LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2
Homes for Sale in Stock Island, FL

Community in Stock Island · Monroe County · ZIP 33040
39 homesBuilt 1938–2005Median sale $497K
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Live Market Pulse
60/100
Market Heat
Hotter than normal
2013 → 2026 · 88 at the 2022 peak
0 is LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2's coldest market since 2013, 100 its hottest. Today: 60. How it's scored
Built fromLive floridakeys data28 years of closingsFL DOR public recordsUpdated twice daily
Live · LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 Housing Pulse floridakeys + public records Analysis by Momentum Realty · $3.5B+ sold · 8,500+ transactions · Top 1% in Florida (RealTrends)
Price
$497K
Median sold · 12 mo
up 30.8% vs the prior 12 months
+30.8%
1-yr price change
n = 4 and 5 sales in the two windows
95.9%
Sale vs ask
Monroe median: 91.8%
+352%
T12M median vs 2012
from a $110K median in 2012
Tempo
26days
Median DOM · closed
4 days at the 2024 low
4
Sold · last 12 mo
10-yr average: about 7 a year
Ownership and context
67%
Owner-occupied · LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2
26 of 39 parcels homesteaded (FL DOR 2025)
33%
Non-owner-occupied · LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2
incl. 5% trust or LLC-held · 13% out-of-state
0%
Cash buyers · LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2
0 of 4 sales, 12 mo ending July 2026
39
Homes in the community
39 residential parcels (FL DOR 2025)
Track record · 28 years of records
Est. 1938
Community established
homes built 1938-2005, median 1964 (FL DOR 2025)
10.3%/yr
Turnover rate
about 4 of 39 homes trade a year
LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 Housing Pulse · Momentum Research · as of July 27, 2026

LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 right now

🟢 Still climbing. The trailing-12-month median ($497K) is up 30.8% from the prior 12 months ($380K) and up 352% since 2012. With about 7 sales a year, a single closing can swing this number, so read the level and the decade, not one year's move.Momentum Research, record-level floridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27. Confidence: Low (4 and 5 sales in the two windows).

What's unique here: the median sale price is about 48% below the typical Monroe County sale ($497K vs $950K, trailing 12 months, floridakeys records).

Jump to: Price history & scorecard · Homes for sale · Schools · FAQ

Updated July 27, 2026 · Live data: floridakeys, refreshed twice daily · MLS facts carry their source; interpretation lines are Momentum Research · Data sources & freshness

The 60-Second Overview

LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 market snapshot (as of July 27, 2026): the median sale price is about $497K, and a median 26 days on market for closed sales. The trailing-12-month median is up 31% from the prior 12 months and up 352% since 2012, computed from record-level floridakeys closed sales (4 closings in the current window).

LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 is a community of 39 homes in Stock Island, Monroe County, built between 1938 and 2005 (median 1964), with a median living area of about 1,565 square feet. 67% of parcels are homesteaded, the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll (2025 roll, public records).

Windows contain 3 to 11 sales each (4 in the current window); every figure carries its sample size, and thin markets swing on single closings. Listing data provided by Florida Keys MLS, Inc. Information is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed by the MLS to be accurate. Deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Median sale price · trailing 12 mo
$200K$400K$600K20122014201620182020202220242026
Up 30.8% year over year; up 352% since 2012.
Median days on market · closed sales
05010020122014201620182020202220242026
4 days at the 2024 low; 26 now.
Sale price vs original ask · median
90%95%100%20122014201620182020202220242026
95.9% now vs Monroe 91.8%.
Homes sold per 12-mo window
051020122014201620182020202220242026
3 to 11 a year; 4 in the current window.
Indexed since 2012 · LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 vs Monroe
200400Monroe +191%LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 +352%20122014201620182020202220242026
Same floridakeys record, indexed to 100 at 2012.
Market Heat · 0 coldest, 100 hottest in the record
20406080seller-leaningbuyer-leaning2014201620182020202220242026
88 at the 2022 peak, 23 in the troughs, 60 now. Same score as the hero card, full history.

If we were buying in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 today, this is the order of operations we would run for our clients.

1

Underwrite the condition first. Price the roof, HVAC, and systems honestly before judging any list price; condition swings value here more than square footage alone.

2

Match the home to real comps. Recent sales of similar condition and lot, not the asking price, tell you what a home is worth.

3

Move deliberately, not desperately. Neither side has a decisive edge, so a well-prepared, fairly-priced offer wins without overpaying.

4

Line up financing and inspection early. A pre-approval and an inspection plan let you act fast and negotiate from evidence.

5

Keep an agent in your corner. The listing agent works for the seller; we represent you and prepare a hand-built valuation before any offer in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2.

A closer look at the LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 market

Homes in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 trade around a median of $497K, where condition and lot do more to set the final number than the asking price does.

The trailing-12-month median up 31% year over year. Homes that do trade take a median 26 days on market, useful leverage on any listing that has lingered.

The housing stock is 39 homes built between 1938 and 2005, and 67% of parcels are homesteaded — the owner-occupancy proxy in the Florida DOR assessment roll.

The location and the amenities are priced into every listing in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2. The deal is won or lost on condition, the comps, and the renovation math.

Jon Brooks · Founder, Momentum Realty
8.5A- · Buy Score
Long-Term Appreciation10.0/10
Recent Direction10.0/10
Owner Commitment6.7/10
Pricing Power7.3/10

Momentum Intelligence Scores are our proprietary, qualitative assessment on a 0 to 10 scale, built from the record-level market data on this page. They are a framework for comparing communities, not a guarantee of future value and not advice on a specific home; unlike an automated value estimate they do not price your home, they grade the community on evidence you can inspect. Composite is the plain average of the 4 factors (8.5). Basis: Long-Term Appreciation +352% since 2012; Recent Direction +30.8% year-over-year; Owner Commitment 67% owner-occupied; Pricing Power 95.9% sale-to-list. Refreshed with each data update.

HOA, CDD & Fees

In short
  • Mandatory HOA — confirm current dues
  • Any club/amenity membership is billed separately

Confirm the current HOA dues, exactly what they cover, and any CDD bond or special assessment for a specific address before you offer.

The takeaway

Selling here is won on condition and pricing to real comps, not an automated estimate. The right number comes from closed LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 sales matched to your home.

What is your LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 home worth?

Get a no-obligation home value based on real comparable sales in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2, not an automated guess. Tell us about your home and we will personally prepare your numbers and a pricing strategy. No obligation, no spam.

See homes for sale in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 on the map →

Real comps, not an automated estimate.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
The median sale price in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 was $497K over the 12 months ending July 27, 2026 (4 closed sales, floridakeys).
How long do homes in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 take to sell?
Homes that closed in the 12 months ending July 27, 2026 took a median 26 days on market (4 sales, floridakeys).
How many homes are in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
The Florida DOR 2025 assessment roll shows 39 homes in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 (public records).
What share of LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 is owner-occupied?
67% of LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 parcels carry a homestead exemption on the 2025 Florida DOR roll, the owner-occupancy proxy in public records.
When were the homes in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 built?
Homes in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 were built between 1938 and 2005, with a median year built of 1964 (FL DOR 2025 roll).
Do cash buyers compete in LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
Cash buyers took 0% of LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 sales in the 12 months ending July 2026 (0 of 4 closings, floridakeys).
Have LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 home prices gone up?
The trailing-12-month median is up 352% since 2012, from $110K to $497K (floridakeys closed records).
Who is the best real estate agent for LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
The best agent for LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 is one who actively works Stock Island and knows the community's pricing, fees, and current inventory. Tell us what you're looking for in the form on this page and Momentum Realty will match you with a local specialist for LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2.
How do I find a top Stock Island real estate agent who knows LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
Share a few details in the form on this page. Momentum Realty has 280+ agents and more than $3.5B in closed sales, and we'll connect you with one who knows LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 and the wider Stock Island area.
Can Momentum Realty connect me with an agent for LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2?
Yes. Use the form on this page and we'll introduce you to a local specialist who can guide your LINCOLN GARD. NO. 2 purchase or sale - no call center and no pressure.

Data sources & freshness

Community market statsfloridakeys closed sales, 12-month windows ending July 27, 2026
Housing stock & ownershipFlorida DOR 2025 assessment roll (street-list match (4 streets, ZIP 33040/33045))
Historical depthClosed-sale records back to 1998 (140 transactions analyzed)

Verify the primary sources yourself: Florida DOR · U.S. Census · FEMA flood maps · Citizens Property Insurance.

Momentum Research figures are our own analysis of floridakeys records; MLS data is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Methodology: how Momentum market scores are computed. Market metrics describe homes for sale and recent sales, not residents.

Own a home here?

You just read the data. Now see what your home is worth.

The numbers on this page move markets in the aggregate. The number that matters to you is what a buyer pays for your address. Momentum sells for 1.25% above the floridakeys member average and 8 days faster, and we’ll price yours against live your area comps.

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