Keith Subdivision
Homes for Sale in St. Augustine, FL

Community in St. Augustine · St. Johns County · ZIP 32084
Median sale $655K
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True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.

Live Market Pulse
29/100
Market Heat
Cooler than normal
2017 → 2026 · 79 at the 2021 peak
0 is Keith Subdivision's coldest market since 2017, 100 its hottest. Today: 29. How it's scored
Built fromLive realMLS data15 years of closingsUpdated twice daily
Live · Keith Subdivision Housing Pulse realMLS + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$655K
Median sold · 12 mo
up 18.0% vs the prior 12 months
+18.0%
1-yr price change
n = 4 and 6 sales in the two windows
$399/sf
Sold $/sqft · 12 mo
peak $530 in 2024
90.1%
Sale vs ask
St. Johns median: 95.7%
Tempo
12.0mo
Supply
3 to 6 months is the balanced band
85days
Median DOM · closed
6 days at the 2022 low
0%
Under contract
St. Johns: 34% (1,005 of 2,926)
4 · 0
For sale · pending
live counts, refreshed twice daily
4
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 4 a year
Ownership and context
50%
Cash buyers · Keith Subdivision
2 of 4 sales, 12 mo ending July 2025
Track record · 15 years of records
5
Failed listings · 2026
peaked at 11 in 2025
1,808sqft
Median sold home size
12-mo windows, closed sales
Jon Brooks, founder of Momentum Realty
Jon's Current Read

Keith Subdivision is a small, thinly traded pocket of St. Augustine, and the numbers reflect that. With a median around $655,000 and a median of roughly $399 per square foot, price here is driven far more by the specific home, its condition, and its lot than by any broad market trend. In a market this small, one or two atypical sales can move the median, so read every listing on its own merits rather than assuming a neighborhood-wide baseline.

The posture right now is patient. A median of just under 85 days on market and a heat score of 29 point to a slow, unhurried pace where buyers have room to inspect, negotiate, and walk if the fit is wrong. The 18% year-over-year change looks strong on paper, but on only four closings in the window it is a fragile signal, not a promise. Sellers should price to the current condition of their home and expect the process to take time; buyers should not feel rushed.

Keith Subdivision Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of July 14, 2026

Keith Subdivision right now

🟢 Buyer-leaning market. 12.0 months of supply and 0% of the inventory already under contract give buyers above-average negotiating leverage.Why it matters: months of supply is how long today's inventory would last at today's sales pace; under-contract share is the portion of homes for sale that already have a buyer.Momentum Research analysis of realMLS records, as of July 14, 2026. Confidence: Medium (4 active and pending listings, 4 closed sales in 12 months).

🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($655K) is up 18.0% from the prior 12 months ($555K). With about 4 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level realMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14. Confidence: Low (4 and 6 sales in the two windows).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

Keith Subdivision market snapshot (as of July 14, 2026): the median sale price is about $655K ($399 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), a median 85 days on market for closed sales, and 12.0 months of supply, a buyer-leaning market. The trailing-12-month median is up 18% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level realMLS closed sales (4 closings in the current window).

Keith Subdivision is a low-volume enclave in St. Augustine where individual homes, not market momentum, set the price. Expect a slow pace and a wide spread between listings.

Best for

  • Buyers comfortable at a median near $655,000 who value a specific home over broad market timing
  • Patient buyers who want time to inspect and negotiate rather than compete on speed
  • Sellers willing to price to their home's condition and accept a longer marketing window

Probably not for

  • Buyers on a tight budget who need something below this market's median
  • Anyone needing a fast, liquid resale in a high-turnover market
  • Buyers who rely on a deep set of recent comps to feel confident on price

Windows contain 0 to 10 sales each (4 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$400K$600K20122014201620182020202220242026
Up 18.0% year over year.
Every sale since 2011 · price vs size
$0$250K$500K$750K1k2k
50 closed sales; green = recent. Size sets the floor, condition and lot set the rest.
Sold $ per sq ft · trailing 12 mo
$200$300$400$50020122014201620182020202220242026
Up from $232 in 2012 to a $530 peak in 2024; $399 now.
Median days on market · closed sales
05010020122014201620182020202220242026
6 days at the 2022 low; 85 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
90.1% now vs St. Johns 95.7%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
051020122014201620182020202220242026
0 to 10 a year; 4 in the current window.
Sellers who gave up · failed listings per year
051020162020202220242026
Canceled, expired, or withdrawn. 11 quit in 2025; 5 so far in 2026. The clearest stress gauge a community has.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2020202220242026
79 at the 2021 peak, 19 in the troughs, 29 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

The real cost & risk here

Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are St. Johns County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.

$2,612/mo
St. Johns County typical true cost to own
$115/mo
St. Johns County typical home insurance
Check CDD
Confirm before you offer

County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.

How much local inventory is already under contract

28% of homes for sale in ZIP 32084 are already under contract (under contract ÷ under contract + active listings) — a read on how much of the available inventory buyers have already claimed. Source: MLS data (2026-07-18).

Keith Subdivision Market Scorecard

Buyer-leaning

Keith Subdivision is currently a buyer-leaning market. About 12.0 months of supply, a median asking price of $537,500, and homes go under contract in about 194 days.

12.0
Months supply
$537,500
Median list
$655,000
Median sold
$498
List $/sqft
194
Days on mkt
4/0/4
Active/Pend/Sold

Go deeper: ZIP market scorecard · county scorecard · true cost calculator · affordability calculator.

Live data: realMLS, refreshed twice daily. Market metrics only; these describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Homes For Sale Right Now in Keith Subdivision

Live MLS inventory for Keith Subdivision. Every active listing, what is under contract right now, and the last 12 months of closed sales, refreshed twice a day. Closed comps beat an algorithm's guess every time.

Active and pending Keith Subdivision listings as of 2026-07-14, priced high to low. Source: Data provided by realMLS. Tap any home to ask about it.

Listing locations from realMLS. Map data © OpenStreetMap, tiles © CARTO.

If we were buying in Keith Subdivision today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Use your leverage. With inventory sitting, there is room to negotiate on anything dated or overpriced and to ask for repairs or a rate buydown.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Keith Subdivision.

Best Buy
Buyers who want a specific home in St. Augustine and are not in a rush.
Biggest Risk
With only four closings, the stats are a fragile signal, not a firm baseline.
Sweet Spot
A well-conditioned home priced honestly against its own square footage and lot.
Avoid If
You need a quick, liquid resale or a predictable neighborhood comp.

A thin market rewards patience

With only four closings in the measured window, Keith Subdivision does not generate the kind of steady comp flow that makes pricing straightforward. That thinness cuts both ways: it means the median and the year-over-year figure should be treated as directional rather than precise, and it means a well-prepared buyer or seller who understands the specific property in front of them has an edge over anyone leaning on averages.

At roughly $399 per square foot against a median near $655,000, this is not a bargain corner of St. Augustine, and the extended time on market suggests homes are not clearing quickly. Condition, finishes, and lot quality will explain most of the variation between one sale and the next. Treat every listing as its own negotiation.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Keith Subdivision. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
4.5C- · Buy Score
Recent Direction10.0/10
Liquidity & Demand0.0/10
Pricing Power3.4/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (4.5). Basis: Recent Direction +18.0% year-over-year; Liquidity & Demand 12.0 months of supply; Pricing Power 90.1% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

Why work with Momentum here

In a market this small, comps are scarce and easy to misread. We read each Keith Subdivision listing on its own terms — condition, square footage, and lot — rather than defaulting to a median built on a handful of sales, and we pace the negotiation to a market that clearly is not in a hurry.

Keith Subdivision in 15 seconds.

Best forBuyers who want a specific home in St. Augustine and are not in a rush.
Biggest advantageA slow pace gives buyers real negotiating room and time to inspect.
Biggest riskWith only four closings, the stats are a fragile signal, not a firm baseline.
Sweet spotA well-conditioned home priced honestly against its own square footage and lot.
Avoid ifYou need a quick, liquid resale or a predictable neighborhood comp.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Keith Subdivision sales matched to your home.

What is your Keith Subdivision home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Keith Subdivision, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in Keith Subdivision on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Keith Subdivision?
The median sale price in Keith Subdivision was $655K over the 12 months ending July 14, 2026 (4 closed sales, realMLS).
How long do homes in Keith Subdivision take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending July 14, 2026 took a median 85 days on market (4 sales, realMLS).
Is Keith Subdivision a buyer's or seller's market right now?
As of July 14, 2026, Keith Subdivision leans toward buyers: 12.0 months of supply at the current sales pace (realMLS live counts).
Do cash buyers compete in Keith Subdivision?
Cash buyers took 50% of Keith Subdivision sales in the 12 months ending July 2025 (2 of 4 closings, realMLS).
Who is the best real estate agent for Keith Subdivision?
The best agent for Keith Subdivision is one who actively works St. Augustine and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for Keith Subdivision.
How do I find a top St. Augustine real estate agent who knows Keith Subdivision?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows Keith Subdivision and the wider St. Augustine area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Keith Subdivision?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your Keith Subdivision purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.
Buyers comfortable at a median near $655,000 who value a specific home over broad market timingExcellent fit
Patient buyers who want time to inspect and negotiate rather than compete on speedExcellent fit
Sellers willing to price to their home's condition and accept a longer marketing windowExcellent fit
Buyers on a tight budget who need something below this market's medianProbably not
Anyone needing a fast, liquid resale in a high-turnover marketProbably not
Buyers who rely on a deep set of recent comps to feel confident on priceProbably not

Nearby Communities

Explore more neighborhoods near Keith Subdivision with Momentum Realty’s local guides.

DSDavis Shores St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 1.0 miCOCortez On The Water St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 1.3 miASAntigua St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 1.4 miAAAntigua At Wellen ParkSt. Augustine, FL · 1.4 miLPLighthouse Park St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 1.5 miSASt Augustine WestSt. Augustine, FL · 1.5 miVCVista Cove St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 1.9 miCHCollier Heights St AugustineSt. Augustine, FL · 2.1 mi

Browse all Florida neighborhood guides →

Data sources & freshness

Live listingsrealMLS, refreshed twice daily (last: July 14, 2026)
Community market statsrealMLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 14, 2026
Under-contract sharesrealMLS records, as of 2026-07-12
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 2011 (50 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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