Pine Lakes
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Over the 12 months ending 2026-10-27, 3 recorded sales closed at a median of $386,000, $187 per square foot, a median 115 days on market, sellers accepting 94% of original asking. At the median price and Duval County's FY2025-26 rate of 17.86 mills, annual property tax runs about $6,900 ($6,160 with the full homestead exemption).
Price here is driven by newer construction more than anything else. The median build year is 2019, the housing runs from 1973 all the way to 2024, and the median home is a substantial 2,502 square feet. That mix pushes the median to $375,000 and the median price per square foot to about $191 — you are largely paying for recent-vintage, larger homes rather than location scarcity.
The current posture favors buyers. Prices are down 11.2% year over year, the market heat score sits at 31, and homes take a median of 39 days to sell. That is a cooler, slower market where sellers should price to the current reality and buyers have room to negotiate on condition and terms rather than rushing.
Figures in this note are as of July 12, 2026. The live market numbers elsewhere on this page update nightly and are newer.
The 60-Second Overview
Pine Lakes market snapshot (as of October 27, 2026): the median sale price is about $386K ($187 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 115 days on market for closed sales.
Pine Lakes is a community of 408 homes in Jacksonville, Duval County, built between 1973 and 2024 (median 2019), with a median living area of about 2,502 square feet. 75% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Pine Lakes is a predominantly newer-build pocket of Jacksonville in Duval County, where the median home is larger than average and most owners occupy long-term — the homestead share is over 75%, which tends to hold inventory tighter than a rental-heavy area.
Who Pine Lakes is best for.
Best for
- Buyers targeting a larger, recently built home around the $375,000 median who value space over a walkable core
- Long-hold owner-occupants comfortable in a high-homestead area with steady turnover
- Negotiation-minded buyers who can move on a home priced correctly for a cooler market
Probably not for
- Sellers who need to move quickly and cannot price to a 39-day, softening market
- Buyers counting on short-term price gains, which no one can promise
- Buyers wanting older-character housing rather than predominantly newer construction
Housing distress & ownership in Pine Lakes, Jacksonville
Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.
Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Pine Lakes buying strategy.
If we were buying in Pine Lakes today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Pine Lakes.
A newer stock in a cooling market
The long-run picture and the short-run picture point in different directions. Since 2012 values are up 235%, but the last twelve months show an 11.2% pullback. That gap tells you the recent softening is real and worth pricing for, not a reason to assume the trend continues either way — we do not forecast direction here, we price to the data in front of us.
With 408 homes in the community and only 17 recent closings in the tracked window, this is a thin-transaction market. Thin data means individual condition and finish matter more than any average, and a single well- or poorly-priced comp can skew perception. Buyers should read each listing on its own merits; the wide build-year span means two similarly sized homes can be very different products.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Pine Lakes. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
In a low-transaction, cooling market like Pine Lakes, the average number tells you very little about the home actually in front of you. We work each listing against its build year, size, and condition rather than a blanket community figure, which matters when 39 days on market and a soft year-over-year read give buyers negotiating room and sellers a reason to price with discipline.
Pine Lakes in 15 seconds.
Tools for a Pine Lakes buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Pine Lakes sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Pine Lakes, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
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Recent Developments in Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated October 2026.
- October 2026Retail & Dining
Council committee defers vote on incentives for Downtown Publix at 119 W. Beaver St.
The Finance Committee deferred a $49.65 million incentive package for Gateway Jax's $140.15 million high-rise anchored by a Publix at 119 W. Beaver St. The tower is planned with 259 apartments and about 400 parking spaces. The committee is scheduled to revisit the bill Nov. 4, the day after the Amendment 3 vote.
What it may mean for the marketThe timing of the first full-size grocery store in the Downtown core depends on the incentive vote, affecting nearby retail access. The project is about 14 miles south of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - September 2026Infrastructure
JEA advances about $690 million in infrastructure projects including Fulton Cut transmission line raise near JAXPORT
JEA is moving forward with three water reclamation projects (Blacks Ford in northwest St. Johns County, over $220 million; near Jacksonville International Airport, about $193 million; East Arlington, just under $165 million) and the $117 million Fulton Cut transmission line clearance over the St. Johns River near Blount Island. Fulton Cut, shared with JAXPORT and the city, is expected to finish in summer 2027 and all four projects by 2030.
What it may mean for the marketRaised power lines support larger ship access to port terminals, and new reclamation capacity supports growth in surrounding areas. The site is about 11 miles southeast of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval.
Source: News4JAX - July 2026Builder Activity
Wildlight subdivision advances in Yulee as the master-planned community expands
Rayonier's Wildlight master-planned community continued adding residential phases in Yulee in mid-2026, part of a long-range plan that pairs new housing with its commerce park and town center near Interstate 95.
What it may mean for the marketOngoing residential expansion at a large master-planned community adds new supply and amenities in the Yulee area, which can influence pricing and competition for nearby communities. The site is about 11 miles north of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The project is about 11 miles southeast of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: JAXPORT - March 2026Development
First Wildlight Commerce Park speculative building opens in Yulee
The first speculative building at Wildlight Commerce Park opened in March 2026, adding move-in-ready industrial and flex space to Rayonier's Wildlight community in Nassau County near Interstate 95 and A1A.
What it may mean for the marketNew employment and commerce space at Wildlight strengthens the live-and-work profile of the Interstate 95 and A1A area in Nassau County, a factor that can support nearby residential demand. The site is about 11 miles north of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 11 miles southeast of Pine Lakes Jacksonville Duval.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Pine Lakes?
How long do homes in Pine Lakes take to sell?
How many homes are in Pine Lakes?
What share of Pine Lakes is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Pine Lakes built?
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Should you buy in Pine Lakes?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Nearby Communities
Explore more neighborhoods near Pine Lakes with Momentum Realty’s local guides.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending October 27, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR assessment roll (street-list match (10 streets, ZIP 32218)) |
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-10-25 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2026 (3 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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