Florida Housing IntelligenceDuval County › 32233 (Atlantic Beach)
Aerial view of 32233, Florida

32233 (Atlantic Beach)
Homes for Sale & Housing Market

ZIP code market report · Duval County

Median sale price $587,500, down 14.0% year over year, with homes going under contract in about 46 days, 48 homes on the market.

32 communities reporting319 sales analyzedRefreshed twice dailyMomentum Score 57
Live Market Pulse
57/100
Momentum
Balanced Market
Prices are down 14% year over year — negotiating room is real. Recalculated every day from licensed MLS data · last refresh September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET.
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Live · 32233 Housing Pulse Licensed FL MLS feeds + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$588K
Median sold · 12 moConfidence: High
down 14.0% vs the prior 12 months
-14.0%
1-yr price change
n = 319 recent sales
$379/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
Duval County: $183 · -11.5% vs prior yr
94.7%
Sale vs ask
Duval County: 95.6% · +0.4pp vs prior yr
$296K
Duval County home value
Zillow ZHVI, monthly · -1.2% vs a year ago
Tempo
2.9mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
46days
Median DOM · closed
Duval County: 44 days · +6.0 days vs prior yr
32%
Under contract
Duval County: 35%
48 · 22 ▼1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
253
Sold · last 12 mo
closed across all tracked communities · +13.9% vs prior yr
Market context
28%
Listings with price cuts
Duval County · Zillow · +1.1pp vs prior month
5,435
County for-sale inventory
Zillow, monthly · -0.5% vs prior month
3%
New construction
share of recent sales · -2.9pp vs prior yr
57/100
Momentum score
Balanced Market
32
Communities reporting
of 107 tracked in 32233
Economy & people · county layer
$68,447
Median household income
U.S. Census ACS, county
1,007,189
County population
+9.0% since 2018
4.3×
Price to income
county home value vs median income
58%
Owner-occupied
U.S. Census ACS, county
$2,142/yr
Median property tax
county, ACS
Licensed FL MLSZillow ResearchU.S. Census ACSPublic records
$3.5B+ sold 10,000+ customers served Top 1% in Florida · RealTrends 800+ five-star reviews Licensed FL MLS data Updated daily
Today's Take · September 15, 2026
Jon Brooks
Jon Brooks
Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research
Housing Market Analyst

Inventory sits at 2.9 months of supply — tight by the 3-to-6-month balanced benchmark, and 32% of listed homes are already under contract. Prices are down 14.0% versus the prior year, but sellers are still collecting 94.7% of asking. Taken together, the data points to a broadly balanced market where preparation decides who wins.

What It Means

Who has leverage right now

BUYER'S SELLER'S 57
Momentum Score
Buyer leverage43
Seller leverage57

Leverage scores are derived from the Momentum Score (supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend). Right now the data favors neither side decisively.

Momentum Outlook
  • Prices — more likely to stabilize than fall sharply. Supply remains below balanced levels even as prices soften; without a meaningful inventory build, further declines tend to be shallow.
  • Inventory — building over the tracked window; watch whether that holds through the season.
  • Negotiating power — buyers gain ground as 32% of inventory sits under contract.
  • Mortgage sensitivity — at 4.3× income, this market is moderately sensitive to rate moves; rate relief tends to show up in demand here quickly.

Derived from current 32233 data, not a prediction or guarantee. Markets move; talk to an agent before acting on any single reading.

Supply by Price Band

One inventory number hides four different markets

Under $300K
3.4 mo · balanced band · 7 active
$300K–$500K
1.1 mo · seller-tilted · 5 active
$500K–$750K
2.2 mo · seller-tilted · 22 active
$750K+
3.4 mo · balanced band · 14 active

Months of supply = active listings ÷ monthly sales pace, bucketing communities by their recent median. 3–6 months is the balanced band.

Neighborhood Heat Map

Where 32233 is hot — and where it isn't

Each dot is a community (32 shown, sized by sales volume rank). Click any dot to open its full neighborhood guide.

Analysis

The read on 32233 (Atlantic Beach)

The median sale price across 32233 currently stands at $587,500, down 14.0% from a year ago. Buyers are paying a median of $379 per square foot. The typical home goes under contract in about 46 days. Sellers are capturing 94.7% of their original asking price on average.

There are 48 active listings on the market, with 22 more already under contract. At the current sales pace that works out to 2.9 months of supply — a seller-leaning market by the standard six-month benchmark. 253 homes closed here over the trailing 12 months.

Zillow's home value index for Duval County stands at $296,317. About 28% of listings county-wide have taken a price cut — a useful gauge of seller flexibility.

Weighing supply, demand, speed, pricing power, and trend together, the Momentum Score for 32233 is 57 of 100 — balanced market territory. This page recalculates every day as new MLS data lands, so the numbers above reflect the market as of September 15, 2026.

Trends & History

32233 since 2012 — and where it’s heading

A median home here sold for $242,638 in 2012 and $649,196 over the last recorded year — 168% appreciation across 14 years of recorded sales.

Median sale price · 2012–2026 (5,047 recorded sales)

$231K$518K$804K$649K2012: $243K2013: $271K2014: $261K2015: $275K2016: $358K2017: $367K2018: $366K2019: $409K2020: $373K2021: $552K2022: $566K2023: $609K2024: $684K2025: $793K2026: $649K20122015201920232026

Days on market by year

18d46d74d46d2012: 73d2013: 62d2014: 49d2015: 61d2016: 52d2017: 55d2018: 47d2019: 47d2020: 48d2021: 27d2022: 20d2023: 37d2024: 31d2025: 40d2026: 46d20122015201920232026

Home value trend · Duval County (Zillow ZHVI)

$296K$298K$300K$296KJul '25: $300KAug '25: $298KSep '25: $297KOct '25: $297KNov '25: $296KDec '25: $296KJan '26: $296KFeb '26: $297KMar '26: $298KApr '26: $298KMay '26: $297KJun '26: $297KJul '26: $296KJul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

For-sale inventory · county (Zillow)

5,2075,8356,4635,435Jul '25: 6,438Aug '25: 6,349Sep '25: 6,193Oct '25: 6,087Nov '25: 5,883Dec '25: 5,602Jan '26: 5,338Feb '26: 5,233Mar '26: 5,326Apr '26: 5,415May '26: 5,453Jun '26: 5,461Jul '26: 5,435Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26

Daily active vs pending · Duval County (MLS)

1,6622,9244,185Jul 07 · Active: 4,030Aug 03 · Active: 4,015Aug 04 · Active: 3,979Aug 05 · Active: 3,982Aug 06 · Active: 3,986Aug 07 · Active: 4,037Aug 08 · Active: 4,070Aug 09 · Active: 4,065Aug 10 · Active: 4,051Aug 11 · Active: 4,047Aug 12 · Active: 4,058Aug 13 · Active: 4,072Aug 15 · Active: 4,135Aug 17 · Active: 4,048Aug 19 · Active: 4,034Aug 22 · Active: 4,116Aug 23 · Active: 4,108Aug 28 · Active: 4,120Aug 29 · Active: 4,126Aug 30 · Active: 4,106Aug 31 · Active: 4,098Sep 07 · Active: 4,093Sep 09 · Active: 4,082Sep 11 · Active: 4,099Sep 12 · Active: 4,087Sep 13 · Active: 4,067Sep 14 · Active: 4,055Sep 15 · Active: 4,054Jul 07Aug 19Sep 15ActivePending

Median price · daily recalculation

$549K$569K$588K$588KAug 06: $588KAug 08: $588KAug 09: $588KAug 10: $588KAug 11: $550KAug 12: $550KAug 13: $550KAug 15: $550KAug 17: $588KAug 18: $588KAug 19: $588KAug 20: $588KAug 21: $588KAug 22: $588KAug 23: $588KAug 24: $588KAug 26: $588KAug 28: $588KAug 29: $588KAug 30: $588KAug 31: $588KSep 01: $588KSep 04: $588KSep 05: $588KSep 06: $588KSep 07: $588KSep 08: $588KSep 09: $588KSep 10: $588KSep 11: $588KSep 12: $588KSep 13: $588KSep 14: $588KSep 15: $588KAug 06Aug 17Aug 28Sep 07Sep 15
Local Economics · county layer

What’s driving 32233

Who’s moving here
+912 net residents/yr

Top inbound states: GA, CA, VA, NY. Movers arriving report ~$67,296 average income. Source: IRS SOI county-to-county migration, 2022-2023

Insurance reality check
$1,315/yr avg premium

2,001 Citizens policies in force in Duval County — the state-backed insurer of last resort. Budget insurance into any Duval purchase before you fall in love with a house. Source: Citizens Property Insurance, Detail by County, April 2026

Building pipeline
6,017 units permitted -7% YoY

3,732 single-family · 2,285 multi-family · 6.0 per 1,000 residents. Future supply pressure starts here. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, 2025

Momentum Research Desk

The calls we’re making from today’s data

Biggest move
Atlantic Beach ▼ 40%

The sharpest 1-yr median swing among tracked communities. Thin samples can exaggerate swings — verify with a comp analysis before treating it as trend.

Biggest risk buyers are ignoring
Under $300K: 3.4 months of supply

The most crowded shelf in the market. Sellers here are competing hardest — which means overpaying in this band is the most avoidable mistake in 32233 right now.

Biggest opportunity
$300K–$500K: 1.1 months of supply

The tightest band — sellers in this range hold the most leverage, and buyers should walk in with financing done and terms clean.

What we’re telling clients today

Both sides have a case: buyers should negotiate on days-on-market, sellers should lean on the under-contract rate. Preparation, not the market, decides who wins a balanced tape.

Generated from today’s data by Momentum’s analysis engine and reviewed on a rolling basis by our broker team.

Compare Markets

Nearby ZIP codes in Duval

MarketMedianActiveScore
32233 ← this page$588K4857
32218$301K23268Open →
32256$386K21956Open →
32219$316K20157Open →
32244$260K17562Open →
32210$220K17165Open →
Community Movers

Neighborhoods on the move

Prices rising fastest
BeachsidePonte Vedra Beach$1.01M▲ 12%
Mayport LandingAtlantic Beach$208K▲ 5%
Selva LinksideAtlantic Beach$762K▲ 4%
Selva LakesAtlantic Beach$588K▲ 3%
Royal PalmsAtlantic Beach$562K▲ 2%
Prices cooling fastest
Atlantic BeachAtlantic Beach$610K▼ 40%
Selva MarinaAtlantic Beach$1.21M▼ 31%
SaltairAtlantic Beach$515K▼ 25%
SevillaAtlantic Beach$422K▼ 5%
MayportJacksonville$436K▼ 0%
Most homes for sale
Atlantic BeachAtlantic Beach$610K12
Royal PalmsAtlantic Beach$562K6
Mayport LandingAtlantic Beach$208K5
Selva LinksideAtlantic Beach$762K4
Selva MarinaAtlantic Beach$1.21M4
Selling fastest
Selva LakesAtlantic Beach$588K2 days
Cypress CoveJacksonville$352K14 days
Mayport LandingAtlantic Beach$208K18 days
BeachsidePonte Vedra Beach$1.01M31 days
Oak HarborJacksonville$445K34 days
Explore Deeper

Cities in this ZIP

Most active communities

Keep Going

Put this data to work

Plain Answers

The questions people actually ask

Should I buy a house in 32233 right now?

The data says conditions currently favor neither side decisively in 32233 — the Momentum Score reads 57/100 with 2.9 months of supply. For buyers that means preparation over hesitation: well-priced homes still move fast, but there is more room to negotiate than a year ago. The right timing always depends on your rate, your equity, and how long you plan to stay — not just the market.

Is 32233 becoming more affordable?

Yes, modestly — the median sale price in 32233 is $587,500, down 14.0% versus the prior year, while sellers still capture 94.7% of asking price. Softening prices plus normal-length marketing times mean affordability is improving at the margin, though financing costs matter more than list prices for most monthly payments.

Where are prices falling fastest in 32233?

Among tracked communities with enough sales to measure, the sharpest 1-year median declines are Atlantic Beach (-40%); Selva Marina (-31%); Saltair (-25%). Note that community-level medians move on small sale counts — a few high- or low-end closings can swing them — so treat these as leads for a comp analysis, not verdicts.

Which 32233 neighborhoods are most competitive?

Measured by speed of sale, the fastest-moving tracked communities right now are Selva Lakes (2 days); Cypress Cove (14 days); Mayport Landing (18 days) — homes there go under contract well ahead of the market-wide pace of 46 days.

Questions

32233 (Atlantic Beach) housing market FAQ

How is the housing market in 32233 right now?

As of September 15, 2026, the 32233 housing market is roughly balanced: the median sale price is $587,500 (down 14.0% year over year), 48 homes are for sale against 253 sales in the last 12 months, which is 2.9 months of supply, and the typical home goes under contract in about 46 days.

How much is a house in 32233?

The median home sold for $587,500 in 32233 over the last 12 months, about $379 per square foot; asking prices on the 48 current listings run from well below to well above that, and the community pages linked below show what each neighborhood actually sells for.

Is it a good time to sell a house in 32233?

By the numbers, sellers in 32233 are getting 94.7% of asking price and going under contract in about 46 days with 2.9 months of supply. Under four months of supply generally favors sellers; over six favors buyers. Whether it is a good time for you depends on what you paid and where you are going next, which is a conversation with an agent, not a chart.

What is the 32233 housing market forecast?

Momentum Realty publishes the recorded trend, not a prediction: 32233 median sale prices are down 14.0% year over year, inventory stands at 2.9 months of supply, and 32% of listings are under contract. The charts on this page update with every MLS refresh, so the direction shows up here before any forecast catches it.

What is the median home price in 32233?

The median sale price in 32233 is currently $587,500, down 14.0% from a year ago, based on MLS sales data updated September 15, 2026.

Is 32233 a buyer's or seller's market right now?

The data currently is roughly balanced. 32233 scores 57 of 100 on the Momentum Score, with 2.9 months of housing supply. Conditions change; this page updates daily.

How long do homes take to sell in 32233?

The typical home in 32233 goes under contract in about 46 days, per current MLS data.

How many homes are for sale in 32233?

There are approximately 48 active listings in 32233 as of September 15, 2026.

Are home prices in 32233 rising or falling?

Median sale prices are down 14.0% year over year based on a rolling comparison of MLS sales.

Put this data to work

Momentum agents use this intelligence every day to price listings and write winning offers across 32233 (Atlantic Beach). Talk through what the numbers mean for your move.

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Methodology & Accountability

Every number on this page is computed directly from licensed Florida MLS feeds, recorded public sales, Zillow Research, and U.S. Census data — nothing is manually adjusted or estimated by hand. Medians use recorded closed sales; supply figures use live listing counts refreshed twice daily; the Momentum Score methodology is summarized .

Analyst oversight: Jon Brooks — Co-Founder, Momentum Realty · CEO, Momentum Research · Housing Market Analyst · methodology reviewed quarterly · Last data refresh: September 15, 2026 at 7:33 PM ET

Find homes What's my home worth?

Statistics on this page are computed automatically from licensed MLS feeds and public data sources (Zillow Research, U.S. Census Bureau) and summarized without manual review. Figures are estimates based on recent recorded activity, are deemed reliable but not guaranteed, and should be verified with a licensed agent before making decisions. This page does not constitute an appraisal or an automated valuation of any specific property. Momentum Realty is licensed in Florida and Georgia. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Selling in this ZIP? Weigh the numbers first: the Florida sell-now-or-wait scoreboard, why 201,552 Florida listings failed to sell in 12 months, and cash offer vs. listing, both numbers. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.