Gran Lake
Homes for Sale in St. Augustine, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Gran Lake's median sale price sits at $622,500, with a median price per square foot just under $209 — a combination that points to finish level and condition doing most of the work on value, since there is almost no competing inventory to set the comps (just 3 active listings). At a median 67 days on market, homes here are not moving on urgency; they are moving on a buyer finding the right fit and a seller pricing it correctly the first time.
Prices are up 6.4% over the trailing 12 closings, and months of supply sits at 3.0 — Momentum's balanced-market read. With a market heat score of 31, this is not a bidding-war environment. Sellers can expect real appreciation without needing to chase the market; buyers who do their homework have room to negotiate terms rather than just price.
Gran Lake right now
🟢 Buyer-leaning market. 8.0 months of supply and 25% of the inventory already under contract give buyers above-average negotiating leverage.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of August 28, 2026. Confidence: High (8 active and pending listings, 9 closed sales in 12 months).
🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($600K) is down 3.2% from the prior 12 months ($620K). With about 23 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 28. Confidence: Medium (9 and 17 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 28, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Gran Lake market snapshot (as of August 28, 2026): the median sale price is about $600K ($191 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 52 days on market for closed sales, and 8.0 months of supply, a buyer-leaning market. The trailing-12-month median is down 3% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (9 closings in the current window).
Gran Lake is a small, balanced-market community in St. Augustine, St. Johns County, where inventory is thin enough (3 active listings as of 2026-07-11) that each listing effectively sets its own comp rather than competing against a deep pool of alternatives.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Gran Lake. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
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Gran LakePhotos from realMLS listings in Gran Lake; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Gran Lake is best for.
Best for
- A buyer targeting the mid-$600s who has already secured financing and can move once the right listing appears
- A seller comfortable pricing to recent comps and allowing roughly two months of market time rather than expecting an instant sale
- A buyer or seller who prefers a balanced negotiation over competing in a fast, multiple-offer market
Probably not for
- A buyer who wants to compare several similar homes side by side before choosing — inventory here is too thin for that
- A seller expecting a bidding war or a sale in a matter of days
- A buyer with a hard, near-term move-in deadline who cannot wait for the right listing to surface
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 28 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($600K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($620K) IS the -3.2% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 52 sales each (9 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are St. Johns County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · St. Johns County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.
Gran Lake Market Scorecard
Gran Lake is currently a seller's market. About 3.0 months of supply, a median asking price of $515,000, and homes go under contract in about 51 days.
Go deeper: county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Typical value: Zillow Research. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Gran Lake, St. Augustine
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Homes For Sale Right Now in Gran Lake
Live MLS inventory for Gran Lake. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.
Active · 9 daysTop listing
Active · 9 days
Active · 72 days
Active · 34 days
Active · 202 days
Active · 7 days
Pending · 16 daysPending · 73 daysActive and pending Gran Lake listings as of 2026-08-28, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.
Gran Lake on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Gran Lake
- Clubhouse · reported on 14 of 14 listings
- Pool · reported on 12 of 14 listings
- Playground · reported on 12 of 14 listings
- Jogging Path · reported on 9 of 14 listings
- Water · reported on 3 of 14 listings
- Maintenance Grounds · reported on 3 of 14 listings
- Park · reported on 2 of 14 listings
- Fishing · reported on 2 of 14 listings
- Fitness Center · reported on 1 of 14 listings
- Boat Launch · reported on 1 of 14 listings
- Boat Dock · reported on 1 of 14 listings
- Barbecue · reported on 1 of 14 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
How far is everything?
Everyday stops around Gran Lake are close: the nearest groceries is about 2 minutes away.
- Publix · Groceries2 min
- Whataburger · Dining2 min
- Parkway Village at St Johns · Shopping2 min
- Starbucks · Coffee2 min
- Murabella Amenity Center · Parks4 min
- Baptist Heart Specialists · Health8 min
Approximate drive times via Mapbox Search + Directions, 2026-07-03. Verify for a specific address.
Schools
- St. Johns County Public Schools
- Verify the zoned schools by address
- Magnet and choice options may be available
- Picolata Crossing ElementaryFLDOE grade A · Public PreK-5
- Pacetti Bay Middle SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 6-8
- Tocoi Creek High SchoolFLDOE grade A · Public 9-12
Grades are official Florida Department of Education school grades for 2025-26. Assignments are reported as of the 2025-26 year and can change; always confirm with St. Johns County Public Schools for a specific address.
Buying with schools in mind? We can confirm the exact zoned schools for any Gran Lake address.
Recent Developments in Gran Lake
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Gran Lake, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Infrastructure
CR 210 widening westbound lanes set to reopen in St. Johns County
News4Jax reported that all westbound lanes of the County Road 210 widening project in St. Johns County were expected to reopen by the end of Friday, July 31, 2026, ahead of the August 10 school year start. The county said it is managing 44 active road projects totaling $183.1 million this year.
What it may mean for the marketExpands roadway capacity on a major county corridor, improving traffic flow and supporting continued growth along the CR 210 area. The project is about 12 miles north of Gran Lake, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: News4Jax - July 2026Development
Six agricultural enclave projects seek to develop 6,500-plus acres in St. Johns County
Jacksonville Today reported that St. Johns County received six proposals totaling more than 6,558 acres for development under a new Florida agricultural enclave law that took effect July 1, 2026. The largest proposal, about 4,462 acres north of Nocatee, comes from the Davis family and the PARC Group. The County Commission scheduled a public hearing on the proposals for August 19, 2026.
What it may mean for the marketSignals a large potential expansion of developable land and future housing and commercial capacity, using a new state process that can convert farmland to residential and commercial use with reduced local review. The project is about 12 miles northeast of Gran Lake, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Retail & Dining
Publix opens and more retailers coming to Marketplace at Nocatee
An official Nocatee business update reported that a Publix supermarket with a pharmacy drive-thru and adjacent Publix Liquors has opened at Marketplace at Nocatee. Additional announced tenants include SoFresh in late summer 2026, a Gate gas station, BODYBAR Pilates, a nail spa and a wine and spirits shop. The Hub at Nocatee entertainment concept is slated for 2028.
What it may mean for the marketExpands grocery, dining and everyday retail capacity at a growing town center, adding anchor and service tenants that build out the commercial base of the area. The project is about 14 miles north of Gran Lake, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Nocatee - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 15 miles northwest of Gran Lake.
Source: Jax Daily Record - May 2026Retail & Dining
Grocery-anchored retail center proposed in Durbin Park
A grocery-anchored retail center was proposed at Durbin Park, the large mixed-use development near Interstate 95 and County Road 210 in northern St. Johns County, adding to the district's existing stores, restaurants, and Walmart-anchored core.
What it may mean for the marketAdded grocery and retail at Durbin Park deepens everyday conveniences in northern St. Johns County, an amenity factor that can support demand for surrounding communities. The project is about 12 miles north of Gran Lake, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Retail & Dining
Durbin Park Walmart plans an expansion
The Walmart anchoring Durbin Park filed plans to expand in early 2026, reinforcing the retail core of the Interstate 95 and County Road 210 district in northern St. Johns County.
What it may mean for the marketInvestment in Durbin Park's retail anchor signals continued commercial strength in northern St. Johns County, which can reinforce the appeal of nearby residential areas. The project is about 12 miles north of Gran Lake, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Gran Lake buying strategy.
If we were buying in Gran Lake today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Use your leverage. With inventory sitting, there is room to negotiate on anything dated or overpriced and to ask for repairs or a rate buydown.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Gran Lake.
Thin Inventory, Steady Pricing
With only 3 active listings against 12 trailing closings, Gran Lake is a market where supply and demand are close to even — 3.0 months of supply lands squarely in Momentum's balanced band, meaning neither buyers nor sellers hold a decisive edge right now. A median 67 days on market backs that up: this is not a community where a listing gets multiple offers in a weekend, but it is also not one where a home sits stale for a season.
The median price per square foot, just under $209, combined with a 6.4% year-over-year gain, suggests the market is rewarding well-prepared, well-priced homes rather than any single feature. Because active inventory is so limited, a single new listing or a single closing can move these numbers meaningfully from one snapshot to the next — treat any one month's read here as a data point, not a trend line on its own.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Gran Lake. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Gran Lake buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (4.6). Basis: Recent Direction -3.2% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 8.0 months of supply; Pricing Power 94.8% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
A market this thin — 3 active listings at last count — rewards an agent who is tracking Gran Lake specifically, not scanning it as a footnote inside a broader St. Augustine search. Momentum watches the trailing closings and days-on-market pace here closely enough to tell a buyer when a new listing is priced to the recent comps and to tell a seller what 67 days of typical market time actually means for their pricing and timing strategy.
Gran Lake in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- No CDD
- HOA reported ~$1560/year
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Page states no CDD.
Tools for a Gran Lake buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Gran Lake sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Gran Lake, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Gran Lake home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Gran Lake, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Gran Lake on the map →
Or get your Gran Lake home value & selling guide →
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Gran Lake?
How long do homes in Gran Lake take to sell?
Is Gran Lake a buyer's or seller's market right now?
What schools serve Gran Lake?
Who is the best real estate agent for Gran Lake?
How do I find a top St. Augustine real estate agent who knows Gran Lake?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Gran Lake?
Should you buy in Gran Lake?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Gran Lake with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 28, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 28, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-28 |
| Schools | 2025-26 district assignments + FLDOE school grades; verify with the district |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2016 (231 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Own a home here?
You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.
The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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See how Gran Lake fits the bigger picture — live prices, inventory, and Momentum Scores: