pending Lakes by the Bay Jay listings as of 2026-09-12, priced high to low. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2012 through 2026. Tap any home to ask about it.
The Lakes by the Bay Jay buying strategy.
If we were buying in Lakes by the Bay Jay today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lakes by the Bay Jay.
A market correcting in real time
The year-over-year decline of 9.7% is the headline number here, and it is not a rounding error — it reflects a genuine shift in what buyers are willing to pay. Paired with a median 58 days on market, this is not a community where homes are moving quickly at asking price. Sellers testing the top of the range are the ones most likely to see extended time on market.
With only 11 closings feeding the current snapshot, no single sale should be read as gospel for what a specific home is worth. The price-per-square-foot figure of $250.33 is the more durable data point for underwriting an offer or a listing price, since it normalizes for size differences across a thin sample. No community amenities are listed in current MLS data, so value here is being driven by the homes themselves — condition, layout, lot — rather than shared features.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lakes by the Bay Jay. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a low-volume, declining market, the comps get harder to read, not easier — a handful of sales can swing the median in either direction. We pull the underlying sales, not just the headline number, so an offer or a list price is built on what is actually closing, not a stale year-over-year average.
Lakes by the Bay Jay in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- HOA status not on record. Verify any dues before you offer
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Lakes by the Bay Jay buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lakes by the Bay Jay sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Lakes by the Bay Jay, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Lakes by the Bay Jay home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lakes by the Bay Jay, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See all homes for sale in Cutler Bay →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Lakes by the Bay Jay?
How long do homes in Lakes by the Bay Jay take to sell?
Who is the best real estate agent for Lakes by the Bay Jay?
How do I find a top Cutler Bay real estate agent who knows Lakes by the Bay Jay?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lakes by the Bay Jay?
Should you buy in Lakes by the Bay Jay?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Lakes by the Bay Jay with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: September 12, 2026) |
| Community market stats | MIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 12, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | MIAMI MLS records, as of 2026-09-08 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2012 (112 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of MIAMI MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the MIAMI MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live local comps.
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See how LAKES BY THE BAY JAY fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores:
