DUNCAN GROVES
Homes for Sale in VALRICO, FL

Community in VALRICO · Hillsborough County · ZIP 33594
Median sale $550K
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Built fromLive Stellar MLS data20 years of closingsUpdated twice daily
Live · DUNCAN GROVES Housing Pulse Stellar MLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$550K
Median sold · 12 mo
$213/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $242 in 2024
95.6%
Sale vs ask
+130%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $239K median in 2012
Tempo
47days
Median DOM · closed
36 days at the 2024 low
5
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 2 a year
Ownership and context
17%
Cash buyers · DUNCAN GROVES
1 of 6 sales, 12 mo ending June 2026
Track record · 20 years of records
1
Failed listings · 2026
peaked at 4 in 2009
2,563sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Duncan Groves prices around $547,450 at a median, working out to roughly $213 a square foot. That per-square-foot figure is the more useful number here — it tells you condition and finish level are doing most of the work on price, since lot amenities aren't a factor pulling values in one direction or another based on current MLS data.

A market heat score of 46 and a median days-on-market of just over 32 puts this in balanced territory — not a bidding-war environment, not a stale one either. For sellers, that means pricing at market and presenting the home well still matters; overreach and it sits. For buyers, there's room to negotiate on condition or terms without needing to win a multiple-offer scramble.

The 60-Second Overview

DUNCAN GROVES market snapshot (as of August 2, 2026): the median sale price is about $550K ($213 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 47 days on market for closed sales.

Duncan Groves is a Valrico community in Hillsborough County where recent closings suggest a market that moves at a normal, unhurried pace rather than one defined by scarcity or a rush of demand.

Best for

  • Buyers focused on long-term value in an established Hillsborough County location
  • Buyers comfortable evaluating a home on its own condition and finish rather than a bundled amenity package
  • Sellers with a well-maintained home who can price near the area's per-square-foot norms and expect a reasonable, month-long marketing window

Probably not for

  • Buyers who require a confirmed clubhouse, pool, or gated amenity as a condition of purchase
  • Buyers expecting a fast-moving, bidding-war market at this 46 heat score
  • Sellers hoping to command a premium without addressing condition, since price here tracks closely with per-square-foot value

Windows contain 0 to 5 sales each (5 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2006 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Homes sold per 12-mo window
02420122014201620182020202220242026
0 to 5 a year; 5 in the current window.
Sellers who gave up · failed listings per year
0242004200620082012201420162026
Canceled, expired, or withdrawn. 4 quit in 2009; 1 so far in 2026. The clearest stress gauge a community has.
How much local inventory is already under contract

37% of homes for sale in ZIP 33594 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-01).

If we were buying in DUNCAN GROVES today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in DUNCAN GROVES.

Best Buy
Buyers and sellers who want an established Valrico location with a long track record rather than a new build still proving itself.
Biggest Risk
With no confirmed amenities in current listings, buyers shouldn't assume a clubhouse or pool comes with the address.
Sweet Spot
Homes priced near the $547,450 median with updated condition tend to move closest to the 32-day pace.
Avoid If
Skip this one if a shared amenity package is a must-have — verify first, don't assume.

What's Actually Driving Value Here

The appreciation story is the headline fact: values here are up 129% since 2012. That's a long runway of sustained gains, and it tells you this is an established, proven location rather than a newly platted one still finding its footing.

Current MLS listings show no identified community amenities — no clubhouse, pool, or gate captured in the data. That doesn't mean none exist; it means buyers should verify directly rather than assume, and it means the price here is being set by the home and the location, not by a shared amenity package.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in DUNCAN GROVES. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty

Why work with Momentum here

In a community priced on a $213-per-square-foot basis with a moderate 46 heat score, precise comparables matter more than a generic listing sheet. We track closings inside Duncan Groves specifically, not just Valrico broadly, so pricing and offer strategy reflect what's actually happening on these streets.

DUNCAN GROVES in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers and sellers who want an established Valrico location with a long track record rather than a new build still proving itself.
Biggest advantageA 129% run-up since 2012 signals durable, long-term value in this location.
Biggest riskWith no confirmed amenities in current listings, buyers shouldn't assume a clubhouse or pool comes with the address.
Sweet spotHomes priced near the $547,450 median with updated condition tend to move closest to the 32-day pace.
Avoid ifSkip this one if a shared amenity package is a must-have — verify first, don't assume.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed DUNCAN GROVES sales matched to your home.

What is your DUNCAN GROVES home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in DUNCAN GROVES, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in DUNCAN GROVES on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in DUNCAN GROVES?
The median sale price in DUNCAN GROVES was $550K over the 12 months ending August 2, 2026 (5 closed sales, Stellar MLS).
How long do homes in DUNCAN GROVES take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending August 2, 2026 took a median 47 days on market (5 sales, Stellar MLS).
Do cash buyers compete in DUNCAN GROVES?
Cash buyers took 17% of DUNCAN GROVES sales in the 12 months ending June 2026 (1 of 6 closings, Stellar MLS).
Have DUNCAN GROVES home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 130% since 2012, from $239K to $550K (Stellar MLS closed records).
Who is the best real estate agent for DUNCAN GROVES?
The best agent for DUNCAN GROVES is one who actively works VALRICO and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for DUNCAN GROVES.
How do I find a top VALRICO real estate agent who knows DUNCAN GROVES?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows DUNCAN GROVES and the wider VALRICO area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for DUNCAN GROVES?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your DUNCAN GROVES purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers focused on long-term value in an established Hillsborough County locationExcellent fit
Buyers comfortable evaluating a home on its own condition and finish rather than a bundled amenity packageExcellent fit
Sellers with a well-maintained home who can price near the area's per-square-foot norms and expect a reasonable, month-long marketing windowExcellent fit
Buyers who require a confirmed clubhouse, pool, or gated amenity as a condition of purchaseProbably not
Buyers expecting a fast-moving, bidding-war market at this 46 heat scoreProbably not
Sellers hoping to command a premium without addressing condition, since price here tracks closely with per-square-foot valueProbably not

Data sources & freshness

Community market statsStellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2, 2026
Under-contract sharesStellar MLS records, as of 2026-08-01
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2006 (27 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Stellar MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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CallFree valuation →
Thinking of selling in DUNCAN GROVES? 5 recorded closings; median 47 days on market (window ending 2026-08-02). See the Hillsborough County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
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