Pablo Keys
Homes for Sale in Jacksonville, FL
True comps, carrying-cost math, and listings before the portals.
As of September 2026, the MLS records 4 closed sales in Pablo Keys in Jacksonville, FL since 2015, the most recent in October 2021. Across Jacksonville as a whole, 8,846 homes closed in the last 12 months at a median of $305,375, 44 median days on market, with 2,385 homes for sale today. At that median and Duval County's FY2025-26 rate of 17.86 mills, annual property tax runs about $5,460 ($4,720 with the full homestead exemption).
Pablo Keys is a defined pocket within Jacksonville's Duval County footprint, and the honest starting point is that I don't have a current median, days-on-market, or inventory figure in front of me for this snapshot. What I can tell you is structural: pricing in a bounded community like this tends to be driven far more by the individual home — condition, updates, lot position — than by any neighborhood-wide number. Two homes on the same street can trade very differently.
For a buyer, that means the work is at the property level: read each listing on its own merits rather than assuming a going rate. For a seller, it means presentation and condition do the heavy lifting here, and a realistic, comp-backed price beats an aspirational one. Until we pull the live numbers together, treat any figure you see elsewhere as unverified.
The 60-Second Overview
Pablo Keys sits inside Jacksonville proper in Duval County, a self-contained community where the character of individual homes, rather than a single headline price, tends to define what you actually get.
Pre-construction details are compiled from public records, builder announcements and builder listings, and are subject to change without notice; figures are deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Momentum Research figures are our own analysis. This page describes homes, pricing and community attributes, not residents.
Who Pablo Keys is best for.
Best for
- Buyers who evaluate a home on condition and updates rather than a neighborhood average
- Those wanting a defined Jacksonville pocket with access to the wider Duval County market
- Buyers ready to move on the right property once comps confirm the price
Probably not for
- Buyers who need a fixed price range published before they'll engage
- Those wanting a large, high-turnover selection to compare at any moment
- Buyers unwilling to price or offer off verified, property-level comps
The market around Pablo Keys
Pablo Keys is too small for its own price trend, so here is the market around it.
In ZIP 32250, 233 homes are on the market and 22% are under contract — a steady corner of Jacksonville.
Across Duval County, 3,937 homes are active and 1,726 pending (30% under contract).
ZIP and county figures describe the wider market, not Pablo Keys specifically. Momentum Research analysis of MLS records.
Recent Developments in Pablo Keys
Development, infrastructure, retail, and school activity affecting Pablo Keys, tracked by our team and summarized from public reporting and official sources, with links to the original coverage. Last updated August 2026.
- July 2026Development
JWB secures funding for 108 affordable housing units in Jacksonville
Jacksonville Today reported that JWB Real Estate Capital secured about $28.59 million in gap funding for 108 income-restricted units across three Westside sites on Tracy, Justina and Ricker roads. Plans include 38 townhome-style units and two sets of 35 efficiency units, priced at or below 60% of area median income for 50 years. Groundbreaking is expected by September 2026 with completion in 2027.
What it may mean for the marketAdds new income-restricted rental and townhome housing supply on the Westside, increasing the stock of long-term affordable units and drawing public and tax-credit investment into three infill sites. The project is about 19 miles west of Pablo Keys, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jacksonville Today - July 2026Development
Culinary Institute of America selects Jacksonville for Southeast campus
News4Jax reported that the Culinary Institute of America chose downtown Jacksonville for its Southeast hub, to be located at 330 E. Bay Street on the Northbank riverfront. The campus would anchor a $160.5 million hotel and convention center development. The city previously approved up to $35 million in incentives, and the Downtown Investment Authority is finalizing agreements on design and property details.
What it may mean for the marketAnchors a major downtown riverfront redevelopment that pairs an educational campus with hotel and convention space, adding institutional and commercial investment to the urban core alongside Riverfront Plaza and Pearl Square. The project is about 14 miles west of Pablo Keys, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: News4Jax - June 2026Development
Hillwood contracts with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center
Master developer Hillwood contracted with the City of Jacksonville for 192 acres at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center on Jacksonville's Westside, continuing the buildout of the former Naval Air Station Cecil Field into an industrial and logistics park.
What it may mean for the marketContinued absorption of large industrial parcels at Cecil signals sustained employment growth on the Westside, which can support housing demand across nearby communities. The project is about 27 miles west of Pablo Keys, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - April 2026Development
Southeast Toyota opens $170M vehicle-processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island, adding 400-plus jobs
Southeast Toyota Distributors dedicated a new vehicle processing facility at JAXPORT's Blount Island Marine Terminal in April 2026. The company put the investment at $170 million and said the facility created more than 400 full-time jobs, most of them hired locally.
What it may mean for the marketA large new employment center on Blount Island adds sustained local job demand, a factor that has historically supported nearby housing absorption. The project is about 10 miles northwest of Pablo Keys, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: JAXPORT - April 2026Development
Hillwood seeks to mass-grade an AllianceFlorida site for a possible 1 million-square-foot building
Hillwood asked to mass grade a site at AllianceFlorida at Cecil Commerce Center to prepare for a possible 1 million-square-foot building, a step that typically precedes a large industrial or distribution user committing to the Westside park.
What it may mean for the marketA build-ready million-square-foot pad points to a potential large employer on the Westside, the kind of jobs anchor that can lift demand for nearby housing. The project is about 27 miles west of Pablo Keys, elsewhere in Duval County.
Source: Jax Daily Record - February 2026Infrastructure
JAXPORT details $250M Blount Island modernization and record cargo in 2026 State of the Ports
At its February 2026 State of the Ports address, JAXPORT outlined a $250 million modernization of Blount Island's container and vehicle-handling capabilities and reported record fiscal-2025 cargo volumes. The port also said an air-draft expansion to accommodate larger ships is on track to finish by the end of 2026.
What it may mean for the marketContinued heavy investment in the Blount Island port complex anchors long-term industrial employment on the northeast side, a structural demand driver for the surrounding area. The site is about 10 miles northwest of Pablo Keys.
Source: News4Jax
Summaries reflect public reporting and official sources linked above as of the dates shown. Project details, timelines, and approvals can change. Commentary on potential market effects is general observation, not investment advice or a prediction for any specific property. For the freshest items across the whole region, see This Week in Northeast Florida.
The Pablo Keys buying strategy.
If we were buying in Pablo Keys today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.
Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.
Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.
Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.
Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.
Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in Pablo Keys.
What actually moves a Pablo Keys price
In a contained community like this, the spread between the best and weakest homes is usually a condition story, not a location story. Updates to kitchens, systems, and exteriors, along with lot and orientation, do more to separate one sale from the next than the broad market backdrop does. That's why we lean on qualitative reads until the live data confirms otherwise.
Its Jacksonville and Duval County setting keeps it tied to the wider Northeast Florida market, so anyone weighing Pablo Keys should also watch what comparable homes are doing across nearby communities. The right move is to price and shop off verified comps, not off a single number pulled out of context.
The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in Pablo Keys. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.
Why work with Momentum here
Because a community this defined rewards property-level judgment over headline stats. We pull the live comps, read each home on its actual condition and position, and tell you plainly when a listing is priced past what the property supports — or when it isn't. If Pablo Keys isn't the right fit for your goals, we'll say so.
Pablo Keys in 15 seconds.
HOA, CDD & Fees
- HOA status not on record. Verify any dues before you offer
- Any club/amenity membership is billed separately
Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.
Tools for a Pablo Keys buy.
Free calculators to pressure-test the real cost before you tour.
Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed Pablo Keys sales matched to your home.
Price it to the comps and condition, not an automated estimate.
If you are thinking about selling in Pablo Keys, the right list price comes from recent comparable sales matched to your home's condition and location, not an automated estimate.
What is your Pablo Keys home worth?
Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in Pablo Keys, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.
See homes for sale in Pablo Keys on the map →
Should you buy in Pablo Keys?
An honest fit check. We will tell you when it is not your community.
Data sources & freshness
| Under-contract shares | realMLS records, as of 2026-08-30 |
| Historical depth | Closed-sale records back to 2015 (4 transactions analyzed) |
Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.
Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of realMLS records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.
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The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the realMLS member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.
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The real cost & risk here
Before the list price, the Florida math the portals skip. These are Duval County typicals — your exact home, flood zone, and insurance quote will vary, so verify each before you offer.
Check it for your address: look up your flood zone (FEMA) · insurance by county · true-cost calculator · Duval County scorecard.
County typicals from Momentum’s Florida housing data (Zillow & Realtor.com aggregates, Census, FRED), updated monthly; insurance modeled. Flood zone is property-specific — always confirm via FEMA.