Durbin Creek Estates
Homes for Sale in St. Johns, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Photo courtesy of MOMENTUM REALTY · via realMLS
Durbin Creek Estates in St. Johns is currently priced off a median of $599,000, or $243.68 per square foot. With only five closings feeding this snapshot, that median moves more on which specific homes happened to sell than on any broad shift in demand — a strong reason to price an individual home against its own comparables rather than the community aggregate.
The bigger signal is on the supply side: zero active listings as of this snapshot, against a median 20 days on market for the homes that did close. Year over year, the median price is down 19.1%, and the market heat score sits at 41. Read together, that is a market that has repriced down from a year ago, but sellers who do list are not sitting long once they do.
Durbin Creek Estates right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($570K) is down 18.4% from the prior 12 months ($698K). With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 19. Confidence: Low (6 and 4 sales in the two windows).
Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ
Updated August 19, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Durbin Creek Estates market snapshot (as of August 19, 2026): the median sale price is about $570K ($241 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 16 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 18% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (6 closings in the current window).
Durbin Creek Estates is a St. Johns County community with a playground among its reported amenities — buyers should confirm current access and any additional shared spaces directly with the HOA. Pricing here is best read through a small, recent set of closings rather than a deep, continuously refreshed inventory.
The setting & the homes.
Aerial and on-site photos of Durbin Creek Estates. Swipe to explore the community.
Swipe or use the arrows → tap any photo to enlarge
Durbin Creek Estates
Durbin Creek Estates
Durbin Creek Estates
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Durbin Creek Estates
Durbin Creek EstatesPhotos from realMLS listings in Durbin Creek Estates; content deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Who Durbin Creek Estates is best for.
Best for
- Buyers ready to act quickly once a home lists, given the 20-day median time on market
- Sellers comfortable pricing off a small, recent closing sample rather than a large active inventory
- Buyers or sellers working with a broker actively tracking off-market and pending activity in St. Johns County
Probably not for
- Buyers who want to compare several active listings side by side before deciding
- Anyone assuming the median price is a stable, wide-sample benchmark rather than a five-closing snapshot
- Sellers expecting last year's pricing trend given the -19.1% year-over-year change
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending August 19 of each year, from record-level realMLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($570K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($698K) IS the -18.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 37 sales each (6 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
33% of homes for sale in ZIP 32259 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-18).
Durbin Creek Estates Market Scorecard
Durbin Creek Estates is currently a balanced market..
Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.
Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
Housing distress & ownership in Durbin Creek Estates, St. Johns
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
Durbin Creek Estates on the map.
Every active, pending, and recently sold home, plotted. Toggle the layers and tap a home for the details.
Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.
Life at Durbin Creek Estates
- Playground · reported on 4 of 4 listings
Community amenities as reported across realMLS listings in this community; deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Verify current amenities and access with the HOA.
The Durbin Creek Estates buying strategy.
If we were buying in Durbin Creek Estates today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Durbin Creek Estates.
A Thin Market, Read Carefully
At a $599,000 median and $243.68 per square foot, Durbin Creek Estates sits in the pricing conversation with other St. Johns County communities, though this snapshot is built on just five closings — small enough that a single higher- or lower-priced sale can move the median meaningfully. Anyone comparing a specific listing here to the community figure should weigh it against that home's own condition and finish level, not just the aggregate.
Zero active listings at the time of this snapshot means there is currently nothing on the market to shop directly against — a buyer with real interest here needs to move on homes as they list, not a browse-and-compare approach. The homes that did close moved in a median of 20 days, the year-over-year price change is -19.1%, and the market heat score reads 41. That combination — quick closings on a smaller, lower-priced pool of recent sales — points to a market that has cooled from where it stood a year ago, even as what does sell keeps moving.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Durbin Creek Estates. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
With zero active listings and a snapshot built on only five closings, Durbin Creek Estates is not a community you can shop by scrolling a portal — it rewards a broker tracking off-market activity, expired and pending listings, and reading each new closing against the last one in real time. That is the kind of coverage Momentum keeps on St. Johns County communities like this one, where the data set is too thin for guesswork and too fast-moving, at a 20-day median, to react late.
Durbin Creek Estates in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Durbin Creek Estates buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Durbin Creek Estates sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Durbin Creek Estates, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Durbin Creek Estates home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Durbin Creek Estates, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Durbin Creek Estates on the map →
Recent Developments in Durbin Creek Estates
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Durbin Creek Estates, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Infrastructure
CR 210 widening westbound lanes set to reopen in St. Johns County
News4Jax reported that all westbound lanes of the County Road 210 widening project in St. Johns County were expected to reopen by the end of Friday, July 31, 2026, ahead of the August 10 school year start. The county said it is managing 44 active road projects totaling $183.1 million this year.
What it may mean for the marketExpands roadway capacity on a major county corridor, improving traffic flow and supporting continued growth along the CR 210 area. The project is about 8 miles east of Durbin Creek Estates, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: News4Jax - July 2026Retail & Dining
Publix opens and more retailers coming to Marketplace at Nocatee
An official Nocatee business update reported that a Publix supermarket with a pharmacy drive-thru and adjacent Publix Liquors has opened at Marketplace at Nocatee. Additional announced tenants include SoFresh in late summer 2026, a Gate gas station, BODYBAR Pilates, a nail spa and a wine and spirits shop. The Hub at Nocatee entertainment concept is slated for 2028.
What it may mean for the marketExpands grocery, dining and everyday retail capacity at a growing town center, adding anchor and service tenants that build out the commercial base of the area. The project is about 10 miles east of Durbin Creek Estates, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Nocatee - July 2026Development
Six agricultural enclave projects seek to develop 6,500-plus acres in St. Johns County
Jacksonville Today reported that St. Johns County received six proposals totaling more than 6,558 acres for development under a new Florida agricultural enclave law that took effect July 1, 2026. The largest proposal, about 4,462 acres north of Nocatee, comes from the Davis family and the PARC Group. The County Commission scheduled a public hearing on the proposals for August 19, 2026.
What it may mean for the marketSignals a large potential expansion of developable land and future housing and commercial capacity, using a new state process that can convert farmland to residential and commercial use with reduced local review. The project is about 10 miles east of Durbin Creek Estates, elsewhere in St. Johns County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - June 2026Infrastructure
First Coast Expressway advances as an economic-development corridor across Clay and St. Johns
The First Coast Expressway (State Road 23), a tolled beltway looping around the west and south of the Jacksonville metro, continued to open land for development along its corridor, with the final St. Johns County phase from Interstate 95 to east of County Road 2209 in progress. FDOT held a St. Johns County open house on the final phase in January 2026.
What it may mean for the marketNew limited-access highway capacity shortens commutes and opens adjacent land, changes that have historically shaped where new communities and demand concentrate. The site is about 11 miles southwest of Durbin Creek Estates.
Source: Jax Daily Record - May 2026Retail & Dining
Grocery-anchored retail center proposed in Durbin Park
A grocery-anchored retail center was proposed at Durbin Park, the large mixed-use development near Interstate 95 and County Road 210 in northern St. Johns County, adding to the district's existing stores, restaurants, and Walmart-anchored core.
What it may mean for the marketAdded grocery and retail at Durbin Park deepens everyday conveniences in northern St. Johns County, an amenity factor that can support demand for surrounding communities. The site is about 4 miles southeast of Durbin Creek Estates.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Retail & Dining
Durbin Park Walmart plans an expansion
The Walmart anchoring Durbin Park filed plans to expand in early 2026, reinforcing the retail core of the Interstate 95 and County Road 210 district in northern St. Johns County.
What it may mean for the marketInvestment in Durbin Park's retail anchor signals continued commercial strength in northern St. Johns County, which can reinforce the appeal of nearby residential areas. The site is about 4 miles southeast of Durbin Creek Estates.
Source: Jax Daily Record
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Durbin Creek Estates?
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How do I find a top St. Johns real estate agent who knows Durbin Creek Estates?
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Should you buy in Durbin Creek Estates?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Durbin Creek Estates with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Live listings | realMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: August 19, 2026) |
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 19, 2026 |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-18 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2004 (119 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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