Fall Creek
Homes for Sale in Orange Park, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
As of October 2026, the MLS records 28 closed sales in Fall Creek in Orange Park, FL since 2005, the most recent in August 2025. Across Orange Park as a whole, 637 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $325,000, 40 median days on market, with 161 homes for sale today. At that median and Clay County's FY2025-26 rate of 15.05 mills, annual property tax runs about $4,890 ($4,300 with the full homestead exemption).
Fall Creek is a tight, cohesive pocket in Orange Park — 90 homes built in a narrow window between 2004 and 2006, with a median around 2,055 square feet. When a subdivision goes up that quickly, floor plans and lot types rarely vary much, so the thing that actually moves price here is condition. Two homes of nearly identical size will trade apart based on updates, roof and system age, and how the interior has been kept over the last two decades.
About 60% of the homes carry a homestead exemption, which tells you this is a lived-in, owner-occupied community rather than a rental play — turnover tends to be steady rather than frantic. For a seller, that means your comp set is close and honest, and buyers will notice deferred maintenance fast. For a buyer, it means you should underwrite for age: these homes are roughly two decades old, and pricing should reflect what has and hasn't been renewed.
The 60-Second Overview
Fall Creek is a small, single-era community in Orange Park where the homes are close in vintage and size, so the story is less about the neighborhood's spread and more about how each individual home has aged.
Pre-construction details are compiled from public records, builder announcements and builder listings, and are subject to change without notice; figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Momentum Research figures are our own analysis. This page describes homes, pricing and community attributes, not residents.
Who Fall Creek is best for.
Best for
- Buyers wanting a settled, owner-occupied neighborhood with straightforward pricing
- Buyers targeting roughly 2,000+ square feet who will pay for renovation quality
- Long-hold buyers comfortable budgeting for aging-system replacement
Probably not for
- Buyers who want new construction or the latest floor plans
- Buyers seeking a range of home sizes and styles within one community
- Buyers unwilling to underwrite roof and HVAC age on a ~2005-era home
The market around Fall Creek
Fall Creek is too small for its own price trend, so here is the market around it.
In ZIP 32065, 167 homes are on the market and 26% are under contract — a steady corner of Orange Park.
Across Clay County, 1,290 homes are active and 439 pending (25% under contract).
ZIP and county figures describe the wider market, not Fall Creek specifically. Momentum Research analysis of MLS records.
Housing distress & ownership in Fall Creek, Orange Park
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Recent Developments in Fall Creek Orange Park Clay
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Fall Creek Orange Park Clay, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The site is about 3 miles southwest of Fall Creek Orange Park Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record - June 2026Builder Activity
Hyland Trail to bring over 3,000 homes to Lake Asbury in Clay County
News4Jax reported that Hyland Trail, along with the related Edenbrooke and The Glens communities, will bring more than 3,000 new homes to the Lake Asbury area of Clay County. Homes are being built by Dream Finders, Pulte and Lennar, with a Lodge amenity center featuring a beach-entry pool, splash zone, exercise facility and pickleball courts. Edenbrooke includes an age-restricted, low-maintenance home section.
What it may mean for the marketAdds a large volume of new single-family housing supply and a private amenity center to the Lake Asbury area, expanding for-sale inventory across a range of home sizes and price points. The project is about 15 miles south of Fall Creek Orange Park Clay, elsewhere in Clay County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 16 miles southeast of Fall Creek Orange Park Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The site is about 3 miles southwest of Fall Creek Orange Park Clay.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Fall Creek buying strategy.
If we were buying in Fall Creek today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Fall Creek.
A single-vintage subdivision
Everything in Fall Creek was built inside a three-year span, and the median size lands just over 2,000 square feet. That consistency cuts both ways. It makes valuation cleaner — there are real, recent comparables that look like the house next door — but it also means differentiation comes almost entirely from what an owner has done since 2005. Roofs, HVAC, water heaters, and kitchens from that era are at or past the point where replacement matters, so the question on any given listing is simply: updated or original.
With roughly 60% homesteaded, this reads as an established owner-occupied enclave in Clay County. That stability keeps the market measured. Sellers who have kept their systems current can price with confidence against the pack; sellers who haven't should expect the market to discount accordingly. There's no wide price range to hide behind here — the spread is driven by condition, not by geography or size.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Fall Creek. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a 90-home community where the floor plans rhyme, the difference between a strong number and a soft one is knowing which recent sale actually matches your home's condition. We read Fall Creek's comps at that level — systems, updates, and vintage — so buyers don't overpay for original finishes and sellers get credit for the work they've put in. That's the whole job in a market this tightly grouped.
Fall Creek in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- HOA status not on record. Verify any dues before you offer
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Fall Creek buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Fall Creek sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Fall Creek, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Fall Creek home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Fall Creek, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Fall Creek on the map →
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Clay County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Clay County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
Frequently Asked Questions
How many homes are in Fall Creek?
What share of Fall Creek is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Fall Creek built?
Who is the best real estate agent for Fall Creek?
How do I find a top Orange Park real estate agent who knows Fall Creek?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Fall Creek?
Should you buy in Fall Creek?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (2 streets, ZIP 32065)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-10-01 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2005 (28 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live local comps.
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See how Fall Creek fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores:
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