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Live Market Pulse
27/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2015 → 2026 · 91 at the 2022 peak
0 is Lake Arrowhead's coldest market since 2015, 100 its hottest. Today: 27. How it's scored

Photo via Florida Gulf Coast MLS

Built fromLive Florida Gulf Coast MLS data13 years of closingsUpdated twice daily

As of October 2026, Lake Arrowhead in Naples, FL has 2 homes for sale. Over the 12 months ending 2026-09-20, 6 recorded sales closed at a median of $544,500, $252 per square foot, a median 85 days on market, sellers accepting 94% of original asking (-9% versus the prior year). At the median price and Collier County's FY2025-26 rate of 11.05 mills, annual property tax runs about $6,020 ($5,580 with the full homestead exemption).

Live · Lake Arrowhead Housing Pulse Florida Gulf Coast MLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$544K ▼
Median sold · 12 mo
down 9.3% vs the prior 12 months
-9.3% ▼
1-yr price change
n = 6 and 9 sales in the two windows
$252/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $305 in 2024
93.9%
Sale vs ask
Tempo
86days
Median DOM · closed
2 days at the 2022 low
33%
Under contract
Collier: 19% (1,017 of 5,466)
2 · 1
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
6
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 9 a year
Track record · 13 years of records
2,080sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Lake Arrowhead's median price sits at $550,000, but with days on market averaging 85.5 and a year-over-year change of -9.8%, this is a market where pricing has been softening rather than holding firm. A median price per square foot of $268.64 suggests condition and size are doing most of the work in setting value, since there is no amenity package here pulling a premium.

With a market heat score of 30 over the past 6 closings, this reads as a buyer-leaning window. Sellers who price to the current trend and prepare the home well can still move it, but the data does not support testing the market with an aspirational number and waiting.

Lake Arrowhead Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of September 20, 2026

Lake Arrowhead right now

🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($544K) is down 9.3% from the prior 12 months ($600K). With about a dozen sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Florida Gulf Coast MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20. Confidence: Medium (6 and 9 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

· Updated October 2, 2026 · Live data: Florida Gulf Coast MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Lake Arrowhead market snapshot (as of September 20, 2026): the median sale price is about $544K ($252 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 86 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 9% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Florida Gulf Coast MLS closed sales (6 closings in the current window).

In ZIP 34112 (Naples), 935 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $380K ($260/sq ft), up 0.3% year over year, with a median 64 days on market. Right now 362 active and 86 pending listings — a buyer's market. See the live ZIP 34112 housing market and the Collier County market.

Lake Arrowhead is a Naples community where value is currently being set by the home itself — its size, condition, and per-square-foot pricing — rather than by any shared amenity draw, since current MLS listings show none identified.

Best for

  • Buyers focused on home size and price per square foot rather than a clubhouse or recreation package.
  • Buyers comfortable negotiating in a market where homes are currently taking well over two months to sell.
  • Sellers who can price realistically against a year-over-year decline rather than holding out for last year's numbers.

Probably not for

  • Buyers who want a defined amenity package as part of the purchase decision.
  • Sellers expecting a fast sale in a market currently averaging 85.5 days on market.
  • Buyers uncomfortable with a market that has moved down 9.8% year-over-year and may still be settling.

Windows contain 1 to 25 sales each (6 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing information provided by the Florida Gulf Coast Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$400K$600K2014201620182020202220242026
Down 9.3% year over year.
Every sale since 2013 · price vs size
$0$200K$400K$600K2k2k2k2k
132 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$100$200$3002014201620182020202220242026
Up from $145 in 2013 to a $305 peak in 2024; $252 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
01002014201620182020202220242026
2 days at the 2022 low; 86 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%105%2014201620182020202220242026
93.9% now.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
010202014201620182020202220242026
1 to 25 a year; 6 in the current window.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning201620182020202220242026
91 at the 2022 peak, 15 in the troughs, 27 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

The real cost & risk here

Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Collier County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.

$3,363/mo
Collier County typical true cost to own
$179/mo
Collier County typical home insurance
Check CDD
Confirm before you offer

County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.

How much local inventory is already under contract

17% of homes for sale in ZIP 34112 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-10-01).

Lake Arrowhead Market Scorecard

Balanced

Lake Arrowhead is currently a balanced market., a median asking price of $507,450, and homes go under contract in about 289 days.

$507,450
Median list
$544,500
Median sold
$276
List $/sqft
289
Days on mkt
2/0/0
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: Florida Gulf Coast MLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Housing distress & ownership in Lake Arrowhead, Naples

Who owns here, how much is not owner-occupied, and how much for-sale inventory is under distress.

Active inventory in distress
0.0%
0 of 14 listings
Distress share trend — 0.0% now (2026-08-12 → 2026-10-01)

Source: Momentum Realty Research. Ownership & parcels from the FL DOR 2025 tax roll; distress from MLS active-listing status/remarks; price from MLS closed sales. Listing information provided by the Florida Gulf Coast Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Lake Arrowhead

Live MLS inventory for Lake Arrowhead. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Lake Arrowhead listings as of 2026-10-01, priced high to low. Listing information provided by the Florida Gulf Coast Multiple Listing Service, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Tap any home to ask about it.

If we were buying in Lake Arrowhead today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lake Arrowhead.

Best Buy
Buyers who value a specific home's size, layout, and price-per-square-foot over a shared amenity package.
Biggest Risk
A 9.8% year-over-year decline means sellers should not assume last year's pricing still holds.
Sweet Spot
Homes priced near the $550,000 median in solid condition, positioned on price per square foot rather than upgrades marketed as amenities.
Avoid If
You are searching specifically for a community with organized amenities, since none are identified in current listings.

What the numbers are actually saying

An 85.5-day median days-on-market figure is the clearest signal in this snapshot. Homes here are not moving quickly, and that stretch gives buyers real room to negotiate on price, terms, or both. Combined with a year-over-year decline of 9.8%, it points to a market that has cooled from wherever it stood a year ago.

The $268.64 median price per square foot, set against a $550,000 median price, tells you this is a market where the spread between an updated and a dated home is likely wide. Because no community amenities are identified from current listings, buyers should evaluate Lake Arrowhead primarily on the home and lot, not on a shared clubhouse or recreation package.

“

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lake Arrowhead. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty

Why work with Momentum here

In a market carrying a 30 heat score and a near three-month median time on market, pricing strategy and negotiation matter more than usual. We track the closings behind these numbers directly, so pricing a listing or structuring an offer in Lake Arrowhead starts from current data, not a stale comp.

Lake Arrowhead in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who value a specific home's size, layout, and price-per-square-foot over a shared amenity package.
Biggest advantageThe current 85.5-day median days-on-market gives buyers meaningful room to negotiate.
Biggest riskA 9.8% year-over-year decline means sellers should not assume last year's pricing still holds.
Sweet spotHomes priced near the $550,000 median in solid condition, positioned on price per square foot rather than upgrades marketed as amenities.
Avoid ifYou are searching specifically for a community with organized amenities, since none are identified in current listings.

HOA, CDD & Fees

A note on who we are: Momentum Realty is a real estate brokerage. We are not the Lake Arrowhead homeowners association, its management company or its developer, and we cannot help with dues, gate access, violations, amenity bookings or association documents. To reach the association, check your closing package, the recorded declaration at the county clerk, or search the association’s name at sunbiz.org for its registered agent. Call or message us to buy or sell a home in Lake Arrowhead.
In short
  • HOA dues reported around $818/month (about $9,816/yr) · median of 51 MLS listings, most billed quarterly
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Listings in this community report association dues of about $818 per month ($9,816 a year) — the median AssociationFee across 51 MLS records, normalised to a monthly figure; most are billed quarterly. Dues change with budgets and can differ by section or product type; confirm the current figure with the association before you offer. Source: MLS listing records, 2026-10.

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lake Arrowhead sales matched to your home.

What is your Lake Arrowhead home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Lake Arrowhead, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See all homes for sale in Naples →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Recently off market in Lake Arrowhead

Homes in Lake Arrowhead that recently left the market. Each address opens its public-record profile: county-recorded value, property taxes, the last recorded sale, community sales history, and what is for sale nearby now. 2 on record.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Lake Arrowhead?
The median sale price in Lake Arrowhead was $544K over the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 (6 closed sales, Florida Gulf Coast MLS).
How long do homes in Lake Arrowhead take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending September 20, 2026 took a median 86 days on market (6 sales, Florida Gulf Coast MLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Lake Arrowhead?
The best agent for Lake Arrowhead is one who actively works Naples and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Lake Arrowhead.
How do I find a top Naples real estate agent who knows Lake Arrowhead?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 320+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Lake Arrowhead and the wider Naples area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lake Arrowhead?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Lake Arrowhead purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Where is Lake Arrowhead, and what county is it in?
Lake Arrowhead is in Naples, Collier County, FL, ZIP 34112. The community's center is about 8 miles southeast of the center of Naples (straight-line).
Buyers focused on home size and price per square foot rather than a clubhouse or recreation package.Excellent fit
Buyers comfortable negotiating in a market where homes are currently taking well over two months to sell.Excellent fit
Sellers who can price realistically against a year-over-year decline rather than holding out for last year's numbers.Excellent fit
Buyers who want a defined amenity package as part of the purchase decision.Probably not
Sellers expecting a fast sale in a market currently averaging 85.5 days on market.Probably not
Buyers uncomfortable with a market that has moved down 9.8% year-over-year and may still be settling.Probably not

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsFlorida Gulf Coast MLS, refreshed twice daily (last: October 1, 2026)
Community market statsFlorida Gulf Coast MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending September 20, 2026
Under-contract sharesFlorida Gulf Coast MLS records, as of 2026-09-20
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2013 (132 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Florida Gulf Coast MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Florida Gulf Coast MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live local comps.

Looking to buy here? Search homes for sale →

What’s your home worth in your area?

A real valuation with real comps from a local listing agent, not an instant algorithm. Response within one business day.

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CallFree valuation →
Thinking of selling in Lake Arrowhead? 6 recorded closings; median 85 days on market (window ending 2026-09-20). See the Collier County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

More on Lake Arrowhead

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Lake Arrowhead with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

Lake Placid (Collier)0.2 mi away · median $1.20M, 7 sales/12 moJuliana Village (Collier)0.4 mi away · median $683K, 10 sales/12 moLake Tahoe0.5 mi away · median $1.32M, 4 sales/12 moSapphire Cove0.5 mi away · median $975K, 4 sales/12 moLake Barrington0.5 mi away · median $395K, 17 sales/12 moNaples Club Estates0.6 mi awaySeven Shores0.7 mi away · median $829K, 20 sales/12 mo

Browse all neighborhood guides →

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