Northdale Sec J
Homes for Sale in Tampa, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
Market Heat
Price here is driven by condition and size, not by any single build vintage. The median home was built in 1982 and runs about 2,471 square feet, so the housing stock is established and generously sized — what separates one closing from the next is how much updating a given home has seen. The median sits at $495,000, or roughly $227 per square foot, but expect a wide spread around that number depending on renovation level.
The market posture is soft. The heat score is 22, year-over-year pricing is down 12.4%, and the median home takes 34 days to move. For buyers, that means room to negotiate and time to do diligence rather than rushing. For sellers, it means pricing to the current market and presenting a home in strong condition — the discount-hunting buyer is the one setting the pace right now.
Northdale Sec J right now
🔴 Off the recent peak. The trailing-12-month median ($495K) is down 12.4% from the prior 12 months ($565K). With about 4 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 13. Confidence: Low (9 and 5 sales in the two windows).
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Updated July 13, 2026 · Live data: Stellar MLS, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness
The 60-Second Overview
Northdale Sec J market snapshot (as of July 13, 2026): the median sale price is about $495K ($227 per sq ft over the trailing 12 months of closed sales), and a median 34 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is down 12% from the prior 12 months, computed from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales (9 closings in the current window).
Northdale Sec J is a community of 339 homes in Tampa, Hillsborough County, built between 1979 and 2021 (median 1982), with a median living area of about 2,471 square feet. 85% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).
Northdale Sec J is an established Tampa community of 339 homes in Hillsborough County, built between 1979 and 2021 but centered on early-1980s construction. With homestead occupancy near 85%, turnover is limited and most homes are owner-occupied rather than investor-held.
Who Northdale Sec J is best for.
Best for
- Buyers seeking a larger, established home who can budget for selective updates
- Long-hold owner-occupants who value a stable, mostly homesteaded community over quick flips
- Negotiation-minded buyers looking to use current market softness to their advantage
Probably not for
- Buyers who need only newly built, turnkey homes and won't consider early-1980s stock
- Short-term flippers counting on a fast resale in a low-volume, cooling market
- Buyers who want deep comp data and rapid, predictable pricing signals
Price History: What Homes Here Have Actually Sold For
Median sale price over the trailing 12 months ending July 13 of each year, from record-level Stellar MLS closed sales. Same methodology as every appreciation figure on this page: the 2026 point ($495K) IS the median in the snapshot above, and the move from 2025 ($565K) IS the -12.4% one-year change.
Windows contain 0 to 17 sales each (9 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Based on Stellar MLS data distributed by MLS GRID for the period %s through %s. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
The Northdale Sec J buying strategy.
If we were buying in Northdale Sec J today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Northdale Sec J.
An established section in a cooling market
The defining features here are space and maturity. A median of 2,471 living square feet is substantial, and the 1979–2021 build range means you'll find long-settled homes alongside occasional newer construction. The 84.7% homestead share tells you this is primarily a live-in community, so inventory tends to come to market deliberately — only nine closings sit in the current window.
That thin transaction volume matters when reading the numbers. A 12.4% year-over-year decline and a 34-day median days-on-market both point to a buyer with leverage, but with so few closings, individual home condition swings the comps hard. The median price of $495,000 is a reference point, not a rule — the actual value of any given home turns on its updates, lot, and layout.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Northdale Sec J. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Momentum Buy Score.
Our proprietary 0 to 10 read across the factors that decide how a home in Northdale Sec J buys, holds, and resells. Momentum Research; not an appraisal.
Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 3 factors (6.2). Basis: Recent Direction -12.4% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 85% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.
Why work with Momentum here
In a low-volume, cooling section like this, comps are scarce and condition-sensitive, which makes local read more valuable than any algorithm. We walk the specific home, weigh it against the handful of recent closings, and help you price or negotiate against real market posture rather than a stale headline number — whether you're defending value as a seller or pressing for terms as a buyer.
Northdale Sec J in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Northdale Sec J buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Northdale Sec J sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Northdale Sec J, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Northdale Sec J home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Northdale Sec J, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Northdale Sec J?
How long do homes in Northdale Sec J take to sell?
How many homes are in Northdale Sec J?
What share of Northdale Sec J is owner-occupied?
When were the homes in Northdale Sec J built?
Do cash buyers compete in Northdale Sec J?
Who is the best real estate agent for Northdale Sec J?
How do I find a top Tampa real estate agent who knows Northdale Sec J?
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for Northdale Sec J?
Should you buy in Northdale Sec J?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Community market stats | Stellar MLS closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 13, 2026 |
| Housing stock & ownership | Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (6 streets, ZIP 33624)) |
| Under-contract shares | Stellar MLS records, as of 2026-07-12 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2015 (60 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of Stellar MLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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