Lakes by the Bay Jay
Homes for Sale in Cutler Bay, FL

All 78 homes for sale in Cutler Bay, FL · median $310,000 · 32 townhomes for sale in Cutler Bay · Miami-Dade County homes for sale

Community in Cutler Bay · Miami-Dade County · ZIP 33185
Median sale $401K
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Live Market Pulse
24/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2019 → 2026 · 85 at the 2022 peak
0 is Lakes by the Bay Jay's coldest market since 2019, 100 its hottest. Today: 24. How it's scored

Photo via MIAMI MLS

Built fromLive MIAMI MLS data14 years of closingsUpdated twice daily

As of October 2026, Lakes By the Bay Jay in Cutler Bay, FL has 2 homes for sale. Over the 12 months ending 2026-09-20, 10 recorded sales closed at a median of $401,000, $243 per square foot, a median 47 days on market, sellers accepting 97% of original asking (-9% versus the prior year). At the median price and Miami-Dade County's FY2025-26 rate of 17.59 mills, annual property tax runs about $7,050 ($6,340 with the full homestead exemption).

LAKES BY THE BAY JAY key facts
LocationCutler Bay, Miami-Dade County, FL · ZIP 33185, 33190
Sale prices, last 12 months$401,000 median across 10 closed sales · $243 per sq ft · -8.9% vs the prior 12 months
Days on market (closed sales)47 median
For sale right now2 active, 0 pending · median asking $455,000

Data as of September 20, 2026. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2012 through 2026. Market figures describe homes, not residents. Cite as: Momentum Realty, “LAKES BY THE BAY JAY key facts,” movewithmomentum.com/neighborhoods/lakes-by-the-bay-jay, data as of September 20, 2026.

Last 30 days in Lakes by the Bay Jay: 2 new listings (median asking $455,000). As of September 23, 2026, Listing information provided by the Southeast Florida MLS (SEFMLS) / MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R). Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate.

Live · Lakes by the Bay Jay Housing Pulse MIAMI MLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$401K ▼
Median sold · 12 mo
down 8.9% vs the prior 12 months
-8.9% ▼
1-yr price change
n = 10 and 8 sales in the two windows
$243/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $258 in 2024
97.4%
Sale vs ask
Tempo
47days
Median DOM · closed
9 days at the 2021 low
0%
Under contract
Miami-Dade: 18% (3,367 of 18,681)
2 · 0
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
10
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 11 a year
Track record · 14 years of records
1,705sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Lakes By The Bay Jay is pricing in a market that has softened. The median sale sits at $402,000, down 9.7% year over year, and homes are taking a median of 58 days to close — well past what a brisk market would show. With only 11 closings in the current window, pricing here is sensitive to each individual sale, so comparable selection matters more than usual.

A market heat score this low points to a buyer's market: inventory is sitting, and sellers who price against last year's numbers are the ones stalling. For buyers, that translates into room to negotiate on price and terms. For sellers, it means the listing needs to be priced to today's data, not to where the market was a year ago.

Lakes by the Bay Jay Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of September 20, 2026

Lakes by the Bay Jay right now

🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($401K) is down 8.9% from the prior 12 months ($440K). With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20. Confidence: Medium (10 and 8 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

· Updated October 2, 2026 · Live data: MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Lakes by the Bay Jay market snapshot (as of September 20, 2026): the median sale price is about $401K ($243 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 47 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 9% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level MIAMI MLS closed sales (10 closings in the current window).

In ZIP 33185 (Cutler Bay), 155 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $715K ($323/sq ft), down 0.1% year over year, with a median 58 days on market. Right now 51 active and 15 pending listings — a balanced market. See the live ZIP 33185 housing market and the Miami-Dade County market.

MIAMI REALTORS sales records identify 97 homes in LAKES BY THE BAY JAY that have changed hands since 2009, built between 2005 and 2007 (median 2005), with a median living area of about 1,705 sq ft and a typical 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath layout; 95% are townhomes. Source: MIAMI REALTORS closed-sale history compiled by Momentum Research; counts reflect homes with a recorded MLS sale, not every home in the community.

This is a smaller-volume market where price per square foot ($250.33) gives a more stable read than the median alone, given how few closings are informing the numbers.

Best for

  • A buyer with flexibility on timeline who wants to negotiate from a position of leverage.
  • A buyer focused on value per square foot rather than a specific home's list price.
  • An investor comfortable underwriting off thin, sale-by-sale data rather than a stable trend line.

Probably not for

  • A buyer who needs shared community amenities as part of the purchase decision.
  • A seller expecting last year's price levels to hold.
  • A buyer who needs a quick, low-uncertainty closing timeline.

Windows contain 0 to 19 sales each (10 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2012 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$300K$400K20122014201620182020202220242026
Down 8.9% year over year.
Every sale since 2012 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K2k2k2k
112 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$150$200$25020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $138 in 2012 to a $258 peak in 2024; $243 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
204020122014201620182020202220242026
9 days at the 2021 low; 47 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
96%98%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
97.4% now.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
0102020122014201620182020202220242026
0 to 19 a year; 10 in the current window.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2020202220242026
85 at the 2022 peak, 14 in the troughs, 24 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

The real cost & risk here

Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Miami-Dade County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.

$3,210/mo
Miami-Dade County typical true cost to own
$158/mo
Miami-Dade County typical home insurance
Check CDD
Confirm before you offer

County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.

How much local inventory is already under contract

22% of homes for sale in ZIP 33190 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-09-24).

Lakes by the Bay Jay Market Scorecard

Balanced

Lakes by the Bay Jay is currently a balanced market., a median asking price of $455,000, and homes go under contract in about 22 days.

$455,000
Median list
$401,000
Median sold
$267
List $/sqft
22
Days on mkt
2/0/0
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: MIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Lakes by the Bay Jay

Live MLS inventory for Lakes by the Bay Jay. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Lakes by the Bay Jay listings as of 2026-09-23, priced high to low. Based on information from the Southeast Florida Multiple Listing Service (SEFMLS) or from MIAMI Association of REALTORS(R) for the period 2012 through 2026. Tap any home to ask about it.

Every Home for Sale in Lakes By The Bay Jay Right Now (2)

All 2 active and pending Lakes By The Bay Jay listings with a detail page, newest first, refreshed twice a day from the MLS.

  • 22067 SW 88th Path · $455,000 · 3 bd / 3 ba · listed Sep 17, 2026 · listed by Compass Florida, LLC
  • 21943 SW 88th Path · $455,000 · 3 bd / 3 ba · listed Sep 11, 2026 · listed by Compass Florida, LLC

If we were buying in Lakes by the Bay Jay today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lakes by the Bay Jay.

Best Buy
Buyers comfortable moving on a home in a market that is currently favoring negotiation over urgency.
Biggest Risk
Thin closing volume means each new sale can meaningfully shift the reported median.
Sweet Spot
Buyers and sellers willing to price and offer based on price per square foot rather than the headline median alone.
Avoid If
You need a fast, high-confidence close in a tight window — 58 days is the current norm, not the exception.

A market correcting in real time

The year-over-year decline of 9.7% is the headline number here, and it is not a rounding error — it reflects a genuine shift in what buyers are willing to pay. Paired with a median 58 days on market, this is not a community where homes are moving quickly at asking price. Sellers testing the top of the range are the ones most likely to see extended time on market.

With only 11 closings feeding the current snapshot, no single sale should be read as gospel for what a specific home is worth. The price-per-square-foot figure of $250.33 is the more durable data point for underwriting an offer or a listing price, since it normalizes for size differences across a thin sample. No community amenities are listed in current MLS data, so value here is being driven by the homes themselves — condition, layout, lot — rather than shared features.

“

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lakes by the Bay Jay. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty

Why work with Momentum here

In a low-volume, declining market, the comps get harder to read, not easier — a handful of sales can swing the median in either direction. We pull the underlying sales, not just the headline number, so an offer or a list price is built on what is actually closing, not a stale year-over-year average.

Lakes by the Bay Jay in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers comfortable moving on a home in a market that is currently favoring negotiation over urgency.
Biggest advantageThe 9.7% pullback and extended days on market give buyers real room to negotiate on price and terms.
Biggest riskThin closing volume means each new sale can meaningfully shift the reported median.
Sweet spotBuyers and sellers willing to price and offer based on price per square foot rather than the headline median alone.
Avoid ifYou need a fast, high-confidence close in a tight window — 58 days is the current norm, not the exception.

HOA, CDD & Fees

A note on who we are: Momentum Realty is a real estate brokerage. We are not the Lakes by the Bay Jay homeowners association, its management company or its developer, and we cannot help with dues, gate access, violations, amenity bookings or association documents. To reach the association, check your closing package, the recorded declaration at the county clerk, or search the association’s name at sunbiz.org for its registered agent. Call or message us to buy or sell a home in Lakes by the Bay Jay.
In short
  • HOA dues reported around $125/month (about $1,500/yr) · median of 4 MLS listings, most billed monthly
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Listings in this community report association dues of about $125 per month ($1,500 a year) — the median AssociationFee across 4 MLS records, normalised to a monthly figure; most are billed monthly. Dues change with budgets and can differ by section or product type; confirm the current figure with the association before you offer. Source: MLS listing records, 2026-10.

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lakes by the Bay Jay sales matched to your home.

What is your Lakes by the Bay Jay home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lakes by the Bay Jay, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

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Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Lakes by the Bay Jay?
The median sale price in Lakes by the Bay Jay was $401K over the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 (10 closed sales, MIAMI MLS).
How long do homes in Lakes by the Bay Jay take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 took a median 47 days on market (10 sales, MIAMI MLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Lakes by the Bay Jay?
The best agent for Lakes by the Bay Jay is one who actively works Cutler Bay and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Lakes by the Bay Jay.
How do I find a top Cutler Bay real estate agent who knows Lakes by the Bay Jay?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 320+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Lakes by the Bay Jay and the wider Cutler Bay area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lakes by the Bay Jay?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Lakes by the Bay Jay purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Where is Lakes by the Bay Jay, and what county is it in?
Lakes by the Bay Jay is in Cutler Bay, Miami-Dade County, FL, ZIP codes 33185, 33190.
A buyer with flexibility on timeline who wants to negotiate from a position of leverage.Excellent fit
A buyer focused on value per square foot rather than a specific home's list price.Excellent fit
An investor comfortable underwriting off thin, sale-by-sale data rather than a stable trend line.Excellent fit
A buyer who needs shared community amenities as part of the purchase decision.Probably not
A seller expecting last year's price levels to hold.Probably not
A buyer who needs a quick, low-uncertainty closing timeline.Probably not

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsMIAMI MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: September 23, 2026)
Community market statsMIAMI MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20, 2026
Under-contract sharesMIAMI MLS records, as of 2026-09-20
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2012 (112 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of MIAMI MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the MIAMI MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live local comps.

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More on Lakes by the Bay Jay

Thinking of selling in LAKES BY THE BAY JAY? 10 recorded closings; median 47 days on market (window ending 2026-09-20). See the Miami-Dade County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Lakes by the Bay Jay with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

Lakes By The Bay Kaye0.1 mi away · median $575K, 5 sales/12 moPrecious Homes At Lakes B0.2 mi away · 1 for saleWindy Pointe Condo0.2 mi awayThe Courts At Bayshore I C0.3 mi away · 1 for saleLakes By The Bay Gee0.4 mi away · median $410K, 5 sales/12 moSanta Barbara (Miami Dade)0.4 mi away · median $415K, 6 sales/12 moThe Courts At Bayshore0.4 mi away · median $299K, 10 sales/12 mo

Browse all neighborhood guides →

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