Lakes at Heron Cove Condo
Condos for Sale in Lutz, FL

Community in Lutz · Pasco County · ZIP 33549
Median sale $250K
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Live Market Pulse
42/100
Market Heat
Near its long-run normal
2015 → 2026 · 83 at the 2022 peak
0 is Lakes at Heron Cove Condo's coldest market since 2015, 100 its hottest. Today: 42. How it's scored
Built fromLive Stellar MLS data12 years of closingsUpdated twice daily

Over the 12 months ending 2026-08-02, 6 recorded sales closed at a median of $250,000, $172 per square foot, a median 47 days on market, sellers accepting 87% of original asking (-5% versus the prior year). At the median price and Pasco County's FY2025-26 rate of 16.15 mills, annual property tax runs about $4,040 ($3,390 with the full homestead exemption).

Part of the Heron Cove master-planned community in Lutz, FL — see all Heron Cove homes for sale (4 listings across 6 villages and sections in the MLS).

Part of Lakes at Heron Cove, Lutz, FL — see all Lakes at Heron Cove homes for sale (4 listings across 3 sections in the MLS).

Live · Lakes at Heron Cove Condo Housing Pulse Stellar MLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 10,000+ customers served · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$250K
Median sold · 12 mo
down 5.3% vs the prior 12 months
-5.3%
1-yr price change
n = 6 and 3 sales in the two windows
$172/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $223 in 2025
87.1%
Sale vs ask
Tempo
48days
Median DOM · closed
6 days at the 2022 low
6
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 3 a year
Ownership and context
0%
Cash buyers · Lakes at Heron Cove Condo
0 of 6 sales, 12 mo ending June 2026
Track record · 12 years of records
1
Failed listings · 2026
peaked at 3 in 2024
1,428sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

There are no recorded closings in our current window for Lakes At Heron Cove Condo Ph 07, so this is a read on posture rather than on a run of comparable sales. In a small condo phase like this, that is common — a single listing can define the market for months, and price is driven far more by the condition and finish level of the individual unit than by any neighborhood-wide trend.

For a buyer, the absence of recent data means you negotiate against the specific unit in front of you, not a comp set — inspect the association's finances and reserves closely and let condition, not asking price alone, anchor the conversation. For a seller, thin recent activity cuts both ways: fewer competing listings, but also fewer signals to justify price, which puts the burden on presentation and clean paperwork.

Lakes at Heron Cove Condo Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of August 2, 2026

Lakes at Heron Cove Condo right now

🟡 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($250K) is down 5.3% from the prior 12 months ($264K). With about 2 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2. Confidence: Low (6 and 3 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated August 2, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Lakes at Heron Cove Condo market snapshot (as of August 2, 2026): the median sale price is about $250K ($172 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 48 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 5% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (6 closings in the current window).

This is a defined condo phase in Lutz, on the Pasco County side, where the market moves unit by unit rather than in broad strokes. With no closings in the current window, pricing here is a condition-and-association story more than a trend story.

Best for

  • Condo buyers who will do the association due-diligence and judge value on the unit itself
  • Buyers wanting lower-maintenance ownership on the Pasco side of Lutz
  • Patient buyers who can wait for the right listing in a low-turnover phase

Probably not for

  • Buyers who rely on a deep set of recent comparable sales to set their offer
  • Those who want a single-family home with private land rather than a condo interest
  • Buyers unwilling to scrutinize reserves, insurance, and possible assessments before closing

Windows contain 0 to 7 sales each (6 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period 2014 through 2026. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$100K$200K$300K2014201620182020202220242026
Down 5.3% year over year.
Every sale since 2014 · price vs size
$0$100K$200K$300K1k2k2k
36 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$100$150$2002014201620182020202220242026
Up from $93 in 2014 to a $223 peak in 2025; $172 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
02550752014201620182020202220242026
6 days at the 2022 low; 48 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
85%90%95%100%2014201620182020202220242026
87.1% now.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
02462014201620182020202220242026
0 to 7 a year; 6 in the current window.
Sellers who gave up · failed listings per year
01232014201620182020202220242026
Canceled, expired, or withdrawn. 3 quit in 2024; 1 so far in 2026. The clearest stress gauge a community has.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2016202220242026
83 at the 2022 peak, 33 in the troughs, 42 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.
How much local inventory is already under contract

26% of homes for sale in ZIP 33549 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-08-01).

If we were buying in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo.

Best Buy
Buyers comfortable evaluating a single unit on its own merits rather than shopping a busy comp set.
Biggest Risk
Thin sales data leaves price unanchored, so condition and association health drive value.
Sweet Spot
A well-maintained unit backed by solid reserves and clean association paperwork.
Avoid If
You need recent comps to feel confident about what you are paying.

A thin-data condo phase

Lakes At Heron Cove Condo Ph 07 is a discrete condominium phase, and phases like this trade infrequently enough that any one sale carries outsized weight. When our closings window shows nothing, it usually reflects low turnover rather than a distressed market — but it also means neither side can lean on a fresh comp to set expectations.

The practical consequence is that the association matters as much as the four walls. Reserve levels, any pending assessments, insurance posture, and the rules governing the phase all feed directly into value and financeability. Do that homework early; on a condo, it is often the deciding factor rather than the countertops.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty

Why work with Momentum here

In a phase with no recent closings, guesswork is expensive. We work Lutz and Pasco County day to day, we know how to read a condo association's documents and finances, and we will tell you plainly when a unit's price is not supported by its condition or by the association's health — before you commit.

Lakes at Heron Cove Condo in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers comfortable evaluating a single unit on its own merits rather than shopping a busy comp set.
Biggest advantageLow turnover means little competition when the right listing appears.
Biggest riskThin sales data leaves price unanchored, so condition and association health drive value.
Sweet spotA well-maintained unit backed by solid reserves and clean association paperwork.
Avoid ifYou need recent comps to feel confident about what you are paying.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • HOA status not on record. Verify any dues before you offer
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Lakes at Heron Cove Condo sales matched to your home.

What is your Lakes at Heron Cove Condo home worth?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo?
The median sale price in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo was $250K over the 12 months ending August 2, 2026 (6 closed sales, Stellar MLS).
How long do homes in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending August 2, 2026 took a median 48 days on market (6 sales, Stellar MLS).
Do cash buyers compete in Lakes at Heron Cove Condo?
Cash buyers took 0% of Lakes at Heron Cove Condo sales in the 12 months ending June 2026 (0 of 6 closings, Stellar MLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Lakes at Heron Cove Condo?
The best agent for Lakes at Heron Cove Condo is one who actively works Lutz and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Lakes at Heron Cove Condo.
How do I find a top Lutz real estate agent who knows Lakes at Heron Cove Condo?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 320+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Lakes at Heron Cove Condo and the wider Lutz area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Lakes at Heron Cove Condo?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Lakes at Heron Cove Condo purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Condo buyers who will do the association due-diligence and judge value on the unit itselfExcellent fit
Buyers wanting lower-maintenance ownership on the Pasco side of LutzExcellent fit
Patient buyers who can wait for the right listing in a low-turnover phaseExcellent fit
Buyers who rely on a deep set of recent comparable sales to set their offerProbably not
Those who want a single-family home with private land rather than a condo interestProbably not
Buyers unwilling to scrutinize reserves, insurance, and possible assessments before closingProbably not

Data sources & freshness

Community market statsStellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending August 2, 2026
Under-contract sharesStellar MLS records, as of 2026-08-01
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2014 (36 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the Stellar MLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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More Lutz (Pasco) & Tampa North / Pasco County guides

Compare before you commit - every guide covers pricing, HOA/CDD, insurance posture, and fit. Browse all of Tampa North / Pasco County or the full Neighborhood Finder.

Thinking of selling in LAKES AT HERON COVE CONDO PH 07? 6 recorded closings; median 47 days on market (window ending 2026-08-02). See the Pasco County sell-now-or-wait data, what made 201,552 Florida listings fail in the last 12 months, or compare a cash offer vs. listing. Compiled from MLS records; deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
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